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Is the market ready for a correction?

Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:33 am
Posted by LSUKTR
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
1489 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:33 am
So the fiancée has been contributing to a Roth IRA and wants me to do the investments for her since I've done pretty well with my own.

However, while I know its for the long-term, she might not be happy if she looks in a month and sees that she lost some.

So what does the money board say? Is the market due for a brief down turn and I should keep it in cash, or will this climb continue?
Posted by Tiger4
Member since Jan 2009
8761 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:38 am to
If she asks you to trade for her then she cant complain if things dont work out they way she wants them to.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37715 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:43 am to
quote:

wants me to do the investments for her


recipe for disaster IMO. She is going to hate you if things go sour.

ETA: To answer your question, yes. I don't understand how the markets are this high to begin with.
This post was edited on 2/1/11 at 10:44 am
Posted by LifeTimeTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2003
727 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:54 am to
God I hope so, I've been out since aug and watched it inexplicably rise 20% on repeatedly neutral or bad news.
Posted by LSUKTR
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
1489 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 10:59 am to
quote:

recipe for disaster IMO. She is going to hate you if things go sour. ETA: To answer your question, yes. I don't understand how the markets are this high to begin with.


I'm not worried, she let's me do all the financial stuff. She doesn't have any interest in the markets, so once April rolls around and she's no longer making 2010-tax year contributions, she won't look at the acct until we retire or I'm dead.

I've already told her I expect a downturn or at least a slow-down in the near future, so I was planning on just putting her cash into a Vanguard 2050 Retirement fund to not gamble too much and to reduce the downside risk.

I told her while my numbers look great, I'm gonna be hurting in a bear market (I'm about 50% international and most of that in small-caps and emerging markets).

Once married, we won't have the Roth option which is why I am having her contribute for the 2010 tax year; so not a ton of money is at risk.

Posted by LSUKTR
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
1489 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 11:04 am to
quote:

God I hope so, I've been out since aug and watched it inexplicably rise 20% on repeatedly neutral or bad news.


That is one of my biggest investment plays and it usually works.
Typically, when the market is buying bad news, I sell; when they are selling good news, I buy.

I really just feel the current market is inflated and the market always finds a way back to the fundamentals. Emotion can only carry prices so far.
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
3339 posts
Posted on 2/1/11 at 11:42 am to
The fundamentals are sound. Expected EPS on the S&P 500 is $96 for 2011. We are still only at about 13-14 times forward earnings at 1300.
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