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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews taking us to the promised land
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:16 pm to Sader1990
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:16 pm to Sader1990
quote:
Does anyone know anything about Uconn they are a 3.5 pt dog to Tulane? Im not sure Tulane should be favored over anyone right now.
UCONN has a bottom 10 offense in yards per play. They have a plodding offense that tries to control the clock (Iowa esque).
Their defense is pretty good tho. I would lean under the total if it's near 50 or so.
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:22 pm to Billy Mays
Thanks. I will keep the under on my radar for the weekend. It is at 45.5 right now on my book. I know Tanner Lee is still banged up and they were talking on the news about maybe Nick Montana starting.
Posted on 10/8/14 at 3:13 pm to IceColdBeer
quote:
Plus Peej gave LSU the KOD last night
Ah damnit,
Posted on 10/8/14 at 3:15 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Entirely too much thread space for a game that is equivalent to calling heads or tails.
Isn't that like kind of the exact point of this thread? Or is there a limit on the number of comments for one game?
And I guess you could pretty much say any game is a coin toss. If they weren't you would probably be pretty wealthy.
Posted on 10/8/14 at 3:27 pm to PurpleAndGold86
I was kind of messing around - the game is so weird and both teams have proven to be so inconsistent I can't find any compelling angles or good reasons to support either side. If anyone else feels strongly about it, more power to ya
I do like the under tho.
I do like the under tho.
This post was edited on 10/8/14 at 3:29 pm
Posted on 10/8/14 at 3:29 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
I do like the under tho.
I agree 100%. This is the one and only thing I like about the game.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:10 am to rocket31
YTD: 12-10-2; +2*
backing UCF tonight
1* UCF -3
1* TCU +10½
2* USC -2½
backing UCF tonight
1* UCF -3
1* TCU +10½
2* USC -2½
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:37 am to rocket31
FULL CARD WEEKEND
[110] UNLV +10-105
210 / 200
[111] TEXAS +14½-110
220 / 200
[154] MISSISSIPPI STATE +130
200 / 260
[159] ALABAMA -10-110
220 / 200
[161] LSU -125
250 / 200
[187] MISSISSIPPI +120
200 / 240
[110] UNLV +10-105
210 / 200
[111] TEXAS +14½-110
220 / 200
[154] MISSISSIPPI STATE +130
200 / 260
[159] ALABAMA -10-110
220 / 200
[161] LSU -125
250 / 200
[187] MISSISSIPPI +120
200 / 240
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:39 am to rocket31
YTD: 13-4-0. + 9
1. UCF -3
2. Georgia -3
3. Arkansas +10.5
1. UCF -3
2. Georgia -3
3. Arkansas +10.5
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:58 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
[159] ALABAMA -10-110
I like this one. I have a feeling Saban is $$ following a loss.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:01 am to LSUJuice
Saban is 3-10 ATS at Bama after a regular season loss.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:04 am to ChemE in the OP
Im on all those except ole miss, im on a&m
This post was edited on 10/9/14 at 9:05 am
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:21 am to Louie T
Arkansas has one of the highest between the tackle run percentages and overall run/pass ratio in NCAAF. This is one of the few times I've made a stylistic matchup play, normally a numbers guy.
We shall see.
We shall see.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:43 am to LSUJuice
quote:
I have a feeling Saban is $$ following a loss.
Saban is actually 3-10 ATS @ Alabama following a loss
Personally, I would only play Bama in this spot tho.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:47 am to ChemE in the OP
Arkansas isn't the type of team Bama generally struggles with. I may find a way to get that game on the card in some facet.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:49 am to Billy Mays
quote:
Saban is actually 3-10 ATS @ Alabama following a loss
Interesting. But I think Alabama matches up well against Arkansas' style. I don't see Arkansas moving the ball very well at all. Perhaps under is the play?
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:57 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
This is one of the few times I've made a stylistic matchup play, normally a numbers guy.
What led you to backing LSU? Not knocking the pick, just curious since road fav getting public money doesn't fit your usual style.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 10:07 am to LSUJuice
Bama's injuries concern me a bit. Kenyan Drake is obviously an explosive stretch piece that they are missing. Their center Ryan Kelly is out for this game too. I think Eddie Jackson is back which should boost their secondary.
The matchup looks good on paper for Bama. Arky can't throw and expose the Bama defensive backfield. Bama should find a lot of running room on an average Arky front 7. The Hogs have no one that can contain Cooper or even slow him down.
Blake Sims is still a bit unproven for me to lay double digits on the road with him - his WRs let him down to a certain extent last week tho. This is their 2nd physical game on the road in a row and it's a long road trip. Arky coming off a bye so they should be fresh.
I do like the under a bit (56 currently), but 57 is one of the most key numbers when it comes to totals. If it gets to 57.5 I would take a bite maybe.
The matchup looks good on paper for Bama. Arky can't throw and expose the Bama defensive backfield. Bama should find a lot of running room on an average Arky front 7. The Hogs have no one that can contain Cooper or even slow him down.
Blake Sims is still a bit unproven for me to lay double digits on the road with him - his WRs let him down to a certain extent last week tho. This is their 2nd physical game on the road in a row and it's a long road trip. Arky coming off a bye so they should be fresh.
I do like the under a bit (56 currently), but 57 is one of the most key numbers when it comes to totals. If it gets to 57.5 I would take a bite maybe.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 10:08 am to maclauer
quote:
What led you to backing LSU? Not knocking the pick, just curious since road fav getting public money doesn't fit your usual style.
I had this at LSU -6.5 preseason and believe that a move all the way to ML -125 is too much of an adjustment. There's a good chance Miss St and Auburn both finish top 10. FLA schedule so far is much weaker.
Rare chance to buy low on the Tigers. I've been betting against them all year and we're finally seeing value on the other side I think.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 10:34 am to ChemE in the OP
On UCF -2(-115) tonight. Line is dropping. I get the sharp BYU love, because usually teams that lose their leader rally. Not buying it.
I'm a fan of Holman. He's not spectacular, but is pretty solid. Short week for BYU with long travel after having their dreams crushed. Hill's backup looked like muffcabbage last week. UCF isn't blowing anyone out, but they pick up a W here.
I'm a fan of Holman. He's not spectacular, but is pretty solid. Short week for BYU with long travel after having their dreams crushed. Hill's backup looked like muffcabbage last week. UCF isn't blowing anyone out, but they pick up a W here.
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