Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ? | Page 2 | TigerDroppings.com

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LSUTygerFan
LSU Fan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
27899 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

We get swept by Fla

Drop one each A&M and OM

Lose to UNO due to some retarded experimenting to get ready for the post season.



This HCB syndrome is reaching epidemic status.






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
84351 posts
 Online 

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

how many we lose
4






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Byron Bojangles III
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2012
23071 posts
 Online 

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


I legit see the switch flip and we go 10-0





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ForeverLSU02
Penn Fan
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
29879 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

Math major?
Engineer actually. You?






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harry coleman beast
LSU Fan
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
45371 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

This HCB syndrome is reaching epidemic status.


Its getting a bit out of hand...






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Choupique19
LSU Fan
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
34887 posts
 Online 

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

Negatiger


I was counting the losses for you.

Of course, I screwed it up so I'll just drop out of this thread. FML






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Ignignot
LSU Fan
DooDoo Rooneys
Member since Mar 2009
11851 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


Wow this past week absolutely megafricked alot of people's hopes for this team. I say 8-2. Sweep uf and 2/3 of aTm & black bears and beat uno





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LSU=Champions
Boxtard Things
Member since Apr 2004
21761 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


Honestly look at it though... Thinking about the minimum wins we get each series:

Florida: we get at least one win with Nola going against a TBD. In nearly all cases we win with Nola not going against a team's ace. AT LEAST 1 WINS.

A&M: this team isn't going to the postseason. We get at least 2. 2 WINS.

Midweek: WIN

Ole Miss: they choke down the stretch every year. They'll prolly win the next two series to be on the hosting bubble and will choke it in true Bianco fashion on Skip's big weekend. 2 WINS.

We go 6-4 down the stretch at min.






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ProjectP2294
Penn Fan
St Louis County
Member since May 2007
32117 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


From Boyd's World, what we need to do to clinch a Top 8 RPI (not a top 8 seed, just RPI):

quote:

Louisiana State
Remaining: 7 home, 3 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 4
ROWP: 0.501

Top 45:

No more wins needed.

Top 32:

No more wins needed.

Top 16:

2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
4 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 8:

4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 0 road wins






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harry coleman beast
LSU Fan
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
45371 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

Wow this past week absolutely megafricked alot of people's hopes for this team.


We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.






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LSUTygerFan
LSU Fan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
27899 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

Top 8:

5 home wins, 2 road wins


Seems doable







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LSU=Champions
Boxtard Things
Member since Apr 2004
21761 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

Top 8:

4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 0 road wins








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TigerCub
LSU Fan
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
11411 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


That can be misleading sometimes though because it assumes everyone else wins at the same rate they currently are as well.





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Brageous
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
TEAM POTATO SALAD
Member since Jul 2008
96372 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


You're so misunderstood.







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ProjectP2294
Penn Fan
St Louis County
Member since May 2007
32117 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


It means that based on our current schedule we at least need to do one of those three things to clinch a top 8 RPI. I thought I had said that already.

Home wins don't count for as much as road wins, so any road win we get means fewer home games we need to win.

Home losses count for more than road losses as well, that's why we even if we win more road games, we still need to not lose home games.






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ProjectP2294
Penn Fan
St Louis County
Member since May 2007
32117 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

That can be misleading sometimes though because it assumes everyone else wins at the same rate they currently are as well.


Definitely. And it changes every day because the ROWP changes every day.

I just didn't feel like C&Ping all the disclosures from Boyd's site.






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Ignignot
LSU Fan
DooDoo Rooneys
Member since Mar 2009
11851 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.


To each his own but it's really how you view it. Since Kentucky the level of competition has raised. I'd say Arky weekend was solid, bama we were tired, and this past weekend were unfortunate and pressing on Sunday.

None the less.......this series is absofugginlutely huge, if we respond well I say most of the "fear" of this team fading will disappear.






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LSU=Champions
Boxtard Things
Member since Apr 2004
21761 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

5 home wins, 2 road wins


Most likely scenario.

Go 2/3 against both UF and OM with 1 midweek win.
Then, 2/3 from A&M.

Seems actually a little more difficult now that I think about it.






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Oizers
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2009
1082 posts

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


quote:

We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.


You ignore 40 wins and focus on one loss?

This is baseball. There is a reason teams play 50+ games and not 12. I would say a 40-6 record is more of an indication of the team's ability than a 2-1 series loss to a top 15 team.






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wesman21
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Jun 2009
651 posts
 Online 

re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?


2





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