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FiveThirtyEight: Landrieu has a 28% chance of winning; behind Cassidy in polls.

Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:05 pm
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:05 pm
Mary's campaign is a sinking ship anchored by Obama

quote:

Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana is in danger of losing re-election. Polls show her trailing Republican Bill Cassidy, and President Obama is deeply unpopular in Louisiana

quote:

In Louisiana, Landrieu still has only about a 1-in-3 chance of winning even when her incumbent status is included. Her polling at this point isn’t good enough for incumbency to put her over the top.







Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:06 pm to
she is just getting started unfortunately
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:11 pm to
her centered up over the last two weeks have been quite comical.

shes starting to mobilize though.

the next month or so will really shake this race out.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
112469 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:12 pm to
I've seen about 50 ads from Landrieu up here in Sheveport (and I rarely watch TV). Have seen zero ads for Cassidy. I assume he's waiting for closer to the election.

Landrieu is probably trying to move the polls now because she won't get any money from the DNC if she's considered a lost cause by August.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101390 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

shes starting to mobilize though.

the next month or so will really shake this race out.


I think she's really grasping at straws for a narrative. The Koch thing was bewildering.
Posted by fleaux
section 0
Member since Aug 2012
8741 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:15 pm to
The ad with her and her dad is even worse
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:18 pm to
moon the coon
Posted by TROLA
BATON ROUGE
Member since Apr 2004
12334 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:18 pm to
Shes been blowing through cash this last month in hopes of keeping it close, because she needs more money and the impending ACA booms loom large. Her strategy has revolved around getting out front by July and then hope the DNC comes in with loads of cash to buffer the onslaught that hasn't even begun from Cassidy's side.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123908 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

FiveThirtyEight: Landrieu has a 28% chance of winning; behind Cassidy in polls.
That's why Patriot Majority USA (the Dems scummy fake tea party 501c) spent 3/4ths of a million dollars undercutting Cassidy in the primary.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

her centered up over the last two weeks have been quite comical.

No kidding.

I wouldn't be surprised to see her in a TV ad soon placing flowers on Ronald Reagan's grave......
This post was edited on 5/15/14 at 12:23 pm
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:21 pm to
Moon & Mary # 1

Moon & Mary # 2

guessing there is a # 3 with the TBC at the end of the second.


what are the chances that house is owned by a Landrieu? 0.001%
This post was edited on 5/15/14 at 12:23 pm
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36030 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:23 pm to
When will the commercial run telling us why she voted for the ACA, and what she has done to change it since it passed?
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:30 pm to
will have to wait on the Koch brothers ad for that I guess
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36030 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

will have to wait on the Koch brothers ad for that I guess


It's amazing what these guys can do by themselves.

They get more done a few million dollars than Mary and the Dems do with trillions of dollars.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101390 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:48 pm to
Good god, she looks awful in those ads.
quote:

what are the chances that house is owned by a Landrieu? 0.001%


That's more than likely Moon's house. If you know it from the outside, it's not really surprising that it would look like that on the inside.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45805 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:48 pm to
All she had is the Koch Brothers hit ad...
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:50 pm to
Why should Cassidy spend any money on ads when every time she bashes him his polling goes up?

She has a war chest. She raised 50% more than Bill in the last quarter. Which isn't alarming, that's what incumbents do.

But she probably won't be slinging anymore mud cause all that's doing is giving him name recognition.

Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79108 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Cassidy


Going in dry

She was up just last week!
Posted by CITWTT
baton rouge
Member since Sep 2005
31765 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 1:00 pm to
Last night on the news he was crowing about Dole returning ita head quarters to NOLA, when it left it was the United Fruit company and several times paid for private wars.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72080 posts
Posted on 5/15/14 at 1:54 pm to
I'll believe it when I see Landrieu actually lose.
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