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Message
Brown vs Shaheen has closed from 12pts to 2pts: Brown now trails 44%-46%
Posted on 8/25/14 at 6:14 am
Posted on 8/25/14 at 6:14 am
quote:All despite the fact Brown still has not won his primary. That's about 2 weeks away vs fmr Gov Bob Smith. Also despite the fact Shaheen has out spent him nearly 4-to-1 ($4,134,028 vs $1,129,856) thus far.
The senate candidates getting the most attention from local and national media are incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown. If the election were held today and Shaheen and Brown were the candidates, 46% of likely voters say they would vote for Shaheen, 44% would vote for Brown, 1% would vote for someone else and 9% are undecided.
Shaheen has long been popular in New Hampshire, and she has led Brown throughout the spring and summer, but her campaign is being weighed down by national politics, particularly the declining popularity of President Obama. Only 37% of likely voters approve of the job Obama is doing as president and Shaheen holds a 92% to 4% lead among this group, but Brown holds a 71% to 17% lead among the 59% of likely voters who disapprove of Obama.
Shaheen still maintains comfortable leads over the other top Republican challengers, former New Hampshire senator Bob Smith and former state senator Jim Rubens. If Smith were the Republican nominee, 50% of likely voters say they would vote for Shaheen, 36% would vote for Smith, 2% would support someone else, and 13% are undecided.
2
Posted on 8/25/14 at 6:19 am to NC_Tigah
Ooops, forgot the links.
Poll was conducted by the University of NH - WMUR Granite State Poll.
and here's the source of the Finance #'s
Poll was conducted by the University of NH - WMUR Granite State Poll.
and here's the source of the Finance #'s
This post was edited on 8/25/14 at 6:21 am
Posted on 8/25/14 at 7:22 am to NC_Tigah
You guys just refuse to learn. They've been polling NH all year and Shaheen is beating the crap out of Brown. One poll shows him within 2 points and suddenly that's it. 
especially considering the only missteps have come from Brown.
When every poll shows one thing and one poll shows another, it's called an "outlier".
And what have outside groups spent attacking Shaheen? $3.5 million. And he's still known as The Granite State Bust
The GOP will probably take the Senate but will not win NH.
especially considering the only missteps have come from Brown. When every poll shows one thing and one poll shows another, it's called an "outlier".
And what have outside groups spent attacking Shaheen? $3.5 million. And he's still known as The Granite State Bust
The GOP will probably take the Senate but will not win NH.
This post was edited on 8/25/14 at 7:28 am
Posted on 8/25/14 at 10:36 am to Vegas Bengal
You sound nervous?
This should be a safe seat but it ain't. NH with Scott Brown in the race is a Tossup at best for Dens. He is one of the best retail politicians in the country.
This should be a safe seat but it ain't. NH with Scott Brown in the race is a Tossup at best for Dens. He is one of the best retail politicians in the country.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 12:25 pm to TOKEN
quote:
You sound nervous?
This should be a safe seat but it ain't. NH with Scott Brown in the race is a Tossup at best for Dens. He is one of the best retail politicians in the country.
"A tossup at best"
That's delusional, this is going to be a 5-7 point Shaheen win over the carpetbagger.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 12:34 pm to Vegas Bengal
quote:
Vegas Bengal
Geeeezz....all the guy did was post a link and you launch into a paragraph'd rant....'you guys'
:racist:
Posted on 8/25/14 at 12:52 pm to socraticsilence
quote:
That's delusional, this is going to be a 5-7 point Shaheen win over the carpetbagger.
i wouldnt call it a slam dunk.
But what gets me is I remember the right being completely batshit mad about clinton running in NY. But now their boy is doing it in NH, its cool.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:37 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
I remember the right being completely batshit mad about clinton running in NY
Do you? People were being completely batshit mad about clinton running in the RFK state?
I don't recall that.
Nor do I see the left going particularly nuts about Brown's redidency credentials.
NH should be solid Dem in 2014. Perhaps it will be. Following the primaries in a couple of weeks, we'll have a better idea. But to assert this thing has not closed is silly.
If Brown even keeps the state in play though, that's still a boatload better than Smith would have done.
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