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Final Numerical Analysis of the SEC
Posted on 12/5/11 at 2:29 am
Posted on 12/5/11 at 2:29 am
This was done using a least squares fit to find the ideal values for a power rating for each team using a standard 4 point home field advantage.
Two weeks ago the analysis said...
LSU by 16.48 over Arkansas (LSU won by 24)
Bama by 16.90 over Auburn (Bama won by 28)
MSU by 21.21 over Ole Miss (MSU won by 28)
UT by 5.68 over UK (UK won by 3)
Last week the analysis said...
LSU by 18.96 over UGA (Odds of LSU win = 91.06%)
This week it says...
LSU by 6.70 over Bama (Odds of LSU win =65.84%)
Team Ratings...
1. LSU 46.47 +/- 6.26
2. Alabama 39.77 +/- 10.15
3. Arkansas 30.98 +/- 8.71
5. Florida 27.93 +/- 11.81
4. South Carolina 27.87 +/- 7.84
6. Georgia 24.83 +/- 8.04
7. Mississippi State 18.71 +/- 4.43
8. Vanderbilt 18.50 +/- 5.07
9. Auburn 16.32 +/- 9.61
10. Tennessee 11.22 +/- 6.06
11. Kentucky 3.44 +/- 10.32
12. Ole Miss 0.00 +/- 6.99
Two weeks ago the analysis said...
LSU by 16.48 over Arkansas (LSU won by 24)
Bama by 16.90 over Auburn (Bama won by 28)
MSU by 21.21 over Ole Miss (MSU won by 28)
UT by 5.68 over UK (UK won by 3)
Last week the analysis said...
LSU by 18.96 over UGA (Odds of LSU win = 91.06%)
This week it says...
LSU by 6.70 over Bama (Odds of LSU win =65.84%)
Team Ratings...
1. LSU 46.47 +/- 6.26
2. Alabama 39.77 +/- 10.15
3. Arkansas 30.98 +/- 8.71
5. Florida 27.93 +/- 11.81
4. South Carolina 27.87 +/- 7.84
6. Georgia 24.83 +/- 8.04
7. Mississippi State 18.71 +/- 4.43
8. Vanderbilt 18.50 +/- 5.07
9. Auburn 16.32 +/- 9.61
10. Tennessee 11.22 +/- 6.06
11. Kentucky 3.44 +/- 10.32
12. Ole Miss 0.00 +/- 6.99
Posted on 12/5/11 at 12:07 pm to DocBugbear
I find it interesting that 66% is also the percentage of the population that thinks LSU will win...
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