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Message
Philles making the playoffs
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:43 pm
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:43 pm
I am a huge Astros fan, so naturally havent been following baseball extremely close the last month or so...especially since football has started
Last I remember I saw phillies being awful and being the biggest bust in baseball. I'm at a pub and just saw that they're 3.5 games out of the wildcard while watching ESPN
Do they have a remote chance of actually making the playoffs?
Last I remember I saw phillies being awful and being the biggest bust in baseball. I'm at a pub and just saw that they're 3.5 games out of the wildcard while watching ESPN
Do they have a remote chance of actually making the playoffs?
6
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:44 pm to TigerTig
They have like a 5% chance or something like that.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:45 pm to TigerTig
Despite their loss to the Astros tonight, obviously they have a decent chance of getting that second wild card.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:46 pm to bddwolfpack
quote:
Despite their loss to the Astros tonight, obviously they have a decent chance of getting that second wild card.
If by decent you mean ~ 5% then yeah. They have 5 teams ahead of them.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:48 pm to KosmoCramer
They're 3.5 out of a wild card spot behind plummeting St. Louis, Los Angeles, and Pittsburgh. They could easily get in.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:48 pm to TigerTig
They dumped Victorino and Blanton on the Dodgers. Since then, Dodgers have sucked and Phillies are kickin arse. Well, The Red Sox dumped a bunch of dead weight on the Dodgers too.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:49 pm to bddwolfpack
I'm just giving you the odds and refuted you when they had a decent chance.
No hard feelings.
No hard feelings.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:49 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
They have like a 5% chance or something like that.
Brew Crew was at 4% when I checked this morning, so yeah, about that.
The only reason I don't think the Brewers can make it is a 7 game road stretch against the Nats and Reds. I haven't looked at the Phillies schedule.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:50 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
They have 5 teams ahead of them.
5 =/= 3
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:50 pm to KosmoCramer
It's actually a 3% chance.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:51 pm to swamie
quote:
I haven't looked at the Phillies schedule.
3 vs Braves, 6 vs Nats to end the year.
This is why I don't think the Phils make it.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:52 pm to TigerTig
My friend told me yesterday the Philles were in the wild card race and I told him man they are like 15 games out then he showed me they were just a few out and it blew my mind.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:52 pm to UltimateHog
They aren't catching the Braves for the WC, so they are fighting with 4 teams ahead of them for 1 spot.
It's not that hard to see why they have a very poor chance.
It's not that hard to see why they have a very poor chance.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:56 pm to KosmoCramer
What are you trying to argue? That 3 is a very low number?
I think everyone gets that, but 3.5 games isn't insurmountable. I'd like to see what the Braves and Red Sox % was last year on September 1st.
I think everyone gets that, but 3.5 games isn't insurmountable. I'd like to see what the Braves and Red Sox % was last year on September 1st.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 10:58 pm to swamie
I'm just saying that fighting with 4 other teams for one spot isn't usually a good thing.
They aren't going to make it.
So pretty much just bet the house on the Phillies
They aren't going to make it.
So pretty much just bet the house on the Phillies
Posted on 9/13/12 at 11:01 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
I'm just saying that fighting with 4 other teams for one spot isn't usually a good thing.
They aren't going to make it.
I think you are really dumb for saying this.
Anyone that follows baseball knows it's all about who is hot at the right time.
The Phillies are on fire right now, while the Cardinals, Dodgers, and Pirates are beyond sucking.
Their 15-4 record since Aug. 23 is the best in the National League and they are 21-8 in their last 29 home games.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 11:11 pm to UltimateHog
Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10.
And there are other teams between them.
It makes it much more difficult when you have a bunch of teams between you and the top, they all have to tank. They are 3.5 out with 18 to go, and 4 teams to leap.
That could all change in 5 games sure, but at least one of the teams ahead of them is going to start winning.
And there are other teams between them.
It makes it much more difficult when you have a bunch of teams between you and the top, they all have to tank. They are 3.5 out with 18 to go, and 4 teams to leap.
That could all change in 5 games sure, but at least one of the teams ahead of them is going to start winning.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 11:18 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10.
Sure, but Milwaukee doesn't have Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels, and Cliff Lee either.
Lot of experience to carry the Phillies.
They had won 7 in a row before today I believe.
The Cardinals, Dodgers, and Pirates aren't going to go on some streak and seal the #2 Wild Card, they just aren't good enough. It will be a race to the final day.
Posted on 9/13/12 at 11:19 pm to UltimateHog
bookmarked
Posted on 9/13/12 at 11:36 pm to UltimateHog
Here is the thing, St. Louis and LAD have to keep losing at this pace and Philly has to keep winning at this pace. If St. Louis and LAD play a little over .500 ball from this point forward, the Phillies would have to win at an extremely high percentage.
Is it doable? Definitely. Is it probable? More than likely not.
Is it doable? Definitely. Is it probable? More than likely not.
This post was edited on 9/13/12 at 11:37 pm
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