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re: 2016 MLB Free Agents

Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:32 pm to
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:32 pm to
Greinke has been better during the regular season than Shields and I guess you could say during the post season
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

He was 6th in fielding percentage.
although he did post a 2.6 defensive war fielding percentage is a joke.... that 2.6 war was the best he has done in 4 years. He is also 33 (May is his birthday so he is 33 to me) which isn't good for a SS and while he was good last year, moving forward I would not count on that to continue.
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14081 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:38 pm to
Age

were looking at a guy who already has limited range, who will be 34 and 35 those last 2 years.

Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

although he did post a 2.6 defensive war fielding percentage is a joke.... that 2.6 war was the best he has done in 4 years. He is also 33 (May is his birthday so he is 33 to me) which isn't good for a SS and while he was good last year, moving forward I would not count on that to continue.


Well, its a way to contrast against his peers over a borader scope along with the other stats I presented help to paint a picture of the value of his contract. I not ice you completely ignored the rest of what was presented.

The contract goes down to 12 mil per year the last two years. Look, Im not saying that Pertalta is the second coming or anything like that but stating its a "brutal" contract is just wrong when contrasted to his peers vs production/value.

Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145254 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:39 pm to
Greinke has been better than shields
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145254 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:40 pm to
Greinke has been better than shields. Hell get at least 20 million a year in the open market
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Age

were looking at a guy who already has limited range, who will be 34 and 35 those last 2 years.


Eh, we will see. He was never going to win a gold glove regardless.

Its not a brutal contract though. Im sorry man but its just not for the production comparatively.

Look, I wasnt happy at all when we signed him. I thought it was a terrible move. I was wrong.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

its a way to contrast against his peers over a borader scope along with the other stats
Derek Jeter had a .976 career fielding percentage and he was never a great defensive shortstop
quote:

I not ice you completely ignored the rest of what was presented.
Actually I did not, the "he was good last year" concerned more than just defense
This post was edited on 4/20/15 at 3:43 pm
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Look, I wasnt happy at all when we signed him. I thought it was a terrible move. I was wrong.
After 1 season? what if the next 3 years he post .700 OPS seasons with 0 defensive war ratings or negative ratings.... not sure you could judge a contract based on 1 year. Maybe you were wrong initially but unless he found a fountain of youth it will not look good near the end especially when paying almost 12m over the last 2 years of his deal.
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Derek Jeter had a .976 career fielding percentage and he was never a great defensive shortstop


Ok, ignore fielding percentage then.

You are hung up on that. Take it out of the argument then. Forget I said it.
quote:

Actually I did not


You pretty much did just that by focusing on "laughing" about fielding percentage and blowing off his offensive numbers by summarily saying "wont continue".

Its not the greatest team friendly contract ever but its FAR from "brutal"

That was my point and its backed up by his production thus far through it.





Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

After 1 season? what if the next 3 years he post .700 OPS seasons with 0 defensive war ratings or negative ratings.... not sure you could judge a contract based on 1 year. Maybe you were wrong initially but unless he found a fountain of youth it will not look good near the end especially when paying almost 12m over the last 2 years of his deal.


So in your first statement you tell me not to judge based on one year then you go on to speculate about production through the rest of the contract.



Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72063 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Greinke has been better than shields. Hell get at least 20 million a year in the open market



Shields is going on 8 straight years of 200+ innings and 30+ starts while posting a 3.67 ERA, all in the AL.

Greinke still has nagging injuries time to time and outside of his Cy season, really hasn't been better than Shields.

Greinke isnt opting out anyway. He wont hit the open market until he is 35, and he's not making $20m
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:56 pm to
Based on a SS who is entering his mid to late 30's.... I don't see him coming close to what he put up last year. I mean his numbers last year were his best offensive numbers since 2011 and his best defensive numbers well ever..... I could see him reverting back to the .260/.315/.400 type player and hitting 10-15 home runs instead of 20+. This isn't the steroid age anymore, players no longer age gracefully especially when playing an important position such as SS. In fact only 5 other teams have a 30 year old SS and only 2 (Rollins and Ramirez of the white sox) are older than Peralta.
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Shields is going on 8 straight years of 200+ innings and 30+ starts while posting a 3.67 ERA


He has been a consistent work horse, there is no question about that.

Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Based on a SS who is entering his mid to late 30's.... I don't see him coming close to what he put up last year. I mean his numbers last year were his best offensive numbers since 2011 and his best defensive numbers well ever..... I could see him reverting back to the .260/.315/.400 type player and hitting 10-15 home runs instead of 20+. This isn't the steroid age anymore, players no longer age gracefully especially when playing an important position such as SS. In fact only 5 other teams have a 30 year old SS and only 2 (Rollins and Ramirez of the white sox) are older than Peralta.


He will be 35 at the end of the deal, well, he will start the last year at 34 and finish it at 35. I dont think he will put up numbers like last year. Even if production dips 10% each of the last three years I wouldnt call the contract "brutal".

The options were limited for the Cardinals at SS. The market and everything else considered, so far, its been a fairly good deal.

I dont know what his decline will look like. If you or I could accurately predict these things we would be making a lot more money and working in baseball.

My only point was its not a "brutal" contract. There are some brutal MLB contracts out there and this doesnt even register on that scale.

Its not worth arguing over anymore. Hell, I dont even really "like" the Peralta signing. It is what it is.

This post was edited on 4/20/15 at 4:06 pm
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

He will be 35 at the end of the deal, well, he will start the last year at 34 and finish it at 35. I dont think he will put up numbers like last year. Even if production dips 10% each of the last three years I wouldnt call the contract "brutal".

He will be 34 in the next month.... he will actually be 36 when the contract ends.....
quote:

My only point was its not a "brutal" contract
it may not be brutal especially from a dollars and cents portion since it is really only 12m a year for the next 3 (including this one) but I don't think he will play anywhere close to what he did this past year.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145254 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Greinke still has nagging injuries time to time
he had a freak injury in a brawl in his first year in LA and still got to 177 innings, then he got to over 200 last year. hes been pretty healthy while in LA outside of that stupid injury he had in a brawl against san diego
quote:

outside of his Cy season, really hasn't been better than Shields
during his time in LA, zack has had a better FIP, ERA+, WHIP, strikeouts per nine, and strikeout to walk ratio
This post was edited on 4/20/15 at 4:12 pm
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

He will be 34 in the next month.... he will actually be 36 when the contract ends.....


He will be 33 next month. Born May 28, 1982

quote:

it may not be brutal especially from a dollars and cents portion since it is really only 12m a year for the next 3 (including this one) but I don't think he will play anywhere close to what he did this past year.


We will see. Like I said, its not the greatest contract ever but its not even close to being "brutal". If he has a gentle slope downward to his mid 3o's, well, its just not that bad.

Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72063 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:15 pm to
Im not dogging the guy, he's a really good pitcher. But he's only been with the Dodgers for 3 seasons.

It's null anyway. He's on the wrong side of 30, is there really anyway he opts out of his final 3 years at $24m per?
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145254 posts
Posted on 4/20/15 at 4:19 pm to
but thats what im talking about, as long as he doesnt have a weird year this year, hell get his last chance at a long term deal this offseason because of his performance in LA. thats why people in LA think hell opt out
This post was edited on 4/20/15 at 4:20 pm
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