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It's that time of the month again - unemployment/jobs reports in the morning

Posted on 2/6/14 at 10:05 pm
Posted by NHTIGER
Central New Hampshire
Member since Nov 2003
16188 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 10:05 pm
These reports have been so unexplainable of late that making predictions is pretty much like shooting in the dark. Nevertheless, will take a stab at it tonight.

- November jobs, revised downward by 6k, from 241k to 235k


- December jobs , revised upward, doubling from 74k to 148K

- January jobs, 169k

- U-3 holds at 6.7%

- U-6 increases from 13.1% to 13.2%

-participation rate - increases from 62.8% to 63.0%

Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69313 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 10:33 pm to
250k jobs added
Posted by son of arlo
State of Innocence
Member since Sep 2013
4577 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:05 am to
quote:

250k jobs added


I guess the "jobs saved or created" meme has ran out of steam.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98881 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:08 am to
Whatever it is, there's a damned good chance it will be "unexpected."
Posted by Ghostfacedistiller
BR
Member since Jun 2008
17500 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:12 am to
quote:

Whatever it is, there's a damned good chance it will be "unexpected."


This
Posted by son of arlo
State of Innocence
Member since Sep 2013
4577 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:28 am to
There's a Little Ceasar's Pizza joint here in town where they always have someone twirling a sign out front. I've never seen the same guy do it for more than a day. I suppose this pizza place is creating 6 jobs per week.
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73447 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:53 am to

Hiring was surprisingly weak in January for the second straight month, likely renewing concern that the U.S. economy might be slowing after a strong finish last year.
The Labor Department says employers added 113,000 jobs, less than the average monthly gain of 194,000 in 2013. This follows December's tepid increase of just 75,000. Job gains have averaged only 154,000 the past three months, down from 201,000 in the preceding three months.

Still, more people began looking for work in January, and some of the jobless were hired, reducing the unemployment rate to 6.6 percent. That's the lowest since October 2008.

Cold weather likely held back hiring in December, economists said, but the impact faded in January. Construction firms, which sometimes stop work in bad weather, added 48,000 jobs last month.


LINK
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 7:57 am to
lots of wrong in this thread

Imagine how bad the turd really smells when it cannot be polished any better than this.
Posted by son of arlo
State of Innocence
Member since Sep 2013
4577 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Imagine how bad the turd really smells when it cannot be polished any better than this.


Thank goodness we have a Dem president. Otherwise the media would have us all out on the ledges ready to jump. Remember, it's not unemployment. It's funemployment!
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98881 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:13 am to
quote:

surprisingly


That's pretty close to "unexpected."
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80161 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing 185,000 last month and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 6.7 percent.

But there was a silver lining in the report. The unemployment rate dropped a tenth of a percentage point to 6.6 percent last month, the lowest since October 2008.


Makes no fricking sense... So the analyst predicted 75k more jobs than there actually were and for unemployment to hold steady, yet it actually goes down.

This post was edited on 2/7/14 at 8:18 am
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73447 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:21 am to
quote:



That's pretty close to "unexpected."
What won't be unexpected will be in a few days one of the resident Libs will slide in and use the unemployment figures as a glowing example of Obama "winning".
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36056 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:25 am to
Thankfully we have a new health care system which allows people to stay home more because the economy is forcing people to stay home more.

Obama was ahead of the curve. providing for people not to work before they actually lose their jobs is very creative. With thousands being forced out of their jobs due to Obamacare it is great to know that Obamacare is there in case they get sick.
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73447 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Obama was ahead of the curve. providing for people not to work before they actually lose their jobs is very creative. With thousands being forced out of their jobs due to Obamacare it is great to know that Obamacare is there in case they get sick.
Brilliant!
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68320 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:45 am to
Pitiful hiring, supposedly more people looking for work, and UE goes down?

One of these stats is bullshite, right?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80161 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Pitiful hiring, supposedly more people looking for work, and UE goes down?


Thats where I'm confused...
Posted by Tigerstudent08
Lakeview
Member since Apr 2007
5776 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 8:55 am to
quote:

Pitiful hiring, supposedly more people looking for work, and UE goes down?

Uh yea its a head scratcher for sure!
Posted by Stuckinthe90s
Dallas, TX
Member since Apr 2013
2576 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 10:40 am to
yeah so December didn't double jobs, it revised by 1000 to 75,000 total jobs
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
52805 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 10:45 am to
Job numbers increased slightly, yet again, and not enough to keep up with the population rate entering the workforce.

But hey, even these terrible gains are a bad thing to liberals. The white house came out and stated that people having their hours cut back, was a good thing, because it allowed them to keep their obamacare benefits. That's right, the liberals actually stated that fewer jobs and fewer hours are a positive because it frees up people who are constrained with jobs, and allows them to either keep or receive more government handouts. What liberal idiots were saying that government welfare didn't disincentivize the workforce?

LINK

I say again, how can liberalism not be an evolutionary defect in the human brain?
This post was edited on 2/7/14 at 10:47 am
Posted by Stuckinthe90s
Dallas, TX
Member since Apr 2013
2576 posts
Posted on 2/7/14 at 10:59 am to
Ha, I saw that video where he tried to spin it as a good thing. too bad the reports weren't sharp enough at the time to realize that he was saying that Obamacare was an incentive to not work. To catch him saying that would have been great.

The number this month don't seem to add up... only added 113,000, unemployment goes down and labor force goes up... what am I missing
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