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Regarding Benghazi: The CIA Believed A Media Mistake

Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:55 pm
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:55 pm
quote:

Analysts relied on news reports of protests, fueling the scandal and revealing the agency's struggle to accurately collect and assess public information, according to a Senate Intelligence Committee on report on Benghazi

Updated 10:06 a.m. E.T. on May 9

Here’s an unsolicited tip for the newly appointed head of the House of Representative’s select committee on Benghazi, Rep. Trey Gowdy of South Carolina: A smoking gun explanation for the Obama Administration’s use of false talking points to describe the September 11, 2012 terrorist attack has already been found. And the culprit is not a White House adviser or State Department bureaucrat. It’s the intelligence community’s reliance on the media.

The House voted 232-186 Thursday to set up the select committee on Benghazi, but before Gowdy launches an eight month probe into the attack that killed four Americans, it is worth noting that there is a simple, real-world explanation hiding in plain sight. It’s tucked inside the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence report on Benghazi, which reveals a key source of the bad intelligence that made it into Ambassador Susan Rice’s famous talking points: the media incorrectly reported that before the attack on Sept. 11, 2012 there were protests outside the U.S. facilities in Benghazi when there weren’t.

And the CIA believed those reports, resulting in talking points that were delivered to Ambassador Susan Rice, who told the nation on several Sunday news programs Sept. 16 that the attacks in Benghazi were “a spontaneous reaction” to protests that had occurred on the same day in Cairo against an anti-Islamic video published in the U.S. “People gathered outside the embassy and then it grew very violent and those with extremist ties joined the fray and came with heavy weapons, which unfortunately are quite common in post-revolutionary Libya and that then spun out of control,” Rice told Fox News Sunday, incorrectly. “We don’t see at this point signs this was a coordinated plan, premeditated attack.”

Think of it as a really bad game of telephone. To draw up those talking points, the CIA relied on at least six early press reports that said the Benghazi attacks grew out of protests against an anti-Muslim film that had appeared on the Internet, according to the SSCI report. The source of the mistake looks clear in retrospect. For starters, violence targeting U.S. diplomatic facilities did take place in Egypt, Yemen and Tunisia in reaction to the video. Protests against the film occurred in over 40 countries around the world. Furthermore, reporters for western news organizations interviewed people at the scene after the attacks in Benghazi who said they were angry about the same film. And Libyan government officials repeated the reports. (A TIME story on Sept. 12 referred to “protests” in Benghazi against the film).

But the reports of spontaneous protests preceding the attacks in Benghazi turned out to be wrong. The attacks were launched by well-armed militants rather than spontaneously emerging from demonstrations. And while the CIA had multiple sources, like signals intercepts, in the immediate aftermath of the attacks, the Senate investigation found the agency “relied heavily on open source press reports.”

The subsequent analyses produced by the CIA and others in the U.S. intelligence community were likewise affected by the initial reporting in the media, the SSCI report finds:

quote:

[A]pproximately a dozen [intelligence] reports that included press accounts, public statements by [terrorist group Ansar al-Sharia] members, HUMINT reporting, DOD reporting, and signals intelligence all stated or strongly suggested that a protest occurred outside of the Mission facility just prior to the attacks.


The most famous of these reports formed the basis of talking points provided to members of Congress by the CIA Sept. 15, 2012. They began, “The currently available information suggests that the demonstrations in Benghazi were spontaneously inspired by the protests at the US Embassy in Cairo and evolved into a direct assault against the US diplomatic post and subsequently its annex.”

This was despite the fact that on Sept 15 the CIA’s chief of station in Tripoli sent top CIA officials an e-mail that said the attacks were “not/not an escalation of protests” and that survivors recovering in Germany did not refer to protests in interviews. Last month the CIA’s former deputy director, Michael Morrell, testified in front of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence that it was only after the Libyan government said on Sept. 18 that video footage showed no protests that the CIA concluded they had got it wrong.


LINK
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57216 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:56 pm to
So now it's the media's fault?
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62412 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
And we know who controls the media...
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
At least four separate news agencies, with their own set of reporters and witnesses, reported that the Benghazi tragedy was much about anger to the anti-Muslim video.

Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:59 pm to
A larger excerpt from the SSCI report:

quote:

In the immediate aftermath of the attacks, the IC received numerous reports, both classified and unclassified, which provided contradictory accounts that there were demonstrations at the Temporary Mission Facility. In some cases, these intelligence reports-which were disseminated widely in the Intelligence Community--contained references to press reports on protests that were simply copied into intelligence products. Other reporting indicated there were no protests. For example, the IC obtained closed circuit television video from the Mission facility [][][][], and there were credible eyewitness statements of U.S. personnel on the ground that night, which the FBI began to collect from interviewing survivors starting on September 15, 2012, in Ramstein Air Base, Germany.

The IC also had information that there were no protests outside the Temporary Mission Facility prior to the attacks, but did not incorporate that information into its widely circulated assessments in a timely manner. Contrary to many press reports at the time, eyewitness statements by U.S. personnel indicate that there were no protests at the start of the attacks. For example, on September 15, 2012,. the CIA's Chief of Station in Tripoli sent to the then-Deputy Director of the CIA and others at the CIA an email that reported the attacks were "not/not an
escalation of protests."116 Yet, the CIA's January 4, 2013, Analytic Line Review downplays the importance of this email, noting, " ... as a standard practice, we do not base analysis on e-mails and other informal communications from the field because such accounts often change when formalized as disseminated intelligence reports." 117

Moreover, it appears this reporting from those present during the attacks did not make its way into assessments at CIA Headquarters, as the Deputy Director of the Middle East and North Africa Analysis Office at CIA wrote an internal email, dated September 16, 2012, that rnentioned "protestors that preceded the violence."118 On September 18, 2012, the FBI and CIA reviewed the closed circuit television video from the Mission facility that showed there were no protests prior to the attacks. Although information gathered from interviews with U.S. personnel who were on the ground during the attacks was shared informally between the FBI and CIA, it was not until two days later, on September 20, 2012, that the FBI disseminated its intelligence reports detailing such interviews.119

A dearth of clear and definitive HUMINT or eyewitness reporting led IC analysts to rely on open press reports and limited SIGINT reporting that incorrectly attributed the origins of the Benghazi attacks to "protests," over first-hand accounts from U.S. officials on the ground. CIA's January 4, 2013, Analytic Line Review found that "[a ]pproximately a dozen reports that included press accounts, public statements by AAS members, HUMINT reporting, DOD reporting, and signals intelligence all stated or strongly suggested that a protest occurred outside of the Mission facility just prior to the attacks."120

Of the 11 reports cited by the CIA's Analytic Line Review, six were press articles, two were the public statements of Ansar al-Sharia, and the three others were intelligence reports. Specific open source reports and intelligence on which analysts appear to have based their judgments include the public statements by Ansar al-Sharia that the attacks were a "spontaneous and popular uprising."121 Also, there was protest activity in Egypt and approximately 40 other cities around the world and violent attacks against U.S. diplomatic facilities in Tunisia, Yemen, and Egypt from September 11-20, 2012. In addition, there were intelligence reports in the days following the Benghazi attacks that al-Qa'ida-associated terrorists hoped to take advantage of global protests for further attacks.122

As a result of evidence from closed circuit videos and other reports, the IC changed its assessment about a protest in classified intelligence reports on September 24, 2012, to state there were no demonstrations or protests at the Temporary Mission Facility prior to the attacks. This slow change in the official assessment affected the public statements of government officials, who continued to state in press interviews that there were protests outside the Mission compound. The IC continues to assess that although they do not think the first attack came out of protests, the lethality and efficacy of the attack "did not require significant amounts of preplanning." 123 The IC continues to review the amount and nature of any preplanning that went into the attack.



LINK
This post was edited on 5/10/14 at 4:17 pm
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73434 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:59 pm to
Faulty Intel, sounds fricking familiar.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:59 pm to
dp
This post was edited on 5/10/14 at 4:06 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57216 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

And we know who controls the media...
Republicans! They keep getting all these free passes in the media..
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123887 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

At least four separate news agencies, with their own set of reporters and witnesses, reported that the Benghazi tragedy was much about anger to the anti-Muslim video.
Was Fox News one of them?




Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:01 pm to
And when the FBI made the new assessment:

quote:

Suddenly, a shift to a ‘terrorist attack’

“I would say yes, they were killed in the course of a terrorist attack on our embassy….The best information we have now, the facts that we have now indicate that this was an opportunistic attack on our embassy. The attack began and evolved and escalated over several hours at our embassy — our diplomatic post in Benghazi. It evolved and escalated over several hours.

“It appears that individuals who were certainly well-armed seized on the opportunity presented as the events unfolded that evening and into the — into the morning hours of September 12th. We do know that a number of militants in the area, as I mentioned, are well-armed and maintain those arms. What we don't have at this point is specific intelligence that there was a significant advanced planning or coordination for this attack.

“We are focused on who was responsible for this attack. At this point, what I would say is that a number of different elements appear to have been involved in the attack, including individuals connected to militant groups that are prevalent in eastern Libya, particularly in the Benghazi area, as well. We are looking at indications that individuals involved in the attack may have had connections to al-Qaeda or al-Qaeda's affiliates; in particular, al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb.”

— Mathew Olsen, director of the National Counterterrorism Center, testimony before Congress, Sept. 19, after being asked a direct question.

...

“It is, I think, self-evident that what happened in Benghazi was a terrorist attack. Our embassy was attacked violently, and the result was four deaths of American officials. So, again, that's self- evident.
“He also made clear that at this point, based on the information he has — and he is briefing the Hill on the most up-to-date intelligence — we have no information at this point that suggests that this was a significantly preplanned attack, but this was the result of opportunism, taking advantage of and exploiting what was happening as a result of reaction to the video that was found to be offensive.”

— Carney, news briefing, Sept. 20


quote:

RICE: Well, Jake, first of all, it's important to know that there's an FBI investigation that has begun and will take some time to be completed. That will tell us with certainty what transpired.


Susan Rice, Sept. 16
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

The most famous of these reports formed the basis of talking points provided to members of Congress by the CIA Sept. 15, 2012. They began, “The currently available information suggests that the demonstrations in Benghazi were spontaneously inspired by the protests at the US Embassy in Cairo and evolved into a direct assault against the US diplomatic post and subsequently its annex.”

This was despite the fact that on Sept 15 the CIA’s chief of station in Tripoli sent top CIA officials an e-mail that said the attacks were “not/not an escalation of protests” and that survivors recovering in Germany did not refer to protests in interviews.

The problem with that bit of reporting is that I'm fairly certain the CIA's talking points were released on September 14, not September 15... i.e. before they received an email from Tripoli.
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62412 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:03 pm to
The CIA did say there were protest(though wrong), but nothing about a video...Where did that come from? Morrel said in his questioning, that when Rice said that about the video, he was shocked...So, it didn't come from the CIA. That article sounds like spin, and they are now blaming local media....
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

quote: RICE: Well, Jake, first of all, it's important to know that there's an FBI investigation that has begun and will take some time to be completed. That will tell us with certainty what transpired. Susan Rice, Sept. 16

And here's something Republicans who keep yelling "cover up! cover up!" don't want you to know...

NEVER did Susan Rice or the Obama Administration CONCLUDE that the Benghazi murders were a result of a protest over the video. On every network she appeared she qualified that the video protest explanation was a "best assessment" at the time but the certain, definitive explanation had to wait on an ongoing FBI investigation.

Within about ten days the Obama Administration had already changed its tone, that the killings were by terrorists.

Republicans want you to believe that Obama stole an election by keeping a secret for ten days. It's all a bit ludicrous.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

The problem with that bit of reporting is that I'm fairly certain the CIA's talking points were released on September 14, not September 15... i.e. before they received an email from Tripoli.


I think Morell asked the station chief to get more info because the analysts felt that any protest would have dissipated by the time the guys on the ground reached the diplomatic facility. The station chief went back to get more info the that was incorporated in the new analysis. Would not change what Rice said on Sept. 16 though.
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62412 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:14 pm to
Senate intelligence committee won't be as thorough as what is coming. CIA had nothing about a video in their intel. That was clear in Morrell's testimony.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

CIA had nothing about a video in their intel


Of course they did.

It was in the open source media reports and in public statements made by members of Ansar al-Sharia, some of whom participated in the attack. We now know the CIA analyzed this.

quote:

The group also posted on Facebook and Twitter a YouTube video on Sept. 12 praising the attack but emphasizing that it was not organized or officially led by Ansar al Sharia. The video leaves open the possibility that individual members of the group may have been involved in the attack.

"We commend the Libyan Muslim people in Benghazi [that were] against the attack on the [Muslim] Prophet [Muhammad]," a summary of the video states. "Katibat Ansar al-Sharia [in Benghazi] as a military did not participate formally/officially and not by direct orders."

The group also released an official statement on Sept. 12 along the same lines, stating that the attack was not an official operation, as noted by Bill Roggio of the Long War Journal.

"Ansar al-Shariah Brigade didn't participate in this popular uprising as a separate entity, but it was carrying out its duties in al-Jala'a hospital and other places where it was entrusted with some duties. The Brigade didn't participate as a sole entity; rather, it was a spontaneous popular uprising in response to what happened by the West," the statement said.

Also on Sept. 12, a spokesman for Ansar al-Sharia praised the attack and said, according to the New York Times, "We are saluting our people for this zeal in protecting their religion, to grant victory to the prophet. The response has to be firm."


LINK

Here is the source video. The caption under the video as run through Google Translate:

quote:


Battalion established Sharia supporters dawn on Wednesday, September 12 Martyrs Hospital "evacuate formerly" a press conference. Where the start of the conference with a prayer to the Holy Prophet, peace be upon him and then paid tribute to the Muslim people pause Libyan in Benghazi against the attack on the Holy Prophet, peace be upon him. Must respond to this attack in the strongest and packages, and stressed that what has happened is the efficiency of the spectra of the people and they anger God and His Messenger of Muslim youth and battalion supporters of Sharia as a military did not participate formally and not my direct orders from the battalion and Haya engaged functions are normal in the protection of some institutions, and confirmed that there were casualties, one of the embassy guard and all Libyans


LINK

They didn't put it in their initial assessment but it was definitely implicated in the intel they examined.
This post was edited on 5/10/14 at 4:26 pm
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:29 pm to
Morell said he thought the analysts poorly articulated their initial language creating the "impression that the protesters became the attackers."
This post was edited on 5/10/14 at 4:29 pm
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Nearly 3,000 demonstrators, many of them supporters of the ultraconservative Salafist movement, gathered at the US embassy in Cairo in protest against the amateur film.

A dozen men scaled the embassy walls and one of them tore down the US flag, replacing it with a black one inscribed with the Muslim profession of faith: "There is no God but God and Muhammad is the messenger of God."

Demonstrators also scrawled the first part of the statement "There is no God but God" on the walls of the embassy compound.

Al Jazeera's Sherine Tadros, reporting from outside the US embassy in Cairo, said that the protesters want the film - portions of which can be found online - "out of circulation".

"Most of the people I've spoken to here ... say that they've seen the trailer to this film and that they're here outside the American embassy to stay until the film is pulled," she said.



Al Jazeera 9.12.12

I think we now know there were many groups protesting at the Cairo Embassy that day but the video protesters certainly gathered the most attention from the world media.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
28719 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

In a statement, Morsi condemned the film's portrayal of Muhammed while stressing that the Egyptian government had a responsibility to guard diplomatic premises.


Same link
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/10/14 at 4:51 pm to
Decatur, you are annihilating the assertion that there was no reason to believe the video was behind the attacks. Thanks.
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