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ZiPS 2017 MLB projections thread (Updated 12/28)
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:40 pm
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:40 pm
ZiPS projections have been coming out now for the past couple of weeks and here is a thread for their discussion. i will rank top players and teams by projected WAR and update as the projections keep being released
Players Projected 5+ WAR
9 - Mike Trout
7 - Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa, Josh Donaldson
6 - Madison Bumgarner, Mookie Betts, Chris Sale, Anthony Rizzo, Francisco Lindor, Corey Kluber, Max Scherzer, Jose Altuve
5- Johnny Cueto, Buster Posey, Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, David Price, Aaron Sanchez, Bryce Harper, Kyle Seager
Teams By Projected WAR
1. Chicago Cubs - 51
2. Houston - 49
3. Boston - 48
4. Cleveland, Washington - 44
6. San Francisco - 42
7. Toronto - 41
8. Seattle - 38
9. Detroit - 36
10. Tampa Bay - 35
11. Arizona - 31
12. Atlanta, Los Angeles Angels - 28
14. San Diego - 21
Arizona
Atlanta
Boston
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland
Detroit
Houston
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego
San Francisco
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Toronto
Washington
Players Projected 5+ WAR
9 - Mike Trout
7 - Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa, Josh Donaldson
6 - Madison Bumgarner, Mookie Betts, Chris Sale, Anthony Rizzo, Francisco Lindor, Corey Kluber, Max Scherzer, Jose Altuve
5- Johnny Cueto, Buster Posey, Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, David Price, Aaron Sanchez, Bryce Harper, Kyle Seager
Teams By Projected WAR
1. Chicago Cubs - 51
2. Houston - 49
3. Boston - 48
4. Cleveland, Washington - 44
6. San Francisco - 42
7. Toronto - 41
8. Seattle - 38
9. Detroit - 36
10. Tampa Bay - 35
11. Arizona - 31
12. Atlanta, Los Angeles Angels - 28
14. San Diego - 21
Arizona
Atlanta
Boston
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland
Detroit
Houston
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego
San Francisco
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Toronto
Washington
This post was edited on 12/28/16 at 1:01 pm
6
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:41 pm to WestCoastAg
Cubs are stacked once again and the rest of the NL is fricked.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:42 pm to FulshearTiger
If Bryce Harper wants that $400 million he better get into Trout category
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:42 pm to WestCoastAg
War.... what is it good for
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:43 pm to LandonC
Still has two more years for another 10 win season
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:43 pm to LandonC
quote:
If Bryce Harper wants that $400 million he better get into Trout category
yea uhh no
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:44 pm to WestCoastAg
You knew the stros had a good roster but damn they are projected just shy of 50 WAR
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:45 pm to WestCoastAg
Another off season championship for the Astros. Print the shirts.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:51 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
they are projected just shy of 50 WAR
all coming from their position players
Posted on 12/26/16 at 2:52 pm to Lester Earl
The Padres starting staff literally projects 0 wins
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:03 pm to WestCoastAg
I could see certain projection system (that do not weigh as heavily on 2015) projecting more for Harper. However, it is up to human adjustments to appropriately find that balance cause it can be tough for systems to project off a really bad year.
I know he was very good, but 5 feels high for Sanchez. With his innings spike, I am scared of injury there.
I know he was very good, but 5 feels high for Sanchez. With his innings spike, I am scared of injury there.
This post was edited on 12/26/16 at 3:04 pm
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:20 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
Another off season championship for the Astros. Print the shirts.
I guess having your team win one championship in 110 years gives you license to talk shite. Carry on.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:26 pm to High C
Cubs fans are going to be worse than Red Sox fans post championship, it's already pretty apparent if you know any in real life
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:29 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
5 for Aaron Sanchez does seem awfully optimistic. Steamer has him at 3.0.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:50 pm to High C
quote:
I guess having your team win one championship in 110 years gives you license to talk shite. Carry on.
Yeah a significant portion of Astros fans I know, and I live in Houston, and ones that post on this board, are obnoxious asses just like Aggie fans.
Take for instance your comment. You try to talk shite, but I'm fine having watched them win their first championship in 110 years whereas you, along with 100% of Astros fans, have NEVER seen the Astros win one. Carry on.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:53 pm to FulshearTiger
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/7/23 at 2:21 pm
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:56 pm to msutiger
Yankees going to the ship 
Posted on 12/26/16 at 3:58 pm to FulshearTiger
Well, 50+ more years to go to be worst than the Cubs 1:110 ratio. I'll still take those odds.
Posted on 12/26/16 at 4:00 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
Freddie Freeman
Will get over 5 if he can build on last year
Posted on 12/26/16 at 4:01 pm to The Seaward
Even if you put him down for 200 clean innings, 5 seems aggressive just looking at him being with Cueto and Price. Sanchez could potentially be an ace, but that is an ace level projection.
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