quote:
If Bernie wins the nomination, is that indicative of the country becoming much more socialist? Or more so of there being ZERO good or even decent Dem candidates?

Both. The younger generation is definitely becoming more socialist but there also isn’t a standout candidate either

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Posted by MrLSU

Yellowstone, Val d'isere

Member since Jan 2004

26089 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 3:49 pm to PEPE

Advisers to Bloomberg’s presidential campaign warned in a memo issued last week that Sanders would be “all but impossible to stop” if three candidates — Biden, Buttigieg and Klobuchar — continued to splinter the moderate vote.

“If Biden, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar remain in the race despite having no path to appreciably collecting delegates on Super Tuesday (and beyond), they will propel Sanders to a seemingly insurmountable delegate lead by siphoning votes away from [Bloomberg],” wrote the advisers, Dan Kanninen and Mitch Stewart.

Another memo from Buttigieg’s campaign sent to reporters days later made an identical argument about Bloomberg’s presence in the race.

“If Bloomberg remains in the race despite showing he can not offer a viable alternative to Bernie Sanders, he will propel Sanders to a seemingly insurmountable delegate lead siphoning votes away from Pete, the current leader in delegates,” Buttigieg’s campaign wrote.

Buttigieg now has 24 delegates to Sanders’s 35. Biden has 10 delegates, while Warren has 8 and Klobuchar has 7.

One major Democratic donor said that there’s little incentive for any of the candidates to end their campaigns right now, arguing that they each have arguments for remaining in contention.
The Hill

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Posted by IrishTiger89

Member since May 2017

1492 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 4:54 pm to slackster

They are predicting he gets the most delegates in every state but AL

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Posted by Jake88

Member since Apr 2005

68491 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 4:54 pm to upgrayedd

quote:

His biggest downfall is that he's going to be forced to admit that everyone's taxes will have to go up

48% of people don't pay federal taxes and he can easily pull another 5-7 points from people who simply hate Trump.

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Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

85387 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 5:20 pm to IrishTiger89

quote:
They are predicting he gets the most delegates in every state but AL

That's the average scenario for every state. Think of it as a coin flip. 50/50 on every flip, but the chances of flipping 8 heads in a row aren't great.

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Posted by BuckyCheese

Member since Jan 2015

50124 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 5:41 pm to MrLSU

quote:
One major Democratic donor said that there’s little incentive for any of the candidates to end their campaigns right now, arguing that they each have arguments for remaining in contention.

Hell, Gabbard is still in.

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Posted by CelticDog

Member since Apr 2015

42867 posts

Posted on 2/26/20 at 5:42 pm to Indefatigable

quote:
Unless I misunderstand the Dems process, delegates are awarded based on statewide results and district/precinct level results

yeah. congressional districts in California.
state senate districts in texas. texas state senate districts are not all worth the same. a district that turned out and voted in the past three elections (Austin) gets three times the delegates as Brownsville where latinos do not turn out for off year elections.

so the chart is good.
lots of conservative moderate democrats in southern ca, the whole interior. sf bay and los angeles are sanders and warren.

texas similar. huge state with microclimates left and right.

latinos galore in both.
latinos were sanders 50% in nevada.

This post was edited on 2/26/20 at 5:46 pm

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