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DoCho's Bowl Prediction Algorithm: Day 4

Posted on 12/26/13 at 5:00 pm
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 5:00 pm
So I'm in the middle of adjusting my algorithm. I just added a SOS factor and am also altering some of the variables and resulting clusters and number of clusters. Im also going to add more data.

However, the new algorithm is incomplete as of yet. So Im using the older version.

The algorithm predicts Bowling Green to win by double digits or at least two scores. BGSU is a 7 pt favorite, so take BGSU to cover.

I want to post this pick before the game starts. Give me a sec to process the other game.

eta:

In the later game, Utah State is a 2 point favorite. My Algorithm predicts a Northern Illinois win by one score. Take NIU to beat the spread or to win straight up.
This post was edited on 12/26/13 at 5:02 pm
Posted by bags03
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since May 2004
3023 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 5:05 pm to
I like NIU but I also like to pick against teams with interim coaches so I'll take Pitt tonight in the other game.
Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19036 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:00 pm to
Now I regret picking NIU
Posted by Bluegrass_Cat
GVL, SC
Member since Aug 2012
1634 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:03 pm to
No offense, but MAC is horrible in bowl games. I'm not sure if your algorithm takes conference bowl records into account, but something to definitely think about.

NIU could definitely win, but I'll be going with Utah State and their defense.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:04 pm to
Bgsu looks good so far
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

The algorithm predicts Bowling Green to win by double digits or at least two scores. BGSU is a 7 pt favorite, so take BGSU to cover.


Did the algorithm say BG was going to be down by 2 TD's and being totally outplayed by Pitt halfway thru the 2nd quarter?
Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19036 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:10 pm to
Algorithm... more like lolgorithm
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:13 pm to
I suspect someone's that's into algorithms probably doesn't have lol factored into the equation.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28709 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:16 pm to
I have BG by 14 and NIU by 16. I'm late to the thread, but at least you know I'm not lying about my BG pick
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 6:50 pm to
A 90+ KO return by BG was in the equation.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 7:01 pm to
It's an algorithm, not a simulation. I think you are confused.
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 7:07 pm to
Adjust your sarcasm meter
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

A 90+ KO return by BG was in the equation


As much as the first punt return for a TD by Pitt in 7 years
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28709 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

It's an algorithm, not a simulation. I think you are confused.

Mine is a simulation
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 7:17 pm to
Touche
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

The algorithm predicts Bowling Green to win by double digits or at least two scores. BGSU is a 7 pt favorite, so take BGSU to cover.


Your algorithm fricking sucks. The only thing it should be used for is an automatic fade.
Posted by COTiger
Colorado
Member since Dec 2007
16844 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 8:18 pm to
I picked BG without an algorithm.
This post was edited on 12/26/13 at 8:19 pm
Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19036 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 8:28 pm to
What's the overall record for the "algorithm" so far? Day 1 was 1-2, iirc.
Posted by bags03
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since May 2004
3023 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

I also like to pick against teams with interim coaches so I'll take Pitt tonight in the other game.


to me
Posted by Sampson
Chicago
Member since Mar 2012
24563 posts
Posted on 12/26/13 at 8:43 pm to
DoCho? Really brah? DoCho?
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