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Oil patch cuts - question

Posted on 1/21/16 at 3:37 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37034 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 3:37 pm
We keep hearing about all these cuts to oil and gas companies - have already happened and will happen in the future.

It's well established that supply outstrips demand now.

Wouldn't laying off all these people cause production to reduce, which reduces supply, which would help stabilize prices?

Or, are they just laying off secretaries and repairmen?

Are they just doing more with less? Are all the people they are laying off really not needed and were just fluff from when times were rich?
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
79115 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Or, are they just laying off secretaries and repairmen?
engineers, directors, VP's, managers are on the chopping block at a few companies that i know, so they're going across the board.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97615 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Wouldn't laying off all these people cause production to reduce, which reduces supply, which would help stabilize prices?



production doesn't stop overnight when the drilling does, it's going take a while for producing wells to slow

watch rig count numbers for a true predictor of what production will do over the next few years
Posted by BROffshoreTigerFan
Edmond, OK
Member since Oct 2007
10004 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 4:18 pm to
It was just reported that Devon is probably going to cut about 30% of their workforce globally. Chk did about 15% two months ago and will probably go through another cut soon. Some service companies have already cut nearly 65% of their force. Rig counts are already way down and some companies have stopped completing wells all together.

Cuts are coming to all areas, and it's a do more with less plan going forward. We run lean, but I'm even expecting us to make an announcement about 'reorg' since we're having our normal end of quarter meeting next week.
Posted by studentsect
Member since Jan 2004
2258 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

We keep hearing about all these cuts to oil and gas companies - have already happened and will happen in the future.

It's well established that supply outstrips demand now.

Wouldn't laying off all these people cause production to reduce, which reduces supply, which would help stabilize prices?

Or, are they just laying off secretaries and repairmen?

Are they just doing more with less? Are all the people they are laying off really not needed and were just fluff from when times were rich?


This only addresses part of your question, but relatively recent developments in the drilling process over the last few years have created a situation where the reduction in personnel does not correlate to the same drop in production or potential production that it would have even a few years ago. As an example, over the last 3-5 years the time it takes to drill an Eagle Ford well has gone from around 40 days to less than a week, and the other technological improvements mean these newer wells are better producers as well. What that means for a company is that it can do in a week what would've taken easily a month+ in 2012, or in a month it can match a 2012 month with 1/5 the personnel and equipment.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 1/21/16 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

the time it takes to drill an Eagle Ford well has gone from around 40 days to less than a week,
I had no idea that is the situation now. Thanks for the info.
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