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re: NBA/NCAA Betting Thread

Posted on 2/4/17 at 10:44 pm to
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

Thinking about Denver 1st half line. Think it will be close early, then SA pulls away. Wait till half and get the 2nd half line live.

Denver covered +7.5 first half, Parker dribbled off his leg.
Spurs live -5.5 at half, easy money.
I'm up like so many units right now

Met Matt Bonner, trolled with Kentucky but it sounds like uf won
Posted by floyd13
New Orleans Uptown
Member since Sep 2010
1762 posts
Posted on 2/5/17 at 8:46 am to
What you got today
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/5/17 at 11:38 pm to
Lafayette +16.5 Loss
Florida St -7 WIN
Toronto -6.5 WIN
Boston Over 222 Loss
NY Rangers WIN
Thunder -5 WIN
Colorado Over 136 WIN




Atlanta +9 WIN
Under 63

Atlanta +9 WIN
Over 51

Pats +3 WIN
Over 51

What a day!!!
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

What a day!!!

Agreed. I was looking at my account today wondering whether to cash out or let it ride.

Clev -1.5
Minn +1
NYK/LAL under 223

Let it ride.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 6:04 pm to
Kansas State +3/+130

Wofford +4/+165

Rider +9/+400

Bucknell -10.5/Under 128.5
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 6:11 pm to
jumpin into college basketball i see.

thought about georgia southern pick vs ull at home. but the lineup is terrible tonight, stayed away.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 6:17 pm to
My CBB window is day after super bowl through championship week

NCAA tourney is tough to bet. I usually only bet the first round or two if i bet it at all. Ive hit some big moneylines the past few tournies though. Lehigh and Ohio in 2012. Florida Gulf Coast and LaSalle in 2013. Mercer in 2014. Georgia State in 2015. Stephen F Austin and Hawaii last year

I had the UNC Asheville moneyline vs. Syracuse in 2012 at +1200. Never had i been so mad at refs before. Convinced a 16 will never beat a 1 because the NCAA/refs wont let it happen
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

Convinced a 16 will never beat a 1

It would have to be a Lehigh type scenario.

You would need an NBA lottery pick on the 16 that misses most of the season due to injury and comes back at the end to win conf tourney, but record is bad enough to get a 16. Combined with injury/suspension last minute to the 1 seed (U Cal's player last year).
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

You would need an NBA lottery pick on the 16 that misses most of the season due to injury and comes back at the end to win conf tourney, but record is bad enough to get a 16. Combined with injury/suspension last minute to the 1 seed (U Cal's player last year).



Yeah I have been saying this for a while now

UC Irvine fits that bill this year.

The problem with the 16 seed line is that is where all the upset winners of conference tournies land. The past few years there have been far more upset conference tourney winners than usual. So you have shitty teams that went on a hot 3 day run to make the tournament wind up in the 16 seed line. Like Austin Peay last year, they were terrible and didn't even have to play in the First Four since there were 4 teams WORSE than them who gotin.

Of the 16 seeds the last 3 tournaments, only Texas Southern in 2014, North Florida in 2015 and Hampton last year actually won their regular season conference title. Only Hampton of that group actually made it to the Round of 64.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 8:06 pm to
Wofford wins SU
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 8:08 pm to
Rider/Bucknell cover
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 8:09 pm to
I think you have a dv stalker. Possibly several.

Interesting info on the 16s. I did not know all that.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

Interesting info on the 16s. I did not know all that.



I am a big crusader against single bid leagues handing out their automatic bid to the tournament champion. I believe it should go to the regular season champ. Hence why I know all of this - I hate how a team can dominate the regular season in their conference and have one bad night in the conference tournament and it was all for nothing. Then you have some undeserving team who got hot for 3 days take up a 16 seed in the NCAA tournament and get blown out. I have an excel graph on my work computer that shows that teams who won their conference regular season play significantly better in the tournament than teams who didn't

That's in my opinion the main reason a 16 has never beaten a 1. It's because the 16 seeds are not the best their conference has to offer.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 9:38 pm to
NCAA
Georgia Southern -2.5 (Big Bet) WIN
Virginia Over 121 WIN

NBA
Cleveland ML WIN
Pacers O 212 Loss
San Antionio -2.5???

NHL
NY Islanders ML WIN
NJ Devils ML WIN
This post was edited on 2/6/17 at 9:40 pm
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 8:41 am to
NCAA Basketball

Iowa State -3
Michigan -3.5
Rhode Island -5.5
Maryland -3.5
Princeton -6
Georgia +8
Kentucky -24
S Carolina -6.5

These are the lines I am studying
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 8:58 am to
Georgia +6/+240

Penn +6/+240

Central Michigan +8.5/+355

Akron -9

Penn State +3/+140

Illinois +5.5/+210

Drake +8/+315

TCU -2.5/-140

Texas +3/+140

LSU +25/Over 172.5

UMass +5.5/+210

Michigan State +4/+160
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 9:27 am to
I love Iowa State to roll over Texas.

Florida is red hot and I think they are one of the most underrated teams in the country.

Rhode Island vs all those Freshmen for UMASS

Michigan State is awful and Michigan should roll.

Iowa St -3
Florida -6
Rhode Island -5.5
Michigan -3.5
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 9:28 am to
quote:

Kentucky -24

That is almost to high for me. The cash cow has to dry up at some point maybe?

Rockets -11
Dallas ML

TCU-3 (texas tech 0-5 s/u on the road in big 12)

Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 9:41 am to
Loving TCU

That's a really good team vs average Texas Tech program. Plus it's a home game.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/7/17 at 1:58 pm to
NCAA
South Carolina -6.5
Florida -4.5
Iona -4.5
Maryland -3.5
Buffalo - 4.5
Iowa St -3
Arkansas -4
Michigan -4.5
TCU -2.5
Iowa St -3
Colorado St -5.5


NHL
Washington ML
Pittsburg ML
Nashville ML
Montreal ML
Rangers ML

NBA
Houston -11.5
Charolette Under 217.5
Mavs Over 203
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