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LSU / SMU - Common Opponents Comparison (and Vegas Line Update)

Posted on 3/24/14 at 10:56 am
Posted by LSUGoose
Red Stick via St James Parish
Member since Jan 2006
5192 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 10:56 am
Results from SMU schedule:
31 pt win over Rhode Island (LSU loss by 4)
11 pt loss at Arkansas (LSU loss at Ark by 11)
3 pt win at A&M (LSU loss at A&M by 10)
29 pt win over McNeese (LSU win by 27)
Split with Memphis (LSU neutral court loss by 10)

Vegas casinos currently have LSU as a 6 to 6.5 dog.

4:00 PM Update by OP:
Line is up to SMU by 8 at Wynn and by 7 at all others.
This post was edited on 3/24/14 at 4:01 pm
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22257 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:00 am to
BEND THE TREND

BET THE HOUSE ON JOHNNY J
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
10424 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Looks like a tough "out".


I don't buy it.. LSU by 13
Posted by Geauxld Finger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
31676 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:40 am to
quote:

BEND THE TREND

BET THE HOUSE ON JOHNNY J


not a chance
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:41 am to
I just watched their loss to Memphis. I think LSU will play a pretty similar game to Memphis in that one. Have to hit some outside shots to get the inside more managable.

LSU is going to have to play very good defense. I think we will mix up zone and man defense.


The URI game was by far LSU's worst game of the year.

That A&M game was so frusterating. LSU was in a serious road funk at that point. We probably should have beat Memphis if O'Bryant doesn't have 10 turnovers.

I think LSU has gained some valuable confidence on the road winning 3 of their last 4 away from the PMAC. Im really hoping for a good performance tonight.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33445 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:44 am to
I learned a long time ago that the "common opponents comparison" is basically a useless indicator when predicting the outcome of a game.


And why did you include Virginia in your common opponent comparison when Virginia is not a common opponent?
Posted by oauron
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2011
14510 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 11:46 am to
quote:

And why did you include Virginia in your common opponent comparison when Virginia is not a common opponent?

Posted by ellessuuuu
Member since Sep 2004
8533 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

LSU is going to have to play very good defense. I think we will mix up zone and man defense.


If we play zone for multiple possessions, it could be a very long night. We simply are not a good zone team.
This post was edited on 3/24/14 at 12:17 pm
Posted by LSUGoose
Red Stick via St James Parish
Member since Jan 2006
5192 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 3:14 pm to
Just threw in UVA since they're a quality team. Figured the info was relevant.

Will change original thread.
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22257 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 3:14 pm to
How much did we lose to Rhode Island by?
Posted by LSUGoose
Red Stick via St James Parish
Member since Jan 2006
5192 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 3:57 pm to
Rhode Island 74, LSU 70
Posted by SanFranTiger
Dallas, TX
Member since Sep 2003
4893 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

LSU is going to have to play very good defense.


This almost never happens. Oh well.

Posted by ellessuuuu
Member since Sep 2004
8533 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 6:58 pm to
I think our man defense has gotten better over the last few games. We have at least two or three possessions when we get lost and fail to pick people up, but otherwise, we have improved since the middle of the SEC season.
This post was edited on 3/24/14 at 7:00 pm
Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 7:42 pm to
JJ needs to break out the Freak Defense !

Did the Freak Defense retire when Dale did ?
Posted by thermal9221
Youngsville
Member since Feb 2005
13195 posts
Posted on 3/24/14 at 8:02 pm to
SMU has Larry Brown
We have JJ

I can always hope....
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