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re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread - dcrews, I need you

Posted on 11/3/14 at 11:14 am to
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 11:14 am to
Houston looks good at -17 at home against Tulane. I'm thinking Tulane might get shutout by that defense. Tulane also has the absolute worst special teams I have ever witnessed.

I think LSU covers, but loses the game. Bama will stop the run much better than Ole Miss did.

Oh, and a big to South Carolina. I turned a decent profit last weekend, but they were a $200 swing for me and just needed them to win SU.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 11:23 am to
Houston is definitely a lock-in-now situation. The line will be 21 in a few days most likely.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 11:33 am to
Tulsa receiving approx 95% of wagers placed.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 11:39 am to
Not surprising - SMU is last year's USM.

I have no problem riding the chalk favorite if I can get the best of the number early. This will be more than 2 TDs by KO.
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31899 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 12:13 pm to
On Georgia Southern -11.5 @ TX St
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

On Georgia Southern -11.5 @ TX St


Yeah more chalk but I can't disagree.

I definitely wouldn't take Texas St. - ULL ran all over them and Georgia Southern has a very physical running attack.

Texas State gave up 639 yards last week to New Mexico State
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 1:01 pm to
Locked in Houston -17 and Florida -14. Florida has 5x the talent as Vandy and definitely found something last weekend.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Georgia Southern -11.5 @ TX St


Georgia Southern is a damn covering machine.
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8804 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 1:10 pm to
Leaning Arizona and LSU thus far.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 1:22 pm to
I'm liking Penn State-5 and Louisville-2.5.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 1:52 pm to
FSU-18 vs. UVA

I understand why this line is what it is. FSU has played nearly every game tight and has resembled the 2013 Noles only in very short spurts, and so why would this game play out any differently?

Those are reasonable considerations, but I don't think this is a very good matchup for UVA. They can't score a lick -- see 13-20 and 10-35 at Duke and GT, respectively -- and I think it's perfectly reasonable to assume Jameis will put up at least 35. I think this is a game that FSU almost has to go out of their way to not cover.
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
3335 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 2:00 pm to
I like Florida state -19 against Virginia.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 2:15 pm to
Virginia has a physical front 7 that could potentially give FSU's mediocre OL fits.

I guess I would lean FSU but not with any conviction.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 2:39 pm to
fade bobby rey is typically a strong strategy. so id say Virginia is the right side to be on here
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14656 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 3:13 pm to
quote:




What website is that from?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

fade bobby rey is typically a strong strategy. so id say Virginia is the right side to be on here




Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 10:00 pm to
Like Vandy. Love LSU.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 11/3/14 at 10:02 pm to
Payneinsider's live odds

Click on the game & sportsbook and it'll pull up a line history.
This post was edited on 11/3/14 at 10:03 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 6:55 am to
Early leans... Indiana, UGA, A&M.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 6:56 am to
Will be on LSU also.
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