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re: OFFICIAL Week 9 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/22/14 at 8:51 am to
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77394 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 8:51 am to
quote:

Posted by Tiger1242
Help me understand
Miss st easily handled LSU at LSU (although the final score looked close we know it wasn't)

LSU blows Kentucky out by 38 at LSU

Miss st only -13.5 @ Kentucky???

How's that not free money?


The transitive property is dangerous. Te fact that the line hasnt moved much should tell you something is fishy about it
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:04 am to
I'm already on LSU +4 and a bit of ML, these are the five games from which I'll pick 2-3 more:

Illinois +6.5
UK +13.5
Wake +12
Tenn +17
PSU +13.5

Still digging but it'll likely be UK, Wake and PSU.

Posted by papz
Austin, TX
Member since Jul 2008
9330 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:26 am to
That Bama line should be at -20/21.
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31919 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:29 am to
Man I know you love to fade the public and it works well for you, but I really don't see UK keeping it within 14.
I'm no expert, but I have watched both of them play 3-4 games, and intensely when they played LSU, State is just a lot better than UK
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77394 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:33 am to
Locking in kentucky now at 14
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:35 am to
Betting on the transitive property normally fricks you.




Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77394 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 9:38 am to
Absolutely.
Alot of things went wrong for kentucky last weekend. They should be jacked to play miss st at home.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:06 am to
PSU and UK are only available at 13.5 for me right now, I'll snag either if 14 pops up. Illinois stuck at 6.5 as well, would love the 7.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:13 am to
quote:


Help me understand
Miss st easily handled LSU at LSU (although the final score looked close we know it wasn't)

LSU blows Kentucky out by 38 at LSU

Miss st only -13.5 @ Kentucky???

How's that not free money?


This kind of thinking is how books make their money.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77394 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:24 am to
5dimes had 14 for penn st last i checked when i grabbed it
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:36 am to
Numbers finally line up to make LSU a play this week, first time Im on them since the Sam Houston State game.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:38 am to
Obviously I had them last week too... Had been fading them since Wiscy after the lucky cash there.

Posted by lighter345
Member since Jan 2009
11864 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:50 am to
Y'all think +3 is as good as it's going to get for LSU?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:51 am to
I snagged it at +4 and think that's the cap... Wait for a 3.5 if you can.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:54 am to
quote:

Y'all think +3 is as good as it's going to get for LSU?


It is +4 right now.
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31919 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 11:07 am to
quote:

this kind of thinking is how books make their money

I generally agree, but they won't be making money on me when State wins by 30
Posted by lighter345
Member since Jan 2009
11864 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 11:11 am to
Not on my book. I am going to wait it out.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66415 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 11:31 am to
love PSU and Tenn
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 11:36 am to
I don't usually post picks, but here it goes:

PSU +14* vs. tOSU - wait until KO if you like the Nittany Lions, public always steams OSU late. *May see a 14 or 14.5 by kick.
South Florida + 11 @ Cinci (Paul Brown Stadium in Cinci)- Cinci is getting way too much respect for beating SMU.
Ole Miss -3.5 @ LSU - LSU is too one-dimensional to beat Ole Miss.
Ga Tech +4 @ Pitt - Pittsburgh is being overrated due to beating an injured-depleted Va Tech team. This game should be a PK or so.
Syracuse +14.5 @ Clemson - Too many points for a surely defensive battle. Clemson isn't the same team with Cole Stoudt @ QB.
Posted by RandySavage
Member since May 2012
30840 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Syracuse +14.5 @ Clemson - Too many points for a surely defensive battle. Clemson isn't the same team with Cole Stoudt @ QB.


I thought the same but then I read Cuse is down to their third string QB. Don't know if I can bet on that.

What do you think of the under at 47.5? I can't see Cuse scoring more than 17 on that D with the 3rd string QB and I don't know if Cole Stoudt could lead any team to 30 points if his life depended on it.
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