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Heads up DFW folks - Decent chance of large hail this evening

Posted on 4/21/17 at 12:21 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11333 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 12:21 pm

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point

quote:

The eventual location of the outflow/front conglomerate will be
significant, as it will serve as a northern fringe of
later-to-be-realized surface-based severe threat expected to evolve
across the Arklatex into north Texas. Redevelopment of convection
south of the ongoing MCS -- near and ahead of the advancing
front/outflow is expected, and with moderate instability in
conjunction with a favorably sheared environment, supercells are
anticipated along with attendant risks for very large hail, locally
damaging winds, and a few tornadoes
. Risk should spread east across
the Arklatex and southeast across north Texas this evening, before
diminishing in conjunction with diurnal cooling/stabilization.
Given potential for greatest severe risk to extend farther south and
east than prior outlooks indicated due to ongoing convective
evolution, the ENH risk area is being adjusted southward a bit
toward the DFW metroplex
, and eastward into the Arklatex.




Paging rds dc...
This post was edited on 4/21/17 at 12:28 pm
Posted by Dont_Call_Me_RAY
Member since Feb 2017
1439 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 12:22 pm to
It just wouldn't be Dallas/Ft Worth without a good hail storm.
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