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Draft projections-baseball
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:34 am
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:34 am
Even though the Tigers are having a great year, don't expect a lot of guys selected in the June draft. (Partly due to this is still a pretty young team, which is really exciting).
2nd Round- Mitchell. Strengths: Freak athlete, can hit for power and average and has a handle on moving runners, gifted base stealer. Ability to play all 3 outfield positions. Weaknesses: Too many k's for a potential top of the order guy and his approach at the plate often suggests he is guessing.
Jmitch should go early to mid second round and could quickly project as a 4th outfielder in the bigs very soon, Should sign for around 700k
3rd round- Lemahieu: Strengths: great approach at the plate. very dicsiplined. above average defense, average arm strength is complimented by strong, quick hands and plus footwork. could project at 3rd, SS and 2nd. outstanding frame for growth. Weaknessess: Lacks true power, although could develop into a 15-20 HR guy in majors. Arm could be stronger. Moving to second doesnt help him regarding draft. Should sign for around 400k
4th round-Coleman. Louis is skyrocketing up draft boards and will go very early due to his signability and discounted rate due to the fact that he is a sr. Has shown that he can be very effective in any role in the staff. I think he projects very well as a major league setup, and situational guy. Strengths: can pitch in any role. quirky mechanics lead to a unorthodox but effective arm slot. good secondary pitches and excellent swagger on the mound. Definitely knows how to control a games tempo. Excellent leadership. Weaknessess: with his unorthodox delivery, he sometimes drags his arm which can leave the ball up. This hasnt hurt him yet because his pitchers overpower sec hitters, however, he can't pitch belt high against big league hitters. This can be easily fixed though.
Coleman will be a steal and should sign for about 50k.
11th round-Dean: Dean has come out of his slump and has taken his place as the Tigers leader in the lineup. Flashes natural hitting abilty and a quick, fluid bat. not many holes. True hitter that will hit at every level. Strenghts: Bat! Bat! Bat!. His slump was due to pressing and approach rather then mechanics and swing. Could legitemently be a .300 25 100 guy in pro ball. Similar to Brad Hawpe as a hitter. Weaknessess: defense. Has shown that he can be hidden in the outfield but doesnt have major league arm, or speed and range. Not to worry because they are MANY big league outfielders that fall into this catogory.
Schimpf has had a good year, but moving to the corner of spot doesnt help his draft stock. If he could show quicker hands and feet at 2nd then he could be a top 10 round 2b but so far he has only been average right there. A good hitter who will get a shot as SR. Could get drafted this year, but not high enough to leave.
2nd Round- Mitchell. Strengths: Freak athlete, can hit for power and average and has a handle on moving runners, gifted base stealer. Ability to play all 3 outfield positions. Weaknesses: Too many k's for a potential top of the order guy and his approach at the plate often suggests he is guessing.
Jmitch should go early to mid second round and could quickly project as a 4th outfielder in the bigs very soon, Should sign for around 700k
3rd round- Lemahieu: Strengths: great approach at the plate. very dicsiplined. above average defense, average arm strength is complimented by strong, quick hands and plus footwork. could project at 3rd, SS and 2nd. outstanding frame for growth. Weaknessess: Lacks true power, although could develop into a 15-20 HR guy in majors. Arm could be stronger. Moving to second doesnt help him regarding draft. Should sign for around 400k
4th round-Coleman. Louis is skyrocketing up draft boards and will go very early due to his signability and discounted rate due to the fact that he is a sr. Has shown that he can be very effective in any role in the staff. I think he projects very well as a major league setup, and situational guy. Strengths: can pitch in any role. quirky mechanics lead to a unorthodox but effective arm slot. good secondary pitches and excellent swagger on the mound. Definitely knows how to control a games tempo. Excellent leadership. Weaknessess: with his unorthodox delivery, he sometimes drags his arm which can leave the ball up. This hasnt hurt him yet because his pitchers overpower sec hitters, however, he can't pitch belt high against big league hitters. This can be easily fixed though.
Coleman will be a steal and should sign for about 50k.
11th round-Dean: Dean has come out of his slump and has taken his place as the Tigers leader in the lineup. Flashes natural hitting abilty and a quick, fluid bat. not many holes. True hitter that will hit at every level. Strenghts: Bat! Bat! Bat!. His slump was due to pressing and approach rather then mechanics and swing. Could legitemently be a .300 25 100 guy in pro ball. Similar to Brad Hawpe as a hitter. Weaknessess: defense. Has shown that he can be hidden in the outfield but doesnt have major league arm, or speed and range. Not to worry because they are MANY big league outfielders that fall into this catogory.
Schimpf has had a good year, but moving to the corner of spot doesnt help his draft stock. If he could show quicker hands and feet at 2nd then he could be a top 10 round 2b but so far he has only been average right there. A good hitter who will get a shot as SR. Could get drafted this year, but not high enough to leave.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:37 am to BatonrougeCajun
where'd you pull this from?
I'd like to know where they project guys like Dean and Schimpf.
I'd like to know where they project guys like Dean and Schimpf.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:39 am to josh336
strictly my opinion based on where I have seen similar guys go in the past couple of years. For reasons I can't explain I'm obsessed with the MLB draft and player development. And because my Cajuns don't appear to have many if any prospects this year, I've really been focusing on LSU's guys.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:42 am to BatonrougeCajun
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/6/09 at 10:52 am
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:43 am to BatonrougeCajun
I actually believe you are a couple rounds high on Coleman and Lemahieu. I see them more as round 5 guys, but you probably follow it alot closer than I do.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:43 am to BatonrougeCajun
FWIW, a 13th rounder signed for 115K last year.
This post was edited on 5/6/09 at 10:44 am
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:49 am to BatonrougeCajun
quote:
Coleman will be a steal and should sign for about 50k
50k seems pretty low for 4th round does it not?
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:49 am to josh336
quote:
well, what do you think about Dean and Schimpf?
they're on there, just not bolded
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:52 am to baytiger
I hope this is not just your opinion... do you have a link?
Posted on 5/6/09 at 10:53 am to Enfuego
I could see Coleman going down alot further than that. He has thrown alot of innings and he is a year older which will hurt his draft stock. Normally Seniors don't get drafted higher than the year before unless they just have a unbielvable season there senior year and teams are fighting for him. But the MLB draft is so unpredictable its hard to tell where they go.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 11:04 am to Cajunboy19
This is just an opinion of mine. Coleman will go in the 4th because of what he has done at the highest college level over the last 2 years. Plus he has a great frame, competitive tempo and plus pitches. He will only get 50k because he has no leverage as a SR but this is what will cause him to go higher because teams will be chomping at the bit to get a premium product at a discount.
Dean will go between 11-14. He will probably go through negotiations for most of the summer as most guys who go in this area due. His overall leverage of returning for a SR. year is what will ultimately dictate. Sometimes high school kids who are drafted in the 10-14rd can command a TON of money to keep them out of college. So yeah sometimes you will see guys sign for much higher then their slot dictates.
Ryan Schimpf is playing a corner outfield spot right now. This kills him because he will never in his life project as a big league corner OF. Had he stayed at 2nd and flashed better hands and feet then you would see him taken on the first day of the draft.
Dean will go between 11-14. He will probably go through negotiations for most of the summer as most guys who go in this area due. His overall leverage of returning for a SR. year is what will ultimately dictate. Sometimes high school kids who are drafted in the 10-14rd can command a TON of money to keep them out of college. So yeah sometimes you will see guys sign for much higher then their slot dictates.
Ryan Schimpf is playing a corner outfield spot right now. This kills him because he will never in his life project as a big league corner OF. Had he stayed at 2nd and flashed better hands and feet then you would see him taken on the first day of the draft.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 11:12 am to BatonrougeCajun
quote:
Had he stayed at 2nd and flashed better hands and feet then you would see him taken on the first day of the draft.
Really? I guess Mainieri moved him at the right time then
Posted on 5/6/09 at 11:33 am to josh336
PM had to do what was in his teams best interest (and he did). I've seen Schimpf play many times and I think his defense may be be too suspect to warrant a high pick. (this year anyway)
Where a guy plays is huge in terms of the draft. I played with a guy in college who was an All SBC player. .330 hitter who had 4 strong tools, but lacked power and out of need we had him in Rightfield, whereas, his projectability was as a centerfielder. He was called repeatedly on draft day by a few teams but didnt get drafted due to the fact that no one had seen him in center.
Where a guy plays is huge in terms of the draft. I played with a guy in college who was an All SBC player. .330 hitter who had 4 strong tools, but lacked power and out of need we had him in Rightfield, whereas, his projectability was as a centerfielder. He was called repeatedly on draft day by a few teams but didnt get drafted due to the fact that no one had seen him in center.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 11:55 am to BatonrougeCajun
quote:
For reasons I can't explain I'm obsessed with the MLB draft and player development.
I'm the same way. I check the Astros' minor league box scores before going to sleep.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 11:58 am to Ninja Looter
Also Milb.com is a great tool. You can follow any body in the minors very easily.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 12:06 pm to BatonrougeCajun
Considering the fact that DJ is only a soph at a D1 school he is not eligable to enter the draft, so i don't think he will be going in the 3rd round
Posted on 5/6/09 at 12:07 pm to JeauxBleaux51
quote:
Considering the fact that DJ is only a soph at a D1 school he is not eligable to enter the draft, so i don't think he will be going in the 3rd round
false. dj is eligible. he's old enough.
Posted on 5/6/09 at 12:10 pm to JeauxBleaux51
quote:
JeauxBleaux51
what makes your statement funny, is that you sounded so sure of yourself
Posted on 5/6/09 at 12:10 pm to JeauxBleaux51
quote:
Considering the fact that DJ is only a soph at a D1 school he is not eligable to enter the draft, so i don't think he will be going in the 3rd round
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