re: Buck and Clay, Dems could win Senate by 3 seats, could also win house

The GOP peaked to early and had nowhere to go but down. The Senate was never in play. PA and WI were never staying GOP. I think Rubio may be gone as well, so that’s 3, NV, AZ, GA and NH are staying Dem. I didn’t believe it, but abortion and the iRA have probably tipped the election to the Dems.

If there's a shift, my #1 guess would be it's because gas is $3.50, not $5.00. Not a good reason, but there's never been a good reason to vote Democrat.

GOP incumbents in the Senate are retiring in PA and OH. Their GOP replacements are both trailing in the polls. This is the main driver of the betting odds shifting to Dems in the Senate.
House still a strong GOP lean.

quote:

---

Row v Wade

---

Two good ways to get out of a flood zone!