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Financial Advice - what would you do?

Posted on 12/12/14 at 9:11 pm
Posted by bwm14
Member since Sep 2010
220 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 9:11 pm
You need $25,000 a year over for a 10 year period and have $250,000 cash to start with Day 1. What is your plan that will allow you to use $25,000 a year while maximizing what will be left of the $250,000 principal after 10 years?
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27816 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 9:32 pm to
Stick it in the stock market unless I was retired and could run my own business like flipping houses.
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 9:54 pm to
If that post is evidence of anything it's don't get your financial advice from a message board.
Posted by oR33Do
Tuscaloosa
Member since Oct 2012
13561 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 10:14 pm to
250k starting

Used large power forklift 30k
Sequoia Bandsaw sawmill 10k
5 acres of land near a highway 15k
Small building for office use/Shower etc 25k
Yearly insurance premium, unknown $$
Used Dually pickup and flatbed trailer 15k

80 tons red oak at 75$ per ton 7k
Months worth of diesel for saw and truck 1000

Cut oak logs, Cross ties are worth 30$ a pop, the planks can be sold at an average of $700 per 1000 sq feet.

20 tons is a normal truck load, and is normally 20-30 cross ties and around 6000 sqft of planks.

So $600 for cross ties and $4200 in planks. It will take about a week to do a load.

$4800
-$250 fuel
-$1500 logs

$3050 bottom line per week, $12200 a month.

$146000 a year, minus insurance and taxes which I am unsure of, but one should be able to walk away with $100000

May not be for you though. It is a lot of work. Within five years it'd be possible to have 2 18 wheelers, 5 saws, 15 employees, grading deck, and be looking at 500-750,000 in revenue a year cutting specialty lumber
This post was edited on 12/12/14 at 10:30 pm
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27816 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 10:37 pm to
Can you find a 10 year timeframe that he would lose money putting his money into a SP 500 index fund?
Posted by Feed Me Popeyes
Baltimore, MD
Member since Apr 2008
2104 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 10:46 pm to
unless you have a business idea or can invest in something private, I'd think the easiest way to generate that income stream is either rental property or high-yield funds/securities
Posted by bwm14
Member since Sep 2010
220 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 9:22 am to
The money is just to live on and supplement income while not having to be actively involved in it's management. No time for rental property or a side business, just trying to figure out safest way to protect the principal so there is money in year 10, without getting killed by an adviser just trying to make money on you.

What investment products would you absolutely stay away from that an adviser is offering?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 10:03 am to
How about a good solid portfolio of balanced funds and low beta equity funds that will minimize the deterioration of the principle?
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 10:03 am to
quote:

What investment products would you absolutely stay away from that an adviser is offering?


If the adviser is getting a commission for selling the product, stay away from all of them.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 10:06 am to
quote:

It is a lot of work.


Sounds like it. I don't want money badly enough to work for it, I want to sit in front of a TV, blissfully drunk, while I clip coupons.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4579 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 11:25 am to
These threads always kill me. You'd rather take advice from a message board than a professional money manager. You're looking to take a 10% w/d each year without hurting your principal? That's not gonna happen. Good luck
Posted by oR33Do
Tuscaloosa
Member since Oct 2012
13561 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

Sounds like it. I don't want money badly enough to work for it, I want to sit in front of a TV, blissfully drunk, while I clip coupons.



Well, after five years of blood sweat and beers that could be possible.
Posted by fbb
Member since May 2007
2513 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

80 tons red oak at 75$ per ton 7k
Months worth of diesel for saw and truck 1000


Is that oak the delivered price?
Posted by bwm14
Member since Sep 2010
220 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 2:34 pm to
Not saying you don't want to touch the principal, I'm saying you want to make sure you have 10 years at $25,000 with some upside of having something left at the end of the time period without getting killed by fees.
Posted by Day Wisher
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2010
399 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 4:57 pm to
You can play around with a Monte Carlo simulation with different allocations of stock, bonds, cash at Vanguard. There's an 81% chance you'll have something left after 10 years. Frankly it looks too optimistic to me, but Vanguard knows just a little more than I do. You could easily find other versions at other sites to play around with.

Posted by BJ titsnbeer
Gods Country
Member since Mar 2011
217 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 9:29 pm to
Put it in Vanguard Wellington and draw monthly off of it. Simple and effective.
Posted by oR33Do
Tuscaloosa
Member since Oct 2012
13561 posts
Posted on 12/14/14 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Is that oak the delivered price?


It should be. Last numbers I saw was 60$ a ton for Southern area on red oak. Most small buyers will give an extra 5$ per ton to get a load and the extra $10 goes for shipping line.

It can be more though but that is the average price range I have seen.
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 5:27 pm to
what you're overestimating is the ability to hold one particular investment for a 10 year time horizon.

go research the average holding period for a mutual fund.

s*** happens,emotions get involved, plans don't work out unless you have a properly allocated situation that protects agains as many applicable risks as possible.
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