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Deadspin: 32 Paragraphs About 32 NFL Teams From The Football Outsiders Almanac
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:21 pm
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:21 pm
Pretty good breakdown: LINK
quote:
Atlanta Falcons: We don't forecast the Falcons to be one of the top Super Bowl contenders of 2013 because when you look at the numbers underlying their 13-3 record, the Falcons really shouldn't have been one of the top Super Bowl contenders of 2012 either. The 2012 Falcons resembled the 2010 Falcons, who were also 13-3 and clearly not the best team in the NFC despite finishing as the number-one seed. Except that by our numbers, the Falcons have actually declined since 2010. Atlanta's DVOA peaked at seventh in 2010, then fell to eighth in 2011 and tenth last year. Locals took it as disrespect when the national media refused to give the Falcons their due even as they were coasting to home-field advantage in the playoffs, but the vaguely phrased distrust coming from the football commentariat simply reflected the numbers. The Falcons outperformed their Pythagorean record by nearly two full games and their Estimated Wins by nearly four. They benefitted from the 27th toughest schedule in the league, particularly blessed by problems throughout their division. The implosion in New Orleans, Josh Freeman's inconsistency, and Ron Rivera's "coaching" all redounded in Atlanta's favor. Outside their division, the Falcons played five of the seven teams that finished last season 5-11 or worse.
4
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:22 pm to Mullen3:16
quote:
32 Paragraphs
lol no
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:25 pm to Mullen3:16
They should change "Houston Texans" to "J.J. Watt" in the article because they didn't say one thing about the Texans.
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:25 pm to TH03
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:27 pm to Mullen3:16
I wonder if the Saints will have any moral victories this year like finishing out of last place in defense?
quote:
New Orleans Saints: Mission No. 1 upon coach Sean Payton's return is fixing the defense, which has never been his area of expertise. There is some good news regarding that beleaguered unit. As worst defenses go, New Orleans was pretty good. The Saints' 14.8% defensive DVOA was the best of any last-place defense since the 1995 expansion Jaguars. Given the fact that defensive regression towards the mean is stronger from season to season than offensive regression, improvement is almost mandatory. The 21 previous teams that finished dead last in our defensive rankings improved the following season by an average of -10.6% DVOA. Only the 1998 Bengals and 2008 Lions got worse on defense by more than a tenth of a percentage point. On the other hand, with rare exceptions, the improvement of godawful defenses tends to stop somewhere around "still pretty bad." The 2006 Redskins (Department of Irony: their defensive coordinator that year was Gregg Williams) were crushed by injuries, and set a record for fewest takeaways in a season, with but 12. Health and turnover regression helped propel them back to strength in 2007. The 2010 Jags imported a raft of free agents and made a quantum leap up the charts in 2011 (before giving back almost all their gains a year ago). But for the most part, quick turnarounds are rare. Indeed, both the Cardinals at the beginning of the millennium and the Lions at the end of its first decade remained the NFL's worst defense for three straight seasons. (Robert Weintraub)
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:28 pm to SwaggerCopter
Yeah Gower seems to be a bit Wattsessed. He even talks about him in the Titans' paragraph. 
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:31 pm to Mullen3:16
quote:
Positioned with the 18th overall pick in the first round of the draft, Jones and Jones decided to trade down and acquire the San Francisco 49ers' 31st overall pick, plus a third-round pick for good measure. With that 31st overall pick, Dallas selected Wisconsin center Travis Frederick, the eighth-ranked offensive lineman on NFLDraftScout.com's Big Board, and a second- to third-round prospect in the minds of most in the know. Frederick, for his part, was refreshingly honest about his new status. "I thought I was a second-round offensive lineman," he told Dallas radio station 105.3 The Fan. "I thought somewhere in the second round would be more of a fit for me. I truly didn't expect this." The point here isn't to pick on Travis Frederick, who very well could develop into a starting center with a 10-year career. The Frederick trade is just a symptom of the larger problem, a disconnect between cost and value that has plagued the Cowboys franchise in recent years, especially when it comes to the draft
This proves they know absolutely nothing and haven't even kept up with the training camps or preseason games.
The Frederick pick didn't look great on draft night. But he has been outstanding for the cowboys in training camp and in the games so far. Looks like he's gonna help shore up their offensive line.
Got a legit starter at a position of need with the 2nd to last pick in the 1st rd. There's 31 other teams that would love to do the same if they had that pick
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:32 pm to Finkle is Einhorn
He's a center that they could have got with their 2nd round pick.
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:33 pm to TigerintheNO
If he starts for 10 years who gives a shite
And I doubt he would've been there when they picked in the 2nd rd with the way off linemen were flying off the boards.
And I doubt he would've been there when they picked in the 2nd rd with the way off linemen were flying off the boards.
This post was edited on 8/26/13 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 8/26/13 at 1:48 pm to Finkle is Einhorn
quote:
If he starts for 10 years who gives a shite
Bingo.
Do you think the Falcons would trade Julio Jones - a top 10 receiver - back for all of those draft picks they gave up to get him? Hell no. Same with the Redskins and the picks they gave up for RG3? Hell no. You use these picks to find great players. Doesn't matter if you get them number 1 overall or as Mr. Irrelevant.
Posted on 8/26/13 at 2:02 pm to Finkle is Einhorn
the guy said that Fredrick could become a very good center... but that wasn't the point. The point is the Cowboys make dumbsh*t decisions all the time, like trading down in the 1st round to take a mid/late 2nd rounder.
this statement sums it up. Basically jerry and his halfwit son have no clue how to run an NFL franchise.
quote:
The Frederick trade is just a symptom of the larger problem
this statement sums it up. Basically jerry and his halfwit son have no clue how to run an NFL franchise.
Posted on 8/26/13 at 2:04 pm to lowspark12
quote:
to take a mid/late 2nd rounder
There is no way to know this. Teams aren't going to open up their boards for anyone to see where they had people slotted.
Posted on 8/26/13 at 2:11 pm to C
quote:
Teams aren't going to open up their boards for anyone to see where they had people slotted.
no sh*t, but odds are pretty good that the guy would've been there when the cowboys are making their mid-2nd round selection. If that's the case, they would've picked up both a solid 1st rounder and Fredric in the 2nd. And if he's off the board by the mid-2nd round, you pick up another OL or get one later. Center is not a make or break position.
Again, it's a symptom of a bigger overall problem that the cowboy's upper management doesn't know what they're doing.
This post was edited on 8/26/13 at 2:14 pm
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