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Message
Despite grousing voters rarely fire incumbents
Posted on 6/29/14 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 6/29/14 at 1:55 pm
LINK
WASHINGTON (AP) — Congress is wildly unpopular.
In fact, two-thirds of Americans want their own House member booted. And the tea party is dogging longtime Republican lawmakers.
So incumbents are sweating out this year's election, right?
Nope. Mostly they're not.
People talk about throwing the bums out, but voters keep sending the same bunch back in.
More than halfway through the party primaries, 293 House and Senate members have completed their quests for renomination.
The score: Incumbents 291, challengers 2.
Granted, one of those two losses was a shocker. A virtual unknown, Dave Brat, toppled House Majority Leader Eric Cantor of Virginia in a Republican primary.
Two longtime lawmakers — Republican Sen. Thad Cochran of Mississippi and Democratic Rep. Charles Rangel of New York — barely clung to nominations to their seats Tuesday.
But those rare exciting races that draw national attention are misleading. Most of the House candidates, about 60 percent so far, didn't have a soul running against them. Only a few faced a challenger who posed a real threat. No senator has been defeated yet.
What about November, when Republicans and Democrats face off in the general election?
It looks to be a dramatic midterm, all right, with Republicans pushing to seize control of the Senate. More incumbents will be vulnerable in the general election than the primaries. Still, the vast majority of sitting lawmakers are snug in their seats.
Over the past five decades, voters have routinely returned 9 of 10 incumbent candidates to the House. Senate races are a bit less predictable, but usually more than 80 percent of incumbents win.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Congress is wildly unpopular.
In fact, two-thirds of Americans want their own House member booted. And the tea party is dogging longtime Republican lawmakers.
So incumbents are sweating out this year's election, right?
Nope. Mostly they're not.
People talk about throwing the bums out, but voters keep sending the same bunch back in.
More than halfway through the party primaries, 293 House and Senate members have completed their quests for renomination.
The score: Incumbents 291, challengers 2.
Granted, one of those two losses was a shocker. A virtual unknown, Dave Brat, toppled House Majority Leader Eric Cantor of Virginia in a Republican primary.
Two longtime lawmakers — Republican Sen. Thad Cochran of Mississippi and Democratic Rep. Charles Rangel of New York — barely clung to nominations to their seats Tuesday.
But those rare exciting races that draw national attention are misleading. Most of the House candidates, about 60 percent so far, didn't have a soul running against them. Only a few faced a challenger who posed a real threat. No senator has been defeated yet.
What about November, when Republicans and Democrats face off in the general election?
It looks to be a dramatic midterm, all right, with Republicans pushing to seize control of the Senate. More incumbents will be vulnerable in the general election than the primaries. Still, the vast majority of sitting lawmakers are snug in their seats.
Over the past five decades, voters have routinely returned 9 of 10 incumbent candidates to the House. Senate races are a bit less predictable, but usually more than 80 percent of incumbents win.
Posted on 6/29/14 at 1:59 pm to Eurocat
Shocking! First anyone has heard of this, I'm sure.
ETA: Thad came close to it.
This post was edited on 6/29/14 at 2:00 pm
Posted on 6/29/14 at 2:06 pm to Eurocat
This is why my interest for politics is dwindling, and why my annoyance and resentment has shifted from the people in office to the idiots that make up the general population.
It's human nature to destroy societies, given enough time.
It's human nature to destroy societies, given enough time.
Posted on 6/29/14 at 2:06 pm to TrueTiger
I was raising the point with some shocking statistics thinking this would make some people think about this issue more than in the past. I am sorry if I disturbed you. Thank you for reading my post and have a good one.
Posted on 6/29/14 at 2:08 pm to Eurocat
Shame on you. You broke the string of Obama is the devil threads
Posted on 6/29/14 at 2:12 pm to Eurocat
quote:
I was raising the point with some shocking statistics thinking this would make some people think about this issue more than in the past
The average American votes as if it's a popularity contest. You don't need to be solid on issues, just look good, speak well and have a good PR and speechwriter. Really isn't a secret.
Resistance to the status quo in politics is met with "fringe" and "loon" comments.
Posted on 6/29/14 at 2:31 pm to RogerTheShrubber
There is also name recognition and directly connected to this is the campaign budgets of incumbents. They also get name recognition for pork and legitimate spending coverage in the local press. They also get press coverage for citizen meetings when they swing through the district. I believe they also have budgets to send out news letters and emails to constituents.
Another big factor that enhances the popularity of the local congressman is their ability to get things done for the locals. Problem with passports, or ssi, or va, etc. - a lot of people will ask for and get the assistance of their congressman to resolve the issue. Their staffs can be really good at this.
Another big factor that enhances the popularity of the local congressman is their ability to get things done for the locals. Problem with passports, or ssi, or va, etc. - a lot of people will ask for and get the assistance of their congressman to resolve the issue. Their staffs can be really good at this.
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