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Message
A look at rookie WRs
Posted on 9/3/13 at 10:41 pm
Posted on 9/3/13 at 10:41 pm
Rookie leaders since 2005
------------------------------------------
2005
Rec: (44) Mark Clayton
Yards: (571) Reggie Brown
TDs: (6) Chris Henry RIP
2006
Rec: (70) Marques Colston
Yards: (1,038) Colston
TDs: (8) Colston
2007
Rec: (70) Dwayne Bowe
Yards: (995) Bowe
TDs: (5) Bowe
2008
Rec: (91) Eddie Royal
Yards: (980) Royal
TDs: (5) John Carlson & Royal
2009
Rec: (60) Austin Collie
Yards: (790) Percy Harvin and Hakeem Nicks
TDs: (7) Collie
2010
Rec: (65) Mike Williams
Yards: (964) Williams
TDs: (11) Williams
2011
Rec: (65) AJ Green
Yards: (1,057) Green
TDs: (8) Julio Jones
2012
Rec: (64) Justin Blackmon
Yards: (865) Blackmon
TDs: (7) TY Hilton
-----------------------------------------
These are your TOP rookie WRs. The #1 guys.
On average, since 2005, the top rookie WR will produce:
66 receptions
908 yards
7 TDs
Or in 1 PPR league formats, 199 points per season. Over the past 3 seasons, 199 points would put a WR slightly outside the Top 20 WRs.
Best case scenario for your rookie WRs? Pick one to be borderline top 20?
Thompkins
Patterson
Austin
Hopkins
Woods
Stills
Wheaton
Dobson
Patton
Allen
Williams
--------------------------------------
More fun comparisons. 2012 Top 10 PPR WRs. Here are their rookie years. (7 NFL 1st RD Picks)
1. Calvin Johnson 48/756/4
2. Brandon Marshall 20/309/2
3. Dez Bryant 45/561/6
4. AJ Green 65/1057/7
5. Andre Johnson 66/976/4
6. Demaryious Thomas 22/283/2
7. Wes Welker 29/434/0
8. Reggie Wayne 27/345/0
9. Eric Decker 6/106/1
10. Roddy White 29/446/3
------------------------------------------
A guy like Miles Austin goes 66/943/6 last season. 2 time 1k+ WR, 10+ TD season.... and you're telling me Kembrell Thompkins is a better option?
------------------------------------------
2005
Rec: (44) Mark Clayton
Yards: (571) Reggie Brown
TDs: (6) Chris Henry RIP
2006
Rec: (70) Marques Colston
Yards: (1,038) Colston
TDs: (8) Colston
2007
Rec: (70) Dwayne Bowe
Yards: (995) Bowe
TDs: (5) Bowe
2008
Rec: (91) Eddie Royal
Yards: (980) Royal
TDs: (5) John Carlson & Royal
2009
Rec: (60) Austin Collie
Yards: (790) Percy Harvin and Hakeem Nicks
TDs: (7) Collie
2010
Rec: (65) Mike Williams
Yards: (964) Williams
TDs: (11) Williams
2011
Rec: (65) AJ Green
Yards: (1,057) Green
TDs: (8) Julio Jones
2012
Rec: (64) Justin Blackmon
Yards: (865) Blackmon
TDs: (7) TY Hilton
-----------------------------------------
These are your TOP rookie WRs. The #1 guys.
On average, since 2005, the top rookie WR will produce:
66 receptions
908 yards
7 TDs
Or in 1 PPR league formats, 199 points per season. Over the past 3 seasons, 199 points would put a WR slightly outside the Top 20 WRs.
Best case scenario for your rookie WRs? Pick one to be borderline top 20?
Thompkins
Patterson
Austin
Hopkins
Woods
Stills
Wheaton
Dobson
Patton
Allen
Williams
--------------------------------------
More fun comparisons. 2012 Top 10 PPR WRs. Here are their rookie years. (7 NFL 1st RD Picks)
1. Calvin Johnson 48/756/4
2. Brandon Marshall 20/309/2
3. Dez Bryant 45/561/6
4. AJ Green 65/1057/7
5. Andre Johnson 66/976/4
6. Demaryious Thomas 22/283/2
7. Wes Welker 29/434/0
8. Reggie Wayne 27/345/0
9. Eric Decker 6/106/1
10. Roddy White 29/446/3
------------------------------------------
A guy like Miles Austin goes 66/943/6 last season. 2 time 1k+ WR, 10+ TD season.... and you're telling me Kembrell Thompkins is a better option?
8
Posted on 9/3/13 at 10:42 pm to GynoSandberg
All this tells me is Mike Williams is the boob skin.
Posted on 9/3/13 at 11:05 pm to GynoSandberg
quote:Glad someone else agrees with me there
A guy like Miles Austin goes 66/943/6 last season. 2 time 1k+ WR, 10+ TD season.... and you're telling me Kembrell Thompkins is a better option?
Posted on 9/3/13 at 11:07 pm to GynoSandberg
Tom Brady > Tony Romo
Sarcasm.
Sarcasm.
Posted on 9/3/13 at 11:13 pm to GynoSandberg
All of that is pretty much the reason I don't get excited about rookie WRs and typically don't draft them.
Posted on 9/3/13 at 11:23 pm to DeathValley85
I mean, rookies are fun. It's always cool to "hit" on one, like TY Hilton or Shorts last season. They were two of the top rooks but were flex/bye week plays for the most part. And they weren't even on fantasy rosters until the middle of the season.
With a game that's based on having more points than the other team, it just doesn't make sense to count on rookies when you can have a guy like Austin, Mike Williams, Stevie Johnson, Lance Moore, etc. These guys consistently put up the "rookie ceiling" numbers without any of the guesswork. Being a good rookie doesn't get you extra points.
With a game that's based on having more points than the other team, it just doesn't make sense to count on rookies when you can have a guy like Austin, Mike Williams, Stevie Johnson, Lance Moore, etc. These guys consistently put up the "rookie ceiling" numbers without any of the guesswork. Being a good rookie doesn't get you extra points.
Posted on 9/3/13 at 11:47 pm to GynoSandberg
Quinton Pattob seems to be building chemistry witb Kaep. I like 2nd & 3rd year guys for my team.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 1:57 am to GynoSandberg
quote:
Thompkins
will do it
but Austin will not
quote:
If he catches 50 balls ill eat my own dick
Dude will catch 80+ easily if he stays healthy.
Amendola averaged 14 PPG last season in PPR. If Austin matches or comes close that in a flex then you can't really complain
Posted on 9/4/13 at 1:58 am to GynoSandberg
quote:
Thompkins
will do it
but Austin will not
quote:
If he catches 50 balls ill eat my own dick
Dude will catch 80+ easily if he stays healthy.
Amendola averaged 14 PPG last season in PPR. If Austin matches or comes close that in a flex then you can't really complain
Posted on 9/4/13 at 2:27 am to Iona Fan Man
quote:
If he catches 50 balls ill eat my own dick
Where is this from?
Posted on 9/4/13 at 4:42 am to GynoSandberg
I think D Hopkins will put up good numbers. IMO
Posted on 9/4/13 at 7:38 am to Iona Fan Man
Pre draft posturing bra
Don't believe everything you read
Don't believe everything you read
Posted on 9/4/13 at 7:56 am to GynoSandberg
I think Tavon has a season similar to Eddie Royal. He won't set the world on fire but will be relevant in PPR.
Posted on 9/4/13 at 8:19 am to GynoSandberg
I never draft a rookie WR unless it's at the very bottom of the draft. Even then, I'd rather grab a former high draft pick in his second or third year.
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