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Message
Covid deaths down 26% compared to last Thursday. Only 695 deaths today
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:27 pm
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:27 pm
quote:
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking
:
Newly reported deaths
Today: 695
Yesterday: 782
One week ago (6/11): 936
Newly reported cases
T: 27K
Y: 24K
6/11: 22K
Newly reported tests
T: 466K
Y: 489K
6/11: 448K
Positive test rate:
T: 5.8%
Y: 4.9%
6/11: 4.9%
positivity rate up a bit, but it's a totally different type of person we are testing now than in may and april, so it's no biggie.
the big news is deaths per positive case are plummeting plummeting plummeting.
9
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Yet our media is still pretending this is AIDS
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
CNN is painting a very bleak picture.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:29 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Are you telling me our benevolent governor is lying to us?
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:29 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Covid deaths down 26% compared to last Thursday.
It's the end of the world today in the media.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:32 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
FWIW it takes on average 3-4 weeks before a positive case becomes a death. So, the current death numbers are still related to the dip in cases we saw a month+ ago at the end of the lockdown. So, the case to death ratio will be skewed for another few weeks, then deaths will likely jump up again. And, additional panic will ensue, as people then think the virus is getting worse.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:32 pm to upgrayedd
Yeah, That Jeanie ain't going back in the bottle.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:35 pm to MiloDanglers
quote:Nope. this assumes that the new crop of new cases are demographically similar to the people being tested in march, april, and may. NOT SO!
FWIW it takes on average 3-4 weeks before a positive case becomes a death. So, the current death numbers are still related to the dip in cases we saw a month+ ago at the end of the lockdown. So, the case to death ratio will be skewed for another few weeks, then deaths will likely jump up again. And, additional panic will ensue, as people then think the virus is getting worse.
As ron desantis has explained last few days, the average age of the new cases in flarda is less than half the average age of those tested in april and may.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:36 pm to MiloDanglers
quote:
FWIW it takes on average 3-4 weeks before a positive case becomes a death. So, the current death numbers are still related to the dip in cases we saw a month+ ago at the end of the lockdown. So, the case to death ratio will be skewed for another few weeks, then deaths will likely jump up again. And, additional panic will ensue, as people then think the virus is getting worse.
Apply your logic to states that have been open for well over a month. Georgia for example.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:37 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Meanwhile CNN is reporting this is happening across the country:
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:37 pm to goofball
This pandemic and these protests were the best thing to happen to the media in a long while. Now it’s bleakness to the extreme 24/7
This post was edited on 6/18/20 at 5:38 pm
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:39 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Good news on deaths. Hope it continues. No one can claim surprise on the increase in cases. Did anyone seriously think cases would decline when we opened up? I know this distresses a lot of people, but we are just going to have to go on with life and accept that this virus will be with us for a while.
Hopefully we'll start to see some real decline when some immunity gets built up.
Hopefully we'll start to see some real decline when some immunity gets built up.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:42 pm to skullhawk
quote:
Apply your logic to states that have been open for well over a month. Georgia for example.
The logic just applies to a case increase in general. We are seeing a case increase now, but we wont see a death increase for several weeks.
As to the average age issue, I’m sure that will play a role in the total number of deaths. I’m no expert by any stretch, just applying logic and my understanding of the situation. Even though the demographic of new cases is largely younger, I still expect deaths to go up in a few weeks, and everyone to freak out again.
I also expect hospitalizations to go up significantly in the immediate term (as they have started to already). I suspect they’ll continue to increase for the next few weeks. If that doesn’t happen, then my whole theory is likely bunk, as people aren’t really dying at home.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:44 pm to MiloDanglers
quote:
The logic just applies to a case increase in general. We are seeing a case increase now, but we wont see a death increase for several weeks.
As to the average age issue, I’m sure that will play a role in the total number of deaths. I’m no expert by any stretch, just applying logic and my understanding of the situation. Even though the demographic of new cases is largely younger, I still expect deaths to go up in a few weeks, and everyone to freak out again.
I also expect hospitalizations to go up significantly in the immediate term (as they have started to already). I suspect they’ll continue to increase for the next few weeks. If that doesn’t happen, then my whole theory is likely bunk, as people aren’t really dying at home.
Georgia, Ohio, and vast swaths of canada have been open for weeks and have seen no surge in anything (cases, hospitalizations, etc).
California, texas, and arizona are really just having the first wave finally.
This post was edited on 6/18/20 at 5:47 pm
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:45 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Time to focus on "institutional racism". I don't know what that is, but it sounds bad.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:47 pm to MiloDanglers
quote:
The logic just applies to a case increase in general. We are seeing a case increase now, but we wont see a death increase for several weeks.
Just stop. Mississippi has been open for 6 weeks now.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:03 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Georgia, Ohio, and vast swaths of canada have been open for weeks and have seen no surge in anything (cases, hospitalizations, etc).
I’m not talking about any states or regions in particular. Just our nationwide numbers. Cases are increasing, while deaths are decreasing. Deaths will eventually increase. And everyone will panic again. That is my theory.
quote:
Just stop. Mississippi has been open for 6 weeks now
I’m not speculating on the cause of the increases, or thier relation to protests or any particular state opening. Just commenting on the currently decreasing death rate nationally.
This post was edited on 6/18/20 at 6:06 pm
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:27 pm to MiloDanglers
quote:Disagree. Treatment is getting better and the new cases are people less likely to die.
eaths will eventually increase. And everyone will panic again. That is my theory.
people over age of 70 are still hunkered down anyway.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:48 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Disagree. Treatment is getting better and the new cases are people less likely to die.
That makes sense, too. I guess we will see how it plays out over the next month.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:49 pm to MiloDanglers
I still think the decline in deaths in Midwest and northeast will overshadow any rise in the southwest
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