Started By
Message
locked post

Searching for yield

Posted on 1/23/12 at 7:59 am
Posted by GoDucks349
Westfir
Member since Jan 2011
420 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 7:59 am
CFA challenge......... So in today's market where are you going to find good/low risk yield/dividend income with a minimum 3% return.

How would you diversify for risk control? Any particular sectors you'd avoid? Etc.

Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:05 am to
What risk are we trying to avoid? Market risk? Rate risk? Default risk?
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 11:41 am to
Marke for later. On a phone.
Posted by GoDucks349
Westfir
Member since Jan 2011
420 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 6:40 pm to
I'm converting my portfolio to primarily income producing investments. I've recently retired so I need to protect principle and increase my annual income.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 6:56 pm to
What kind of principles are we trying to protect? Green energy? Humane treatment of animals?
Posted by GregYoureMyBoyBlue
Member since Apr 2011
2960 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

What kind of principles are we trying to protect? Green energy? Humane treatment of animals?


If there are any Sarah McLachlin sponsored solyndra bonds, i'll give you a call you grammar nazi

The staple "dividend producing" stocks are utilities. GE is an example.

But as with most stocks they are more "risky", relatively speaking, than bonds.

Seriously though, i'd just go to an investment advisor and tell him what you're looking for. Sure they'll charge a commission, but they do this for a living and will make sure the investments are suitable for your needs.

Also look into self help books, there are plenty of books that will help you with your research in making the right decisions, and if nothing else, they'll at least reassure your choices with the help of an advisor
This post was edited on 1/23/12 at 7:29 pm
Posted by GoDucks349
Westfir
Member since Jan 2011
420 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 7:32 pm to
Fair enough, I blew it on Principal. My bad.... So you got any great ideas? Sectors? High quality? Market sector trends
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 8:55 pm to
I was just playing with you bro. Given the unbelievable growth (and continual need for future growth) in the sector and the tax/legal structure of the entities, I would look into some MLPs personally. You may just have to do some screening as I'm sure some of the bigger names are probably trading kind of rich at the moment. But that would be my suggestion, I like the pass through structure, the focus on dividends, the micro exposure to a high growth industry without the macro exposure that comes attached to the upstream sector that it supports.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 9:04 pm to
This is a bit nontraditional, but I bet there are some perfectly good local businesses that can use a loan and can't get one from the local bank because lending standards are too tight.

I wouldn't go too long, something in the 5 year range maybe, but it's something to consider if you're willing to do some research on the right borrower.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37715 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 9:27 pm to
tax liens, 8%
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

kfizzle85


I have made a pile of money with UAN over the last 6 months.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:06 pm to
Maybe look into a low volatility ETF like SPLV (+3% divvy).
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:11 pm to
That's a great idea. Perhaps even some sort of inventory infusion. I've got a family member who owns a pretty high turn store who can always use more inventory who I'm considering doing this for.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:35 pm to
I'm just saying, investing in a small business isn't exactly something I'd call focusing on preservation of capital. Unless you're talking really small sums like $5-10k it seems like outsized risk imo (read the block of rambling below if you want to know why I think that, otherwise just ignore it).


Block of rambling:
Their books are likely close to useless so the bulk of your diligence is simply figuring out if the guy isn't a thief and if his business plan is reasonable (of which I don't think you could reasonably expect to do without being somewhat involved in the day to day operations of the business, especially given the accounting records), you're going to have some relatively large amount of transaction fees hiring a lawyer to draw up an agreement or loan doc, you're completely and totally illiquid whether its equity or debt financing and undoubtedly a long and potentially difficult to define payback period (just cause the note is 5 years today doesn't mean you're getting it back in 5 years), and even then its not likely you'd be able to recover anything in the event the thing goes belly up. Its definitely an outside the box idea but it seems way more risky than something I'd want to be in as a retiree, unless I was trying to start my own business. I mean we're effectively talking about angel investing.

What kind of yield would you want on something like that, debt or equity? I mean if a bank won't give them debt financing what are you going to demand? Certainly more than the bank would. One of the businesses we worked on last week is completely upside down after a management buyout + merger 3 years ago (D/A of 151%, yes, A, not E) and they just managed to refinance secured debt into an unsecured revolver to the tune of almost 50% of their entire balance sheet. Cash flow is mediocre, the audit (not comp, not review, AUDIT) makes me ashamed to be a cpa its so thin. and the projections they gave us, while full f/s, I find incredulous [especially given their track record]. shite they were in default of the major debt piece just 2 years ago. Its not 2007 but people can get financing. A lot of small businesses simply don't want it.
This post was edited on 1/23/12 at 10:43 pm
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:39 pm to
Agree with your post. I didn't really take the OP's considerations into account when I responded to foshiz. In my case, it's a family member. Everything is completely informal. No more than 10k. I wouldn't do it with just some Joe without retaining a security interest in something (like inventory), which wouldn't require a lot of lawyering.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:43 pm to
quote:

That's a great idea. Perhaps even some sort of inventory infusion. I've got a family member who owns a pretty high turn store who can always use more inventory who I'm considering doing this for.



I have underwritten a lot of companies that have high yielding sub debt. I often wish I could get in on some of it.

I'm currently long in AGNC, yielding around 20%. it's had a good run up recently, but I still like it.

Floating rate bond funds are also worth a look right now. No way I would be buying fixed rates bonds right now, though.

I think there are some real values in the banking sector, but none I consider to be a long term hold.

I've been long BP for a long time and I still think it's a great value. I think being long O&G in general is a good long term move. Short term, I like a few oilfield service companies that have a focus on natural gas. Nat Gas will eventually be back strong and I think those guys are the best way to take advantage.

CQP is a stock I've always been interested in, but never bought, because when it was cheap because I didn't think I fully understood the risks, and didn't buy later because I thought I had missed the boat. I would be interested to hear what someone smarter than me has to say about CQP.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:47 pm to
Lawyering to fees is not a 1:1 deal in my experience. Not that it would probably be egregiously expensive, but just relative to investing in something publicly traded just paying commission in/out is all.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:48 pm to
Can't talk stocks but the floating rate bond fund is an interesting angle.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:50 pm to
quote:

tax liens, 8%


I've dealt with several funds who do this. Hedge funds will grad leverage for 450 bps and then make the spread.

That's something so tempting, it's almost too good to be true.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 1/23/12 at 10:50 pm to
No issue with that suggestion in general, just don't have any specifics to talk to. We have to mess with a lot of closed end funds and I often feel like some of those (both fixed income and equity) are trading at attractive valuations to NAV.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram