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Are huge upsets more probable in college football or the NFL?
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:53 pm
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:53 pm
On any given day, which upset is more probable:
An underdog college football team beating a top ranked team with nothing to lose or a huge underdog NFL team playing just for pride beating a Super Bowl contender?
An underdog college football team beating a top ranked team with nothing to lose or a huge underdog NFL team playing just for pride beating a Super Bowl contender?
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:56 pm to hikingfan
NFL
Big college programs have too much of a depth advantage
Big college programs have too much of a depth advantage
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:56 pm to hikingfan
If you're asking this question, you probably don't watch either.
Upsets in professional sports are much more common.
Upsets in professional sports are much more common.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:04 pm to hikingfan
NFL, but for that reason they really arent upsets in the way they are in college.....anyone can win on any given Sunday in the NFL
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:04 pm to hikingfan
NFL
There is more parody in the NFL than in College. While i think there are more underdog victories, I don't know how many would be considered "huge upsets".
There is more parody in the NFL than in College. While i think there are more underdog victories, I don't know how many would be considered "huge upsets".
This post was edited on 8/17/14 at 10:05 pm
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:05 pm to TypoKnig
quote:THANKS GOODELL
There is more parody in the NFL
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:08 pm to Kafka
There are no huge upsets in the NFL. So college is the answer.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:10 pm to hikingfan
NFL doesn't really have huge upsets.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:16 pm to hikingfan
I'd say college. You can have upsets in the NFL but they'll never be as epic as Appalachian State over Michigan. A bad NFL team beating a good one is too ordinary to be considered a huge upset.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:27 pm to TypoKnig
quote:lulz
There is more parody in the NFL than in College
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:44 pm to hikingfan
It's kind of a difficult question. The worst NFL team is much closer in talent to the best than the worst college team is to the best, because there are only 32 NFL teams, there's a salary cap, even the worst team has elite talent, etc. So in that sense, it's much more likely that a bad team like the Jaguars would beat the Seahawks than a team like Georgia Southern would beat Florida State.
But if you look at it a different way, I think there are more variables in college football. Players have to deal with classes/tests and less time for practice. They might be having girlfriend problems. Plus, they are more likely to buy into the hype they're getting and are more vulnerable to pressure and mistakes than pros. Additionally, an underdog team in college, I think, is more likely to have an "us against the world" mindset, be impacted (positively) by emotions and really be motivated to pull off an upset. I don't think this is as likely in the NFL, where the preparation and overall lifestyle of the players is more professional and less sporadic. So I think in the NFL, both teams are more likely to play their 'B' games all the time. In college, a great team could play a 'D' game and an underdog could play an 'A' game.
Basically, if a spread in an NFL game is 14 points, and a spread in a college game is 14 points, I think it's much more likely the college game will end with the underdog winning. But of course, 14 is probably close to the largest spread you'll see in an NFL game, while college has games that are much larger.
But if you look at it a different way, I think there are more variables in college football. Players have to deal with classes/tests and less time for practice. They might be having girlfriend problems. Plus, they are more likely to buy into the hype they're getting and are more vulnerable to pressure and mistakes than pros. Additionally, an underdog team in college, I think, is more likely to have an "us against the world" mindset, be impacted (positively) by emotions and really be motivated to pull off an upset. I don't think this is as likely in the NFL, where the preparation and overall lifestyle of the players is more professional and less sporadic. So I think in the NFL, both teams are more likely to play their 'B' games all the time. In college, a great team could play a 'D' game and an underdog could play an 'A' game.
Basically, if a spread in an NFL game is 14 points, and a spread in a college game is 14 points, I think it's much more likely the college game will end with the underdog winning. But of course, 14 is probably close to the largest spread you'll see in an NFL game, while college has games that are much larger.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:52 pm to Buckeye Fan 19
quote:
The worst NFL team is much closer in talent to the best than the worst college team is to the best, because there are only 32 NFL teams, there's a salary cap, even the worst team has elite talent, etc. So in that sense, it's much more likely that a bad team like the Jaguars would beat the Seahawks than a team like Georgia Southern would beat Florida State.
Exactly. Even the Jaguars and the Raiders are still professional football teams with nothing but professional football players on their teams. So even if an 0-15 team beat a 15-0 team at the end of the year I think most people would just kind of shrug and then expect that 15-1 team to still do well in the playoffs.
Posted on 8/17/14 at 11:23 pm to hikingfan
I don't by upsets in the NFL, anyone can wake up Sunday morning and beat you.
They're all professionals.
They're all professionals.
This post was edited on 8/17/14 at 11:58 pm
Posted on 8/17/14 at 11:32 pm to Tactical1
quote:Stroke?
I don't by upsets in the NFL, everyone is can wake up and best you on Sunday.
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