Career Wins for Tebow: O/U 35?

I know we're tackling the Tebowism with reckless abandon tonight, far moreso than the actual Jets bothered to tackle him tonight, but what do you see long term projected upside for Tebow to be.

Personally, I think he can maybe be a Seneca Wallace type or a T Jack type-- not in that he can throw as well as them, but in that he can harness his ability running the ball and build a little-- nothing fancy, mind you -- but a little throwing package-- enough to make him viable as a backup or spot starter type, but never enough to be a big name big time winner.

I believe he will have durability issues, will not always have a defense as good as this year's Broncos, etc., but I do think he may get a little bit longer leash as a starter than most people would have said a month ago.

He's 5-3 as a starter over two years; I don't think he's going to win better than 60% of his games, but in that putrid division, a 50% winning record doesn't seem that outlandish.

It's unlikely the Broncos will move away from him the rest of this year; that'll mean another 6 starts for him, barring injury. I think they probably stick with him into next year, for at least another 7 games. That'll give him another 6 or 7 wins as a starter, IMHO, particularly if they get weak divisional foes early next year.

I think he's going to have durability issues that will pop up when he plays more than 8 games in a stretch. I would set the O/U for his whole career at 35. Where would you guys set it, or do you think it's a clear under or a clear over?