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Which FBS teams control their own playoff destiny?

Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:22 am
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:22 am
Florida State
(Duke?)

Mississippi State
Ole Miss
Georgia

Kansas State
TCU
(Baylor?)

Oregon
Arizona

(Ohio State, Michigan State, and Nebraska could produce a one-loss champion, but I think they need some help above to get in.)
Posted by QuackAttack716
Member since Aug 2011
1377 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:25 am to
If TCU does, Baylor does. They beat TCU and they can beat K-State.

Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:28 am to
quote:

If TCU does, Baylor does. They beat TCU and they can beat K-State.

That's what I'm thinking, but if Florida State, Mississippi State, Oregon, and Michigan State all win out, I think Baylor gets shut out. I think TCU and Kansas State each would pass Sparty if they were to win out.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:36 am to
It's not neccearily about controlling their own destiny, it also is a matter of schedulng logistics.


i.e. Ole Miss and Mississippi State play, so that eliminates one. Ditto with Oregon and Arizona.

At this time IMO, the only teams that truly control their own destiny are Mississippi, Mississippi State and Auburn. Alabama loses a two way tie breaker with Mississippi I assume since they lost head to head, correct?

In the same vein, Oregon doesn't control it's own destiny to a point because it lost to Arizona, but there could be a rematch in the P12 title game, so that's another factor. But I feel confident that with their win over Michigan State, Oregon controls their own destiny with a P12 Championship and 1 loss.

It gets complicated but tl;dr, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Auburn, and Florida State are the four that hold the keys.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:47 am to
Bama
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202955 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:57 am to
quote:

Mississippi State Ole Miss Georgia



If Bama wins out..They are in...FACT..........
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:58 am to
quote:

Bama


How so?
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:58 am to
Please don't say anything else
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:58 am to
quote:

If Bama wins out..They are in...FACT..........
'

What if they win out and don't win the west?
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 2:59 am to
How not? We're number 3 in the country.

They're putting in the best teams, your conference championship will be as significant as a MAC championship. Sorry.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:00 am to
quote:

What if they win out and don't win the west?
Hello multiple SEC teams

Again, sorry.
Posted by WeBleedCrimson
Member since Mar 2008
21708 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:01 am to
If Bama wins out and Ole Miss lose again.
Bama will win the west.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:01 am to
I'm not even advocating for the B1G.

Controlling your destiny means 100% you will go if you win out.

Florida State and Mississippi State truly 100% control their own destiny.

After that, Ole Miss has the upper hand on Bama.

Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:02 am to
quote:

If Bama wins out and Ole Miss lose again.


That's the definition of not controlling your own destiny.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:03 am to
quote:

After that, Ole Miss has the upper hand on Bama.
Only if both win out. In which case, Ole Miss and Bama will both make the playoff.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:04 am to
quote:

Only if both win out. In which case, Ole Miss and Bama will both make the playoff.


In your opinion, that's not a lock.

Hence they don't control their own destiny.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:06 am to
No. That's a lock. If OM wins out, they will make the SECCG, we will still be at least #3 in the country. Regardless of whether they win the SECCG we will be in the playoff, having stayed in the top 3 for the large majority of the season and our only loss on the road to another playoff team. There's no way they will keep us out.
This post was edited on 10/26/14 at 3:09 am
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:07 am to
quote:

If OM wins out, they will make the SECCG, we will still be at least #2 in the country.


How so?

Florida State will be ahead of a one loss Bama, and one loss Mississippi.

You're talking out of your arse.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202955 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:08 am to
quote:

How so?



Well they will have beaten the #1 team in MSU, A top 5 team in AU, beat a surging LSU team, And then A maybe 2 loss UGA team in the SEC title game......they WILL be in if they win out.......
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:10 am to
I edited since you wanna nitpick one obvious point (we are number 4 today, the number 3 just lost, if we beat the number 1 we are likely to go to 2 since OM doesn't play them until the end of the season)

But forget that point and try to dispute the rest
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