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Are huge upsets more probable in college football or the NFL?

Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:53 pm
Posted by hikingfan
Member since Jun 2013
1659 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:53 pm
On any given day, which upset is more probable:

An underdog college football team beating a top ranked team with nothing to lose or a huge underdog NFL team playing just for pride beating a Super Bowl contender?
Posted by meauxses
Member since Nov 2012
2695 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:54 pm to
NFL
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:55 pm to
NFL easy.
Posted by Kafka
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
142006 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:56 pm to
NFL

Big college programs have too much of a depth advantage
Posted by LordSaintly
Member since Dec 2005
38914 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:56 pm to
If you're asking this question, you probably don't watch either.

Upsets in professional sports are much more common.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83937 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 9:57 pm to
Easily the NFL.
Posted by LL012697
Member since May 2013
3963 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:04 pm to
NFL, but for that reason they really arent upsets in the way they are in college.....anyone can win on any given Sunday in the NFL
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:04 pm to
NFL

There is more parody in the NFL than in College. While i think there are more underdog victories, I don't know how many would be considered "huge upsets".
This post was edited on 8/17/14 at 10:05 pm
Posted by Kafka
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
142006 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

There is more parody in the NFL
THANKS GOODELL
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:08 pm to
There are no huge upsets in the NFL. So college is the answer.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71420 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:08 pm to
NFL
Posted by Bad Medicine
Member since Aug 2014
3575 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:10 pm to
NFL doesn't really have huge upsets.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71131 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:16 pm to
I'd say college. You can have upsets in the NFL but they'll never be as epic as Appalachian State over Michigan. A bad NFL team beating a good one is too ordinary to be considered a huge upset.
Posted by OWLFAN86
The OT has made me richer
Member since Jun 2004
175903 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

There is more parody in the NFL than in College
lulz
Posted by tiderider
Member since Nov 2012
7703 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:42 pm to
college ...
Posted by Buckeye Fan 19
Member since Dec 2007
36159 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:44 pm to
It's kind of a difficult question. The worst NFL team is much closer in talent to the best than the worst college team is to the best, because there are only 32 NFL teams, there's a salary cap, even the worst team has elite talent, etc. So in that sense, it's much more likely that a bad team like the Jaguars would beat the Seahawks than a team like Georgia Southern would beat Florida State.

But if you look at it a different way, I think there are more variables in college football. Players have to deal with classes/tests and less time for practice. They might be having girlfriend problems. Plus, they are more likely to buy into the hype they're getting and are more vulnerable to pressure and mistakes than pros. Additionally, an underdog team in college, I think, is more likely to have an "us against the world" mindset, be impacted (positively) by emotions and really be motivated to pull off an upset. I don't think this is as likely in the NFL, where the preparation and overall lifestyle of the players is more professional and less sporadic. So I think in the NFL, both teams are more likely to play their 'B' games all the time. In college, a great team could play a 'D' game and an underdog could play an 'A' game.

Basically, if a spread in an NFL game is 14 points, and a spread in a college game is 14 points, I think it's much more likely the college game will end with the underdog winning. But of course, 14 is probably close to the largest spread you'll see in an NFL game, while college has games that are much larger.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66432 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:51 pm to
nfl easily
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25869 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

The worst NFL team is much closer in talent to the best than the worst college team is to the best, because there are only 32 NFL teams, there's a salary cap, even the worst team has elite talent, etc. So in that sense, it's much more likely that a bad team like the Jaguars would beat the Seahawks than a team like Georgia Southern would beat Florida State.


Exactly. Even the Jaguars and the Raiders are still professional football teams with nothing but professional football players on their teams. So even if an 0-15 team beat a 15-0 team at the end of the year I think most people would just kind of shrug and then expect that 15-1 team to still do well in the playoffs.
Posted by Tactical1
Denham Springs
Member since May 2010
27104 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 11:23 pm to
I don't by upsets in the NFL, anyone can wake up Sunday morning and beat you.

They're all professionals.
This post was edited on 8/17/14 at 11:58 pm
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 8/17/14 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

I don't by upsets in the NFL, everyone is can wake up and best you on Sunday.
Stroke?
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