All data presented herein is for entertainment purposes only. Wagering on sports is a crime in Louisiana and most of the United States. My best value plays are followed by an asterisk.

Saints (-6) at Cleveland.
LeBron James will be honorary captain is the rumor.

Will any NFL team go 16-0?

Yes: +4000 (if you bet $100 you would win $4000 for a return of $4100)

NFL MVP

Drew Brees +800 (if you bet $100 you would win $800 for a return of $900)

Saints at Falcons Props

Margin of Victory:

Saints Win by 22 or more +500
Saints Win by 1 to 3 points +600
Saints Win by 4 to 6 points +900
Saints Win by 7-10 points +600
Saints Win by 11-13 points +1450*
Falcons Win by 22 or more +1000

Player to Score first TD:

J. Graham +500
J. Jones +700
S. Jackson +800
R. White +850
M. Colston +900
P. Thomas +1000
M. Ingram +1200*
B. Cooks +1300
K. Robinson +1900*
J. Rodgers +2000*
B. Watson +2200*
D. Hester +4000
M. Ryan +4500*
D. Brees +5000*
N. Toon +6000
No Touchdown +15000

Longest TD of Game:

Over 50.5 Yards -115
Under 50.5 Yards - 115

Saints at Falcons - Team Points

Saints over 28 -110
Saints under 28 -120

Falcons over 25 -115
Falcons under 25 -115*

First Score of Game wil be:

Touchdown -200
Any other score +165* inflated value compared to other games, especially considering kicking indoors w/ accurate veteran kickers

Saints @ Falcons - Will there be score in first 5:30 of game

Yes: -130
No: Even*

Team to score first:

Saints -130
Falcons even

This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 10:53 am

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Posted by 1609tiger

Member since Feb 2011

3234 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:56 am to SirWinston

Saints win by 22 or more is +500 No way 5000 maybe. These bets are easy house money.

This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am

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Posted by SirWinston

PNW

Member since Jul 2014

81875 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am to 1609tiger

It's actually correct. Think about it... you get the entire range of 22-infinity points of victory (obviously only 22-35 or so is realistic but still).

The other options you only get 3-4 point range.

Also, the Falcons are only +1000 to beat New Orleans by 22 or more. That meshes with liklihood.

My favorite play is the "Saints win by 11-13" because that's where I have this game capped and the payoff seems unusually high for this range - Saints 28, Falcons 17.

This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 11:01 am

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Posted by Fun Bunch

New Orleans

Member since May 2008

115966 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am to SirWinston

Alejandro confirmed

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Posted by BilJ

Member since Sep 2003

158763 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:02 am to Fun Bunch

my thoughts exactly

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Posted by josh336

baton rouge

Member since Jan 2007

77502 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:03 am to SirWinston

You have the game capped at 11, and vegas only has it at 2 or 3? Hmmm, who do we believe?

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Posted by SirWinston

PNW

Member since Jul 2014

81875 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:05 am to josh336

It's my biggest play ever. Vegas is petrified of this game. Virtually all of the money is on the Saints - sharps pounded it early on at +1.5 and +1 and now the public is still taking Saints at -3 and -120.

Vegas took a beating last night on Seattle and this is currently the 2nd heaviest wagered game of Week 1. They're praying for an ATL cover and it might get to -3.5 before kickoff.

This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 11:09 am

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Posted by SirWinston

PNW

Member since Jul 2014

81875 posts

Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:08 am to 1609tiger

quote:
These bets are easy house money.

I agree for the most part. I bet 99% on sides and money line. But some of the plays (which I asterisk'd) are good value like J. Rodgers or K. Robinson or M. Ryan scoring the first TD.

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Posted by SirWinston

PNW

Member since Jul 2014

81875 posts

Posted on 9/7/14 at 12:51 pm to SirWinston