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Message
Parity in College Football May Be At An All Time High (Advanced Statistics)
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:31 pm
LINK
As we can see ^ Ole Miss is the most "dominant" team in the country at 35.5% , just barely nudging out Auburn (35.0%) and Alabama (34.1%).
If you scroll through the past few years we find far less parity, and numbers which support 1-3 dominant programs each year.
2013:
Florida State - 49.2%
Alabama - 42.3%
Stanford - 40.0%
2012:
Alabama - 50.6%
Oregon - 38.3%
2011:
Alabama- 53.9%
LSU- 46.8%
etc, etc, etc.
You Have To Scroll All The Way Back To 2007 Before We See Similar Parity Amongst The Top Teams.
2007:
LSU: 33.7%
Ohio State: 33.4%
USC: 33.2%
WVU: 32.7%
Prediction: This season will be a mess come December....similar to 2007
As we can see ^ Ole Miss is the most "dominant" team in the country at 35.5% , just barely nudging out Auburn (35.0%) and Alabama (34.1%).
If you scroll through the past few years we find far less parity, and numbers which support 1-3 dominant programs each year.
2013:
Florida State - 49.2%
Alabama - 42.3%
Stanford - 40.0%
2012:
Alabama - 50.6%
Oregon - 38.3%
2011:
Alabama- 53.9%
LSU- 46.8%
etc, etc, etc.
You Have To Scroll All The Way Back To 2007 Before We See Similar Parity Amongst The Top Teams.
2007:
LSU: 33.7%
Ohio State: 33.4%
USC: 33.2%
WVU: 32.7%
Prediction: This season will be a mess come December....similar to 2007
4
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:35 pm to rocket31
quote:
Prediction: This season will be a mess come December....similar to 2007
Calling it now: 2 loss LSU wins a 4 way tie breaker in the west to go to atlanta and beats UGA. Committee won't keep out the SEC champ. Head exploding ensues.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:38 pm to JohnnyKilroy
I like the way you think baw
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:38 pm to rocket31
this is the most parity (mediocrity) that i've ever seen in CFB. Weak field of teams, thou it should make for a fun finish.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:40 pm to chesty
If LSU somehow makes the playoffs Herbstreit might kill himself. 
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:40 pm to RLDSC FAN
Well, there is a lot more talent coming out if high schools. Teams are actually better across the board. Offenses are more complicated.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:42 pm to Xenophon
Yea I'd say it's much more that the mid level teams have gotten significantly better than the elite teams being significantly worse.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:43 pm to rocket31
i'm a little hesitant about using f+, but this confirms a thought i've had since about late september or so (namely that there are no dominant football teams this year)
everyone looks shaky, there's no fsu or bama coming through that door
everyone looks shaky, there's no fsu or bama coming through that door
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:47 pm to lsutothetop
quote:
i'm a little hesitant about using f+,
may i ask why?
At the end of the year, it is usually deadly accurate. The national champ typically has the highest F/+ score.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:51 pm to rocket31
"end of the year" being the key there; like a lot of math-driven rankings, they usually end up being really on-point later in the year but are somewhat inaccurate early due to small sample size
i guess we probably have enough games played at this point for it to be useful though
i guess we probably have enough games played at this point for it to be useful though
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:54 pm to lsutothetop
Okay, I do agree with that.
The measure is very useful now, for certain, but lets say ~4 weeks ago, it would be almost meaningless.
The measure is very useful now, for certain, but lets say ~4 weeks ago, it would be almost meaningless.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 1:57 pm to rocket31
Advanced statistics love alabama
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