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Better for the US: Have a winner in the Germany/Portugal match or a draw?

Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:30 pm
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25872 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:30 pm
I know there are a lot of WC related threads already started but I wasn't sure where to put this question.

Most are predicting to get out of the group the US is essentially required to get that W and the 3pts in the Ghana match because of how tough the Portugal and Germany matches will be, but what will be a better scenario for the US in the Germany v Portugal match?

If the US get its 3pts vs Ghana is it a better scenario for Germany and Portugal to get 1pt each or is it better for there to be a winner and have 1 of the European powers come up with 3 pts but the other starts in a 0pt hole?

What if the US and Ghana draw? Is the best scenario for the others to draw as well and everyone just starts with 1pt?
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31081 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:35 pm to
We want every game not involving the US to draw in an ideal world because only two points are doled out not three.
Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:36 pm to
I think the ideal situation would be for Portugal and Ghana to drop as many points as possible.
Posted by Ryne Sandberg
Team Am Mart
Member since Apr 2009
19368 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:37 pm to
Draw is always the best option
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25872 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

We want every game not involving the US to draw in an ideal world because only two points are doled out not three.



Seriously? I swear I saw someone talk about getting 3pts in the WC. Maybe they were talking accumulation.
Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:47 pm to
If a team wins, they get 3 points. If they draw, each team gets only one. So only two points are given out for a draw instead of three.
Posted by Ryne Sandberg
Team Am Mart
Member since Apr 2009
19368 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:49 pm to
3 games in the group for each team, so the maximum points is 9 points.
3 points for a win
1 point for a draw
0 points for a loss
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31081 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:51 pm to
Draw is 1+1=2 points total (one for each team).

Win is 3 points for one team.

Sorry if that was confusing somehow.
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25872 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Draw is 1+1=2 points total (one for each team).

Win is 3 points for one team.

Sorry if that was confusing somehow.


Yeah that's what I thought. I just figured since 2 teams get out of a group which would be a better scenario after the 1st matches.

For example:

US - 3
Ger - 3
Port - 0
Ghana - 0

or

US - 3
Ger - 1
Port - 1
Ghana - 0

With each team have 2 more games left it just seemed like it might be a better scenario to for the US to have 2 teams with 0 pts going into their 2nd game than to 2 have 2 teams with 1 pt.
Posted by Sheep
Neither here nor there
Member since Jun 2007
19501 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Better for the US: Have a winner in the Germany/Portugal match or a draw?




Meteor strike at the stadium.
Posted by arkyhawk
SWMO
Member since Jan 2013
8116 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 5:18 pm to
In a perfect world, a draw.


But this world ain't perfect and we need Germany to destroy Portugal. The odds of us beating/drawing Portugal are much greater than that against Germany.
Posted by SuperSoakher
Member since Jun 2012
4585 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

Sorry if that was confusing somehow.


It was and you should feel bad
Posted by thenry712
Zasullia, Ukraine
Member since Nov 2008
15795 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 5:58 pm to
Germany wins and Ronaldo and Pepe are sent off.
Posted by ATLienTiger
NOLA
Member since Oct 2006
26861 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

we need Germany to destroy Portugal. The odds of us beating/drawing Portugal are much greater than that against Germany.


I agree with this. USA needs to beat Ghana, and at worst draw Portugal.
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 7:15 pm to
imho, it would be better if we win vs. Ghana, that Germany wins by 3 or 4 goals ( bigger the better ) then, even if we lost to Portugal by 1 goal we would still both be on 3 points and Germany would be on 6 and have a big goal differential, and they would essentially be coasting in the final game, already having locked up first place.( with a huge goal differential ) Of course if we draw with Portugal and have a 4 point to 1 point advantage with a huge goal difference for CRZ & company to make up, we would be sitting pretty win, lose or draw vs. Germany.

I know that sounds complicated, but I think we want Germany to win big, especially since we play them last. If we played Portugal last and Germany 2nd I would probably hope for a big Portugal win.

GO DEUTSCHLAND
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
50253 posts
Posted on 5/30/14 at 7:21 pm to
yes.
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