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Anyone want to explain the polls?

Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:58 pm
Posted by 88Wildcat
Topeka, Ks
Member since Jul 2017
13947 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:58 pm
Lake was supposed to be a walk in Arizona and she is down double figures. Masters was supposed to be a toss up and is getting destroyed. Smiley was supposed to have a chance against Murrary and it took less than an hour to call it for Murray. Holduc was supposed to be at worst a near toss up in New Hampshire. He got slaughtered. Zeldin doesn't really challenge Hochol. Seems like every poll outside of Florida and Virginia was massively off in favor of Republicans. Overcorrections from the last couple of elections? Even more "fortifying" than in 2020? Right now even winning the House is not a guarantee and the Senate looks iffy at best. Polls are off as much this year for Republicans as they have been in the past for Democrats. Explain.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11457 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:59 pm to
5000 mules?
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71421 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:59 pm to
Fraud. Once you cross a line with the media, you’re done. See Trump & Her.
Posted by cssamerican
Member since Mar 2011
7120 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:00 pm to
The same cities are counting votes that were “mailed in”.
Posted by iPadThai
Member since Oct 2011
1035 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:00 pm to
What polls were you following?

That's why it is better to follow sites like 538 that average a bunch of polls and put a probability number for the outcome.

The results that far is in-line with what 538 was projecting in 90%+ of the races.
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13084 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:01 pm to
Lake was never far ahead in any legit poll and several were tied (Lake-Hobbs).
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84883 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:01 pm to
Polls overcorrected after woefully underestimating Rs the last two elections. Pretty simple.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71667 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:01 pm to
You can't predict the behavior of tens of millions of people by asking 500-1,000 of them how they feel with misleading questions.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71421 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:04 pm to
Hobbs is a retard that hid. I mean if we want to play this game well just admit some ppl shouldn’t vote because they’re retarded
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23073 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Fraud


Yes, every lost election was due to fraud and every won election was clean or just so overwhelming that there wasn’t enough fraud lol
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11457 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Hobbs is a retard that hid. I mean if we want to play this game well just admit some ppl shouldn’t vote because they’re retarded


Amen to that. Same State that kept reelecting the "Maverick".


At this point, it's obvious that AZ and GA has been compromised. Influx of extremely stupid people combined with voter fraud.
Posted by DownSouthJukin
Coaching Changes Board
Member since Jan 2014
27255 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

Seems like every poll outside of Florida and Virginia was massively off in favor of Republicans.


There have been warnings for a couple of months for Republicans not to snooze based on these polls. The professionals knew they were biased and wrong. Some took the bait and snoozed.

And the Democrat ballot-harvesting operations of 2020 (legal and illegal) are still in full force and the Republicans, again, did not GOTV and harvest their own ballots where they could have (legally).
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 11:13 pm
Posted by Ole Ag
Member since Oct 2018
2246 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:13 pm to
538 predicted 50.8 senate seats to R's & 49.2 to D's. They are going to be really close. Some of the right leaning polls are looking pretty foolish.
Posted by Northwestern tiger
Long Island NY
Member since Oct 2005
23484 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

The results that far is in-line with what 538 was projecting in 90%+ of the races.


Not true at all. They had the house going Republican with ease.
Most of the blow out races had them very tight.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19599 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:20 pm to
It blows my mind people ever thought there was going to be fair elections again.
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7807 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:26 pm to
I actually think the dems manipulated the polls to get their voters out.
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