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Will the anticipated 3 rate cuts jump-start residential home sales this year?

Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:29 pm
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1626 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:29 pm
(no message)
Posted by Gifman
by the mountains
Member since Jan 2021
9238 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

anticipated 3 rate cuts


Didn't powell throw cold water on this ?
Posted by North Dallas Tiger
Geaux Tigahs
Member since Mar 2024
1821 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:32 pm to
they're way late on these cuts

this is affecting much more than home sales

commercial real estate investors can't wait for the rate cuts
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 12:32 pm
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1626 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:32 pm to
If so, I missed it. Not sure.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 12:34 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120188 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

they're way late on these cuts


Nope

If anything rates should go higher
Posted by Tmcgin
BATON ROUGE
Member since Jun 2010
4949 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:33 pm to
There was 1.129 million home const starts last month
so things are picking up. Rate cuts won't hurt but I doubt we get them because they hate moves in election season.

Fed should of raised in late fall 2020 and did not.
Posted by North Dallas Tiger
Geaux Tigahs
Member since Mar 2024
1821 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

If anything rates should go higher
my investment holdings disagree
Posted by Gravitiger
Member since Jun 2011
10390 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:33 pm to
Maybe I'm just an economic dumbass, but it seems like, in modern market history, mortgage rates and home prices seem to roughly balance each other out, when it comes to total monthly payment.

My parents bought a starter home in the early 80s at something like 13%. Now they are multimillionares.
This post was edited on 3/23/24 at 3:53 am
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58108 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:35 pm to
Are home sales hurting?
Rate cuts are going to just cause inflation to take off again and make home sales get stupid. They don’t need to cut rates.
We need a slow drop in consumer spending, auto sales, home sales, etc.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
118959 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:35 pm to
No rate cuts, and there likely shouldn't be.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11079 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:35 pm to
No, because MBS rates aren’t affected by SOFR. That’s without considering builder profitability.
Posted by North Dallas Tiger
Geaux Tigahs
Member since Mar 2024
1821 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

mortgage rates and home prices seem to roughly balance each other out, when it comes to total monthly payment.
basically correct
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
24950 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:36 pm to
I for one hope rates stay the same or even nudge higher. I’m finally getting some return on my cash. Rates should have never been allowed to drop as low as they did.
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
12068 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:36 pm to
Just buy now and refinance when they cut - Bimbo real estate bitch wanting her 6%

I hired you because I’m forced to and you have big tits. Not because I need advice on how to manage my finances.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 12:51 pm
Posted by Dadren
Jawja
Member since Dec 2023
929 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:37 pm to
Maybe. Lots of people deciding not to give up low rates they secured in the last 5-10 years, so they stay when they might have considering moving, keeping inventory low.

This is kind of where we are. We probably wouldn’t move anyway, but the rate environment makes it not even a discussion when one of us brings up the possibility.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39110 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

commercial real estate investors can't wait for the rate cuts

Can confirm. I have a friend who says his real estate portfolio is bleeding and that a quarter percent cut in rates would mean almost $200,000 per month to him.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10354 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:38 pm to
It certainly will

I have talked to several agents who are confirming what I suspect

Buyers are just sitting back and waiting for the rates to drop
Posted by CoachChappy
Member since May 2013
32515 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

hey're way late on these cuts


Rates have been kept unnaturally low for too long.
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
10384 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:52 pm to
Until inflation is 2% or lower, rates do not need to be cut.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:56 pm to
Rates need to go up. Bleed out the excess of the last 15 years when the ridiculous zero percent interest rates were allowed to occur. Prices adjust accordingly, and if people have too much leverage that has to be worked out of the system. The Fed cannot continue penalizing savers and encouraging endless exponential increases in debt. Inflation is the ultimate silent tax and that's clearly going to be the choice from the government as a tool to monetize debt instead of right sizing spending.
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