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Playoff scenarios

Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:45 pm
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80287 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:45 pm
Teams that are in consideration:

Alabama (12-0) plays Florida
Clemson (11-1) plays Virginia Tech
Washington (11-1) plays Colorado (10-2)
Ohio State (11-1) does not play
Wisconsin (10-2) plays Penn State (10-2)
Oklahoma (9-2) plays Oklahoma State (9-2)

First off, every scenario has Alabama beating Florida, so let's just put them in at #1 and 13-0.

For the other 3 teams:

Clemson - If they win, they're in. If they lose, the ACC has no representation.

Washington - If they win, they're in.

Ohio State - would need Wisconsin to win the Big Ten and either Clemson or Washington to lose. Does not get in if Penn State wins the Big Ten.

Colorado - would need to beat Washington, Clemson to lose, and Penn State to win the Big Ten.

Wisconsin - win and they're in.

Oklahoma - would need Clemson and Washington to lose and for Penn State to win the Big Ten.

Oklahoma State - CFP committee is more likely to give them the benefit of the doubt due to the CMU fiasco.

Here are the different combinations:

Alabama, Clemson, Washington, Penn State
Alabama, Clemson, Washington, Wisconsin
Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Wisconsin
Alabama, Washington, Penn State, Oklahoma State
Alabama, Washington, Penn State, Oklahoma
Alabama, Washington, Ohio State, Wisconsin
Alabama, Penn State, Colorado, Oklahoma State
Alabama, Penn State, Colorado, Oklahoma
Alabama, Wisconsin, Oklahoma State, Ohio State
Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Wisconsin
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23128 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

CGSC Lobotomy



This is a simple question, and please don't flame the response. I think it is the answer and how OSU will end up in

The committee chair said that OSU was clearly better than PSU/Wisky in their eyes last Tuesday. All 3 of those teams had the potential from that day forward to add another top 25 win. OSU won theirs. No matter who wins the other, wouldn't it just keep status quo with the committee, regardless of the conference title "title"
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53449 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Ohio State - would need Wisconsin to win the Big Ten and either Clemson or Washington to lose. Does not get in if Penn State wins the Big Ten.


Posted by bucknut15
Columbus
Member since Nov 2015
721 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Ohio State - would need Wisconsin to win the Big Ten and either Clemson or Washington to lose. Does not get in if Penn State wins the Big Ten.

Yea, this is not true. Your guys melt is going to be so funny next Sunday.
Posted by Starchild
Member since May 2010
13550 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:51 pm to
I don't know why people are trying to come up with these fantasy scenarios. The committee is will not drop OSU from 2 to out of the top 4 after they just beat the then #3 team.

It doesn't matter what happens in B1GCG, OSU is in.
It doesn't matter what happens in SECCG, Bama is in.

And they both deserve to be
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42570 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:52 pm to
OSU, OSU, OU gone be mad.
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:52 pm to
it will be:

bama
clemson
washington
tOSU


Unless Washington and Clemson are upset in title games. only chance some one else gets in

This post was edited on 11/27/16 at 12:54 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin - win and they're in.

Yeah no
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80287 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

The committee is will not drop OSU from 2 to out of the top 4 after they just beat the then #3 team.


TCU went from #3 to #6 in the final week in 2014 because they didn't play a 13th game.
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

TCU went from #3 to #6 in the final week in 2014 because they didn't play a 13th game.


c'mon, they take care of the blue bloods. TCU had no chance vs a blue blood.

Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82036 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Alabama, Penn State, Colorado, Oklahoma
quote:

Alabama, Washington, Penn State, Oklahoma

These two scenarios are impossible.
First of all I think, OU really doesn't have a path to the playoffs, because even in case there's "chaos," all the teams they'd be competing against would have 11 wins.

Secondly, OU isn't going over Ohio state...better résumé and lopsided h2h win on the road... Winning a terrible big 12 wouldn't overcome that. So any remote scenario that has OU in would also need to have Ohio state in. And honestly, I don't see any.
Penn State losing yesterday was OU's last hope.
This post was edited on 11/27/16 at 12:56 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:56 pm to
Alabama is in.

If Clemson, Washington, and Wisconsin win....
Alabama
Ohio State
Clemson
Washington

Wisconsin would need Clemson or Washington to lose to get the Big Ten a second team, probably.


If Penn State wins, then Ohio State has a little to worry about.
Posted by CaptainBrannigan
Good Ole Rocky Top Tennessee
Member since Jan 2010
21644 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

The committee chair said that OSU was clearly better than PSU/Wisky in their eyes last Tuesday


They have as said that previous weeks rankings have no bearing on the next week. Clean slate each week.

So if you are comparing Ohio State and Penn State for the last spot. Penn state had the head to head and conference championship over OSU. What is the argument for Ohio State?
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Clean slate each week.


That doesn't mean they erase the rest of the season.
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

They have as said that previous weeks rankings have no bearing on the next week. Clean slate each week. So if you are comparing Ohio State and Penn State for the last spot. Penn state had the head to head and conference championship over OSU. What is the argument for Ohio State?


Do you really believe this??? If so, i have some beach property near Three Mile Island to sell you.
This post was edited on 11/27/16 at 1:03 pm
Posted by CaptainBrannigan
Good Ole Rocky Top Tennessee
Member since Jan 2010
21644 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 1:02 pm to
quote:


That doesn't mean they erase the rest of the season.


You mean like a head to head matchup?
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

You mean like a head to head matchup?


Nope, they'll still count it, along with everything else. It's why y'all are going to be disappointed.
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23128 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

What is the argument for Ohio State?


There are 4 "tie-breakers" they are head to head, conference titles Strength of schedule and common opponents.

OSU wins 2 of the 4, and has 1 less loss.

These are the exact words of the committee tie-breakers if teams are "at the margin" or equal in their minds eye-test wise

Championships won
? Strength of schedule
? Head-to-head competition (if it occurred)
? Comparative outcomes of common opponents (without incenting margin of victory)
This post was edited on 11/27/16 at 1:08 pm
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82036 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 1:13 pm to
Ohio state has the better résumé,and I think is the better team. I also think Penn state is a fraud.

The more I think about it, the more I think Penn state would get the nod if they win. This is why I thought it was dumb of some osu fans to want to avoid playing the CCG. You just never know what the committee is going to do.
Posted by CaptainBrannigan
Good Ole Rocky Top Tennessee
Member since Jan 2010
21644 posts
Posted on 11/27/16 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

why y'all are going to be disappointed.


If y'all can beat the gumps, I'll be happy if you are in. Just think Penn State is getting shafted.
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