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How many games does it take to see a normal curve or cycle?

Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:01 pm
Posted by rpg37
Biloxi, MS
Member since Sep 2008
54876 posts
Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:01 pm
In fantasy baseball? My SPs were awful this week, but I know Cain, Bumgarner, Romero etc. will settle down. How many games before you see a good representation of the season, 30?

Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:10 pm to
Man, there was this really in depth article I read once about how long does it take to see stats "normalize."

But that was speaking about career arcs more than anything.

For the guys you mentioned, I wouldn't worry... they've already established they are commodities... their numbers will level out.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
291088 posts
Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:20 pm to
Pitchers shouldn't take long at all. 2-3 starts.

Players are different. You'll want to hold on to a vet with past production longer than a younger unknown player.


I don't think good hitters need even 30 games. But every situation is different
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
51411 posts
Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:22 pm to
you sure as hell don't need to be panicking already, thats for sure
Posted by rpg37
Biloxi, MS
Member since Sep 2008
54876 posts
Posted on 4/9/12 at 12:31 pm to
Did I mention I also have Halladay, Beachy, and Zimmermann? Not panicking, just curious.
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