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Predict the members of the NCAA football top 10 on 10/1/2014

Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:15 pm
Posted by ironsides
Nashville, TN
Member since May 2006
8153 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:15 pm
Was perusing the current top 25 today and thinking about schedules, who do you think is really going to be in the top 10 once we are 4 - 5 games into the season?

Here's what I think - top 10 cluster, no particular ranking just the teams I believe will be in there:

Alabama - current rank #2, can lose one and still be in top 10.

Oklahoma - current #3, literally no difficult games in September

Ohio State - Current #6, only one difficult game and would still be in top 10 with one loss.

UCLA - Current #7, has 2 difficult games in September, but even if they lose 1 would still be in the top 10.

FSU - current #1, but they have 2 tough games in September, won't lose both of them and will be in the top 10 regardless

Oregon - Current #4, only one difficult game

Auburn - current #5, 2 difficult games, but only a 4% chance they drop both of them.

Nebraska - creampuff schedule, will be undefeated on 10/1

Baylor - creampuff schedule, will be undefeated on 10/1

LSU - currently #13, but should be undefeated come 10/1

Current top 10 members that will drop out:
- Michigan state - current #8 but will lose a game. Undefeated Nebraska / Baylor would get in over them
- South Carolina - have 3 difficult games in September, probably will lose one.

Again, the chronology isn't meant to indicate rank, just the teams I think will be in the top 10 come 10/1.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:26 pm to
Kansas State could be lurking if they beat Auburn
Posted by RonFNSwanson
University of LSU
Member since Mar 2012
23165 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Auburn - current #5, 2 difficult games, but only a 4% chance they drop both of them.


What formula did you use to figure that out
Posted by ironsides
Nashville, TN
Member since May 2006
8153 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:43 pm to
Pulled it outta my arse. Figured 20% chance they would lose to either K State or Arky. 20%x20% is 4%
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:47 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/9/23 at 2:14 pm
Posted by ironsides
Nashville, TN
Member since May 2006
8153 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

I was going to be insulted but then I realized that LA Tech plays Oklahoma in August


Don't let me stop you from dreamin'.
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 3:52 pm to
Arky has 0 chance of beating Auburn
Posted by ironsides
Nashville, TN
Member since May 2006
8153 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Arky has 0 chance of beating Auburn


Look, I know Jeremy Johnson has 100% completion rate against Arkansas, but I don't consider 1 pass a great sample size. Starting QB suspended. Arkansas has sucked for a while, it's about time Beilema pulled out a win.
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 8/12/14 at 4:08 pm to
He'll pull out a win but it wont be against auburn
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