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NFL Betting: Week 4
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:25 pm
A few weeks of stats to formulate a Week 4 lineup.
I’ll probably wait until Sunday to finalize my bets and lines.
Buffalo -2.5
Cleveland -2.5
LA Rams +1
Philly -8.5
Houston +3
LA Chargers -5.5
New England +6.5
San Fran -14
Kansas City -9
My goal is 6-3 here.
I’ll probably wait until Sunday to finalize my bets and lines.
Buffalo -2.5
Cleveland -2.5
LA Rams +1
Philly -8.5
Houston +3
LA Chargers -5.5
New England +6.5
San Fran -14
Kansas City -9
My goal is 6-3 here.
10
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:26 pm to Blutarsky
Cleveland has allowed one drive inside the red zone all season and Tannehill was sacked last week on that drive pushing them outside FG range.
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:28 pm to Blutarsky
ATL/JAX u43.5 looks tempting
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:33 pm to Blutarsky
GB +2.5 looks suspect as hell. Staying away
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:33 pm to VADawg
Dallas has played the Giants, Jets and Cardinals.
I think their team is overrated right now; especially now with Diggs out.
The Patriots may win this game SU.
My line here is Detroit -4.5. Too close for me to mention it as a play. Green Bay may get Aaron Jones back tonight. He has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury.
I think their team is overrated right now; especially now with Diggs out.
The Patriots may win this game SU.
quote:
GB +2.5 looks suspect as hell. Staying away
My line here is Detroit -4.5. Too close for me to mention it as a play. Green Bay may get Aaron Jones back tonight. He has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 4:37 pm
Posted on 9/28/23 at 4:51 pm to Blutarsky
quote:
Buffalo -2.5
heard an interesting take on this one recently. note: they are the top two teams in epa
miami vs buff was buff -14 in the playoffs last season. is tua really worth 11-12 points to the spread? should it not be closer to buff -6-7?
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:00 pm to Winston Cup
Buffalo beats the dog shite out of non-playoff teams and plays below average against good ones
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:06 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
should it not be closer to buff -6-7?
My line is Buffalo -7.
Miami’s defense, stats-wise, is a bottom 10 defense so far this year.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:10 pm to Blutarsky
I’d like to bet with your lines.
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:17 pm to PeteRose
It’s all stats based with a SOS multiplier in there.
Miami’s defense is middle of the road right now in the league. Buffalo’s defense is Top 3 right now while Miami has faced 2/3 or the worst defenses in the league (Chargers & Broncos). Sure, their offense has played a part in that, but..
When they played a tougher D in New England, the final score was 24-17. Buffalo’s offense is much better than the Patriot’s offense.
..and you are not betting my lines, you are betting the Vegas line. I think Buffalo wins it by a TD.
Miami’s defense is middle of the road right now in the league. Buffalo’s defense is Top 3 right now while Miami has faced 2/3 or the worst defenses in the league (Chargers & Broncos). Sure, their offense has played a part in that, but..
When they played a tougher D in New England, the final score was 24-17. Buffalo’s offense is much better than the Patriot’s offense.
..and you are not betting my lines, you are betting the Vegas line. I think Buffalo wins it by a TD.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 5:28 pm
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:12 pm to Blutarsky
quote:on the road. why?
My line here is Detroit -4.5.
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:13 pm to castorinho
The real line is Detroit -2.5 so I’m nearly right on it.. 
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:47 pm to Blutarsky
i need to sit this game out, but lean packers
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:50 pm to Blutarsky
the 1 tout who's on local radio loves the lions+
he said that goff thrives vs zone defenses, and that green bay loves to play zone, and will stick with it, regardless of getting beat or not.
he said that goff thrives vs zone defenses, and that green bay loves to play zone, and will stick with it, regardless of getting beat or not.
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:54 pm to SeeeeK
Lions -2.5
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:58 pm to cuyahoga tiger
Love me my serial down voter!
Posted on 9/28/23 at 11:40 pm to Blutarsky
The most important numbers in betting arent being shown here
Posted on 9/29/23 at 7:50 am to Blutarsky
Will the 'Deion Effect' happen again?
quote:
All his former teams lost after he lost. Every time he won his former teams won.
Posted on 9/29/23 at 9:47 am to Blutarsky
Not NFL but Sam Houston State cost me last night, how do you allow that touchdown with less than 30 seconds left. Like WTF
Posted on 9/29/23 at 9:51 am to Tiger971
quote:
Will the 'Deion Effect' happen again?
Have you been to a Golden Corral lately?
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