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Need the Money Talk Crystal Ball

Posted on 11/20/15 at 6:52 pm
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18089 posts
Posted on 11/20/15 at 6:52 pm
I wish one existed. I know no one knows but I am looking at a mirtgage situation that requires some speculation on future mortgage rates.

The ARM deal I am looking at would give me a lower interest rate to start, but I would need to refinance between 4Q 2017 and 4Q 2020.

The break even interest rate would be 5.5%. How much of a gamble is it to take the lower rate in an ARM, and hope that I can refinance in that three year term for lower than 5.5?
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50347 posts
Posted on 11/20/15 at 7:17 pm to
Personally I wouldn't take an ARM unless you knew with high certainty that you would be selling your house in that time period. Rates are too low right now not to lock into something longterm if you plan to stay in your house for a long time.
Posted by RebelOP
Misty Mountain Top
Member since Jun 2013
12478 posts
Posted on 11/20/15 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Rates are too low right now not to lock into something longterm if you plan to stay in your house for a long time.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 11/20/15 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

Rates are too low right now not to lock into something longterm


Even if you aren't planning to stay there for a long time, you can rent it when you do move.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11120 posts
Posted on 11/20/15 at 11:01 pm to
Lock it in. Look at the debt market baw.
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