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LSU steadily becoming stronger favorite according to Vegas

Posted on 12/31/12 at 12:28 am
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9316 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 12:28 am
The money is moving hard to LSU and now the Tigers are 6.5 point favorites in most books. I'm hoping the insiders know something we don't and have realized that LSU is going to show up motivated and ready to play. After all, that's the only shot Clemson has at winning- if LSU brings a flat, lackluster attitude to the field.

Vegas Insider
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61832 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 12:32 am to
After watching the line move hard to Bama in the last 48 hours on 1/9, I like what I'm seeing.
Posted by LongTime Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
2458 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 1:59 am to
quote:

The money is moving hard to LSU and now the Tigers are 6.5 point favorites in most books. I'm hoping the insiders know something we don't and have realized that LSU is going to show up motivated and ready to play


Not the way Vega works. The line moves in an effort to balance the money that has already come in.
Line goes up means that they want more people to take Clemson to even it out. They just want the vig!
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8804 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 7:10 am to
quote:

I'm hoping the insiders know something we don't


They always do. That is why they are called "insiders".
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77415 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 7:27 am to
It does not always work that way
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
29194 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 7:36 am to
Maybe it's because they announced we sold 10K tickets and the fake Tigers only sold 9K, so they think we will have the huge crowd advantage?
Posted by DEG
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2009
10532 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Not the way Vega works. The line moves in an effort to balance the money that has already come in. Line goes up means that they want more people to take Clemson to even it out. They just want the vig!


You're saying the same thing. If Vegas moves line to encourage bets toward one team it's bc the other team is getting more of the money. And they're getting more of the money because of belief that that will win and win by larger margins than the line indicates.
Posted by RollTide4Ever
Nashville
Member since Nov 2006
18309 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 8:13 am to
Miles has a good bowl record and dado is a corch.
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 8:57 am to
Biggest rule to betting, follow the line.

She's a bitch but she's right.
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9316 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Biggest rule to betting, follow the line.

She's a bitch but she's right.


Yep. Fans of the underdog bitch about "lack of respect" and "they don't know how fired up our team is going to be", but that's straight homerism. It's scary how good Vegas is...
Posted by WestTexasTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
547 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 9:32 am to
The outcome of the Brazillion steakhouse challenge is why the line is moving....
Posted by DocBugbear
Arlington, Texas
Member since Mar 2008
7958 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 2:14 pm to
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 12/31/12 at 3:17 pm to
Exactly, I see it at LSU -4.5 now.
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