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Refinance gurus- I'm looking to refinance my mortgage- will it be worth it?

Posted on 3/9/15 at 7:51 pm
Posted by Weizenman
Reserve
Member since Oct 2007
2075 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 7:51 pm
I'm looking for some sound advice before I actually talk to someone at the bank. I have approx 18 years left on a 30 year mortgage, about 70,000 left to pay off on 5.5% rate. Is it even worth refinancing?
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
9796 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 7:57 pm to
Yes indeed!

And consider paying the closing costs out of pocket instead of adding to principal balance.

You can either lower your payments or cut down on the 18 years left.

May also want to look into the HARP program.
Posted by jacquespene8
Nashville, TN
Member since Sep 2007
4142 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 8:11 pm to
Only really worth it if you go to a 15 yr.

I'd make a move sooner than later, as I expect rates to start creeping before summer
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

I have approx 18 years left on a 30 year mortgage, about 70,000 left to pay off on 5.5% rate. Is it even worth refinancing?


If you are itemizing your tax deduction it's certainly worth a close look if you qualify for the best rates. If you can borrow for 4% (just to pull a number out of the air) for 30 years then if the average long-term inflation rate is no more that 3% after-tax (assuming a 25% tax bracket) then you are essentially getting free money.

FWIW, if you can get a rate that low then don't do a 15 year mortgage, do a 30. The closer your after-tax rate gets to the rate of inflation, the longer you should stretch out the loan.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89511 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

I have approx 18 years left on a 30 year mortgage, about 70,000 left to pay off on 5.5% rate. Is it even worth refinancing?


I would at least consider taking it down to 15 years and getting to 4% or lower (depending on current rates) - your payment will be close and you'll make 36 fewer,

(ETA: Which is free money without interest. I'm not going to go on a rant about the "free money" advocates, but y'all forget that housing itself has a value).

This post was edited on 3/9/15 at 9:02 pm
Posted by Weizenman
Reserve
Member since Oct 2007
2075 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

I would at least consider taking it down to 15 years and getting to 4% or lower (depending on current rates) - your payment will be close and you'll make 36 fewer,


This is my goal, even playing with the idea of going down to 10 years.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89511 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

This is my goal, even playing with the idea of going down to 10 years.



If your original loan was about $90k for 30, then a refi to $70k at 4% for 15 years is going to be about $520 P&I, plus your escrow payment, which has to be within $10 - $15 of your current P&I.
Posted by jacquespene8
Nashville, TN
Member since Sep 2007
4142 posts
Posted on 3/9/15 at 9:41 pm to
Also, you're probably currently paying what equivalates to about 4.2 % interest right now, as you are 12 years into your amortization. Fyi. So consider if closing costs would be worth it. I bet you could get a 15 yr for about 3.25 right now. Rough estimation.
Posted by BlackCloud
Above It All
Member since Jan 2014
3816 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 7:44 am to
quote:

This is my goal, even playing with the idea of going down to 10 years.


I did some quick calculations at bankrate.com on their mortgage calculators and looked at the amortization table for the 30yr (you currently have at 5.5%) and the 15yr and 10yr tables at 4%.

Interest only on each loan in bold:
30yr (90k at 5.5%) - 40k (this is what you will pay over the last 18 years if you stay put).
15yr (70k at 4%) - 23k (monthly payment on principal and interest will stay in the 510-520 range)
10yr (70k at 4%)- 15k (monthly payment will go up 200 dollars).
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7218 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 10:25 am to
You should be able to get closer to 3% for a 10 year.
Posted by Croacka
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2008
61441 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

If you can borrow for 4% (just to pull a number out of the air) for 30 years then if the average long-term inflation rate is no more that 3% after-tax (assuming a 25% tax bracket) then you are essentially getting free money.


Don't you nean if the inflation rate is no less than 3%?


Eta: I may be thinking backwards
This post was edited on 3/10/15 at 4:27 pm
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28898 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 4:35 pm to
Heck yes, mine is 3.75%. They'll stick you with a 1% origination charge, but it'll save you some interest over the next few years.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

Don't you nean if the inflation rate is no less than 3%?


What I mean is that if you think the inflation rate is going to be x% for the next 30 years (more or less), then is a bad idea to borrow for less than that rate after tax at the cost of shortening the loan term.

Let's say you have a choice between borrowing at 4% for 30 years, or 3% for 15 years (I'm making up numbers here). If you itemize deductions at the 25% bracket, then your choice is 30 years at 3% or 15 year at 2.25% (after tax rates). And let's also assume that the rate of inflation for the next 30 years will be around 3%.

Under these conditions is makes no sense to take the 15 year mortgage because your return on investing the higher monthly note is negative. The 30 year is great because you are borrowing at a rate exactly equal to the rate of inflation. If your interest rate = the rate of inflation, you are paying nothing for the privilege of borrowing it.

Full disclosure - the long-term rate of inflation is actually closer to 2% but my point remains the same. People seem to think that you should cut your rate to 0 and prepay to get there. This is not correct - your rate should be close to inflation, not to zero.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89511 posts
Posted on 3/10/15 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

People seem to think that you should cut your rate to 0 and prepay to get there.


Foshizzle - I appreciate the the effort that goes into you guys min/max formulas and this much over this time, etc., but it is not cut and dried.

A. You never consider that the person invests the mortgage payment at full value once the mortgage is paid off.

B. Y'all value housing at $0 and only view a positive in either profit on sale or equity you can tap into.

You can certainly make your case for 30 over 15, but it does NOT change the fact that the 30 year is significantly more expensive than the 15 year. You'll have to recoup that difference on the edges of the inflation rate - UNDER IDEAL CIRCUMSTANCES.

My way - paying it off as soon as possible is simple - you cannot lose money on interest you don't pay on money you don't borrow. I don't care how cheap money is (and it has never been cheaper - I'll grant you) - the difference isn't as cut and dried. The min/maxers are making money, but it is literally pennies on the dollar of what you think it is.
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