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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 8/25/16 at 9:23 pm to
Posted by TulaneFan
Slidell, LA
Member since Jan 2008
14037 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 9:23 pm to
Bump
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:43 pm to
Seattle D starting to settle in.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83478 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

Took some Seahawks -5 tonight.



ETA: Aw shite

ETA: Nvm, you good
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 11:24 pm
Posted by TulaneFan
Slidell, LA
Member since Jan 2008
14037 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:32 am to
Good call on the Seahawks
Posted by lil tiger22
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2005
5999 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:41 am to
Heavy money been on the rainbow warriors tonight. Time to fade the public and take Cal -19.5???
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:59 am to
Cal has received the majority of wagers, actually.
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:18 am to
quote:

Heavy money been on the rainbow warriors tonight. Time to fade the public and take Cal -19.5???

I don't mean this in a condescending way at all I'm just honestly curious. How did you come up with this info? (It's wrong as Chem just said)
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Heavy money been on the rainbow warriors tonight. Time to fade the public and take Cal -19.5???


Line got steamed to 19.5 yesterday and has stayed put since. But the public is on Cal. Seems like the sharp money is on Hawaii.

I have no desire to bet this game but gun to my head, I'd play the under.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:43 am to
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:46 am to
quote:

High volume, contrarian plays.





Really really like Appalachian State, Texas State, UNC-Charlotte, Ball State, Bowling Green, UL-Lafayette, and San Jose State using this method. If I were not going to Las Vegas for the week, those would be the candidates I would be studying for my final wagers.
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
14450 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:47 am to
quote:

I have no desire to bet this game but gun to my head, I'd play the under.



Fist game of the year, can't hold anything back now.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:48 am to
Not enough action on those. My guess is Auburn will be the perfect fit.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Fist game of the year, can't hold anything back now.


I am saving my bankroll for Las Vegas next week. But considering the public is overwhelmingly on the over, the under looks to be the play. 63 is too high for a revamped Hawaii offense that was shitty last year, and a Cal offense starting over.
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
14450 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:54 am to
I might go the under tonight as well. Starting the football season already close to my limit. No breathing room at all. I better make some good calls week 1.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Not enough action on those. My guess is Auburn will be the perfect fit.


Good point. Those games were the < 30% that my excel spreadsheets labelled as profitable bets. I would have to do more studying and waiting before pulling the trigger. I do think Charlotte, Bowling Green and Appalachian State are playing big enough opponents to get more action coming up. Interested to see what the BGSU-Ohio State line does. Does the public push it up over 28 or do the bookmakers hold firm?
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
14450 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:05 am to
quote:

63 is too high for a revamped Hawaii offense that was shitty last year, and a Cal offense starting over.



It's at 64.5 in my book. Should I pull the trigger now or hope it creeps up a little more?
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:17 am to
quote:

It's at 64.5 in my book. Should I pull the trigger now or hope it creeps up a little more?


I am not a very good totals capper, personally. It's up to you. I think the under is the play at anything 63.5 or higher just from eyeballing it.
Posted by lil tiger22
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2005
5999 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:41 am to
Because the line opened at -22.5 and is down to -19.5. So maybe I misspoke by saying "the public". Correct the sharp money is on the rainbow warriors
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 10:13 am
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:55 am to
HOLY steam on the Mississippi State south Alabama game
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:51 pm to
Placed a quarter of a unit on the Cal/Hawaii under 66.5 tonight. Just for some action. First game so might as well.

Total got steamed to 66.5 so I had to take advantage
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 1:53 pm
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