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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158764 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:21 pm to
ahhh gambling season is back

I really wish they wouldn't jump the gun on this thread though, a month's worth of shite to sort through
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:23 pm to
Western Michigan is another one that fits my system outside of total bet volume.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:28 pm to
Now that ULL is at +17 I am tempted... thoughts?
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57499 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:29 pm to
+17.5 on sportsbook
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

+17.5 on sportsbook


Looks like I could be adding them then

Also looking at Tennessee -20.5, I know BGSU returns 11 starters but their offense was garbage last year so how much better will it be, and their defense was terrible too. Even if their offense improves, will their defense even be able to stop anyone?
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57499 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:42 pm to
Someone earlier in the thread did a pretty solid breakdown of Tennessee
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83483 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:48 pm to
Is the money split on vegasinsider accurate?
Posted by gatorhata9
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2010
26175 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

Also looking at Tennessee -20.5, I know BGSU returns 11 starters but their offense was garbage last year so how much better will it be, and their defense was terrible too. Even if their offense improves, will their defense even be able to stop anyone?



Well their starting qb, Matt Johnson, suffered a season ending injury in the opener. He's back and is a senior. In 2013 he threw for 3467 yards/ 25 td/ 7 pics/ and completed 64% of his passes. They'll be greatly improved on offense.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Well their starting qb, Matt Johnson, suffered a season ending injury in the opener. He's back and is a senior. In 2013 he threw for 3467 yards/ 25 td/ 7 pics/ and completed 64% of his passes. They'll be greatly improved on offense.


Got it, thanks

Laying off Tennessee
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:54 pm to
i know tennessee as well as anyone, probably too much. I expect the score to be something like 41-17/20 range
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 1:55 pm to
TCU seeing some resistance at 17. back down to 16.5
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Western Michigan is another one that fits my system outside of total bet volume

ChemE, where do you get your bet volume numbers from?
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47135 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:13 pm to
Minnesota is 63% ATS the last two years combined, TCU is 60% over the same, but a whopping 85% last season.

Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47135 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:13 pm to
I think he said Sports Insight for his $ breakdown.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:16 pm to
i use sports insights
Posted by gatorhata9
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2010
26175 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

i know tennessee as well as anyone, probably too much. I expect the score to be something like 41-17/20 range



this was my one underdog I'm taking the points with this week.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

quote:
i know tennessee as well as anyone, probably too much. I expect the score to be something like 41-17/20 range


this was my one underdog I'm taking the points with this week.


i think the line is about right with this one..20-24 range is where i had it... goodluck
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Now that ULL is at +17 I am tempted... thoughts?



Our only corner who was impressive in camp is out because of clearinghouse issues... fwiw
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57499 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Our only corner who was impressive in camp is out because of clearinghouse issues... fwiw



Does this mean that nobody was impressive in camp on the team?
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 9/2/15 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Minnesota is 63% ATS the last two years combined, TCU is 60% over the same, but a whopping 85% last season. 


TCU was a machine last season. this line has intrigued the hell out of me since it opened TCU traveling 1000mi and a ton of hype. 17pt home dogs is worth taking a shot on
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