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Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:37 am to PhillyTiger90
AT 168 hours turning Northwest towards Louisiana major hurricane also (pressure down to 948)
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 1:39 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:42 am to lsuman25
948 is Cat3 status correct?
And how far from landfall is it at 168 hrs?
And how far from landfall is it at 168 hrs?
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 1:43 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:42 am to PhillyTiger90
3 for sure could be a borderline 4
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:43 am to lsuman25
I feel ill.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:44 am to PhillyTiger90
At 192 hours landfall on Texas Louisiana border
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:46 am to lsuman25
That puts Euro and GFS in agreement on this run.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:46 am to Jim Rockford
Yea if this run were to materialize would pretty much be worst case scenario for Louisiana
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:46 am to lsuman25
Bad feeling if it's projected for TX/LA the only changes I can see it taking is in only one direction: East
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:48 am to PhillyTiger90
yea, sorry for not posting graphics i do not know how to do it on here so i'll leave that to the experts on here
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:51 am to lsuman25
All good baw 
Stocking up on essentials for sure tomorrow before the mayhem and panic starts this weekend from the masses
Stocking up on essentials for sure tomorrow before the mayhem and panic starts this weekend from the masses
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:52 am to PhillyTiger90
Someone needs to fricking tl;dr this thread
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:52 am to lsuman25
At 216 hours in southern Arkansas most likely still getting feeder bands from the gulf as we would still be on the east side
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:05 am to lsuman25
Sounds like I should be evacuating (if it comes to that) west to Austin, Round Rock stead of north like Memphis?
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 2:06 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:06 am to PhillyTiger90
still too early to tell right now just keepup in this thread in the coming days
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:15 am to lsuman25
It looks like the storm is becoming more organized but the center seems to be more south than the computer models were placing it. This would seem to drag the projected path more over land of Hispaniola. Any chance the mountains of Hispaniola can completely dismantle this thing?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:32 am to TypoKnig
From what I've been reading on other boards, the low level circulation is north of the mid level.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:44 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
From what I've been reading on other boards, the low level circulation is north of the mid level.
What does this mean, Jim?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:59 am to 4LSU2
The low level circulation is what you look for.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 4:29 am to Jim Rockford
While the storm does appear to have gotten a little better organized overnight, the mid-level circulation is still south of the surface low. It does appear to be trying to stack the mid level circulation over the surface low to the north. Once it gets stacked vertically, the storm can then intensify more efficiently. Looking at the water vapor loop, it appears that dry air is impeding the system somewhat but remember the models don't have it taking off for awhile yet.
water vapor loop
water vapor loop
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