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Iowa and Colorado Senate races trending Republican
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:26 am
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:26 am
Ernst up by 6 in the very respected Des Moines Register poll.
LINK
My friend in Iowa says Bruce Braley (dem candidate) is running the worst campaign Iowa has ever seen.
Gardner in Colorado is definitely surging. Quinnipiac poll has him up 8. However, Colorado is hard to poll as the Mexican voters are often very hard to reach, as they don't own phones or computers for the most part. If they show up, Udall (D), will benefit greatly.
RCP now projects the republicans to win 7 seats.
Sullivan is also pulling Away in Alaska, due to Begich (D) shameful tactics.
LINK
My friend in Iowa says Bruce Braley (dem candidate) is running the worst campaign Iowa has ever seen.
Gardner in Colorado is definitely surging. Quinnipiac poll has him up 8. However, Colorado is hard to poll as the Mexican voters are often very hard to reach, as they don't own phones or computers for the most part. If they show up, Udall (D), will benefit greatly.
RCP now projects the republicans to win 7 seats.
Sullivan is also pulling Away in Alaska, due to Begich (D) shameful tactics.
5
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:36 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
The beheading just pushed the Rs over the top
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:43 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Still think the NC race breaks GOP as well, though present polls provide little basis for that gestalt.
owa and Colorado Senate races trending Republican
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:49 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Braley has run a terrible campaign. I'd be very very surprised to see him win that race.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:03 am to NC_Tigah
If you're right does that mean 8 seats picked up nationwide?
Isn't the number needed to shift the senate 6 pick ups by the Republicans?
Isn't the number needed to shift the senate 6 pick ups by the Republicans?
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:05 am to LSURussian
quote:
Isn't the number needed to shift the senate 6 pick ups by the Republicans?
Yes, but there is some questions about whether the Kansas seat will flip, meaning 7 pick-ups may be necessary.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:08 am to NHTIGER
Okay, gotcha'. Does the 7 include Mary losing in La? Or is that a toss up?
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:16 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
forgive my youthful ignorance, but how does CO usually vote at congress level elections?
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:21 am to LSURussian
I wasn't really saying that with any particular seats in mind, other than the "sure things" in West Virginia, Montana and South Dakota. The other 4 (if 4 are actually needed - Kansas Republicans may come to their senses as Nov. 4th draws nearer) would come from the group consisting of Alaska, Louisiana, Arkansas, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, and possibly New Hampshire or Michigan. If Roberts bounces back and holds Kansas, then only 3 of those would be needed. This, of course, also assumes Kentucky and Georgia avoid the upsets that many Dems have been predicting all along. McConnell and Perdue appear to be creating a little more space in those two races each week.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 1:27 am to WinnPtiger
quote:
forgive my youthful ignorance, but how does CO usually vote at congress level elections?
In both Senate and House elections over the last 50 years, Dems and Republicans have split the seats about 50-50.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 8:31 am to NHTIGER
quote:
McConnell and Perdue appear to be creating a little more space in those two races each week.
Shame about McConnell. I have a crisp want to see him finish second.
Ideally every incumbent on the ballot would go down hard on Election Night.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 8:32 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
Still think the NC race breaks GOP as well, though present polls provide little basis for that gestalt.
Why do you think the polls are wrong? I certainly hope you're right but that sounds like sunshine pumping.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 11:38 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
While I hope the GOP takes the Senate, the fact that McConnell would be the Majority Leader removes all hope that it will be anything different from the shitshow it has been under Reid.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 11:42 am to udtiger
If this is the case, I guess a bunch of illegals will be shipped to these states pronto, and be given voting rights.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 11:45 am to udtiger
quote:At least court nominees would not be rubber stamped during the last two years of Obama's Imperial Reign.
the fact that McConnell would be the Majority Leader removes all hope that it will be anything different from the shitshow it has been under Reid.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 11:50 am to udtiger
quote:
While I hope the GOP takes the Senate, the fact that McConnell would be the Majority Leader removes all hope that it will be anything different from the shitshow it has been under Reid.
Agree. That's why the best case scenario is for the R's to pick up a few insurance seats, so Grimes can take Kentucky and the R's still have the Senate.
It would be a win-win. McConnell gone completely and Reid losing control over the voting calendar.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 11:55 am to NHTIGER
quote:
Yes, but there is some questions about whether the Kansas seat will flip
I just can't see Kansas voting for a Dem, in state Romney won by 22 points.
This post was edited on 9/28/14 at 12:08 pm
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:03 pm to redandright
quote:Don't you mean Romney?
I just can't see Kansas voting for a Dem, in state Obama won by 22 points.
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:07 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Don't you mean Romney?
quote:
just can't see Kansas voting for a Dem, in state Obama won by 22 points.
Yep. Thanks for catching that!
Posted on 9/28/14 at 12:25 pm to redandright
GA, KY, KS, AK, AR would give the R's 50.
Then you still have LA, IA, CO and NC. If any of those go R then King(I) would caucus with the R so thats another one.
So not counting MI, NH the most the R's could get to would be 55.
I'm thinking 53-47 with the indy from Maine.
Then you still have LA, IA, CO and NC. If any of those go R then King(I) would caucus with the R so thats another one.
So not counting MI, NH the most the R's could get to would be 55.
I'm thinking 53-47 with the indy from Maine.
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