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Any safe bets tonight?

Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:29 pm
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18384 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:29 pm
I took the under in the NFL game. Anything else look good?
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:30 pm to
If only there were 2 other threads for these types of things...
Posted by schexyoung
Deaf Valley
Member since May 2008
6534 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:32 pm to
What name is mentioned more, Rice or Goodell?

And what is your over/under including halftime?
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:32 pm to
yes, a north st.louis/noco resident will shoot some one. lay the -160

free money
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166136 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:34 pm to
what's the line on tampa game?
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18384 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:35 pm to
shite I looked, must be blind
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18384 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

And what is your over/under

44
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:40 pm to
I think Baltimore wins if my life depended on it, but you can't take them -3. If it drops to 2.5 I'll probably be on them.

Lots of playmakers on offense for both teams and two transitioning defenses. Pittsburgh looked straight up terrible against an up-tempo Browns offense in the 2nd half last week. They couldn't get lined up. Their linemen weren't even set. They looked tired. They played a lot of base defense. Those things probably aren't fixable in such a short week.

As for Baltimore, they really struggled to run the ball in the first half against Cincy. They also had a ton of dropped passes. They pretty much abandoned the run. However, in the 2nd half they looked very good on offense, running the ball very well with Forsett. I think you'll see a bit of a running back by committee tonight.

Also, Kyle Shanahan (Browns Offensive Coordinator) coached under Kubiak (Baltimore Offensive Coordinator). They are from the same tree. Baltimore will do a lot of the same things on offense that Cleveland did last week to test this Pittsburgh defense.

As for Baltimore's defense, they really need Webb to play at corner. He's a very good player, and without him Antonio Brown should have a monster day. Webb didn't play last week, and AJ Green had a big play at the end of that game to win it.

The Ravens got hardly any pass rush last week, and any pass rush they get will have to come from Suggs and Dumervil. They were pretty decent against the run, but I still think Pittsburgh will be able to run the ball.

I don't think the Ray Race thing will be any distraction for the Ravens. It's a short week and they don't have time to worry about stuff like that. I trust Harbaugh.

In the end, I wouldn't trust Pittsburgh's defense. Baltimore's defense, like I said, is in transition as well. Pittsburgh should try to run the ball a good bit, and I'm sure Baltimore will too (since they threw it 62 times last week). However, I think we'll see some big plays tonight, too.

I'm leaning over 44.5 as of now.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:44 pm to
It's already BAL -2.5 on a number of books, but it may move back soon. Don't see them letting it get past -125 before moving, which it's trending towards.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

It's already BAL -2.5 on a number of books, but it may move back soon. Don't see them letting it get past -125 before moving, which it's trending towards.

I have it at 3 (+115) on a couple sites. Begging for it to drop to 2.5

All the trends are in Pittsburgh's favor. And these games are always close. Once again, you cannot take Baltimore -3, even with the good juice.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77346 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 12:56 pm to
Thursday night road game for pitt coming off a win? What could go wrong?
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/11/14 at 1:00 pm to
I do like Baltimore. They're also more stable on the offensive line. Got good play at right tackle and are always solid at guard.

Marcus Gilbert looked bad for Pittsburgh last week at right tackle.

Baltimore should win this game, but I just don't like it at 3. Will probably take it at 2.5 on 5dimes.
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