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Casino stocks

Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:00 pm
Posted by Transplant Tigah
In the unholy land of the Bulldawgs
Member since Mar 2004
387 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:00 pm
MGM, Boyd Gaming, etc. Seem to be trading a discount. Thoughts?
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75277 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:01 pm to
Penn
Posted by blzr
MB
Member since Mar 2011
30106 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:11 pm to
They won’t recover for a while
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
50255 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:13 pm to
Great buy, if you're patient. Problem is, there will be LBOs, and it's hard to pick a winner.
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
50255 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 10:15 pm to
Great buy, if you're patient. Problem is, there will be LBOs, and it's hard to pick a winner.
Posted by PotatoChip
Member since May 2014
3530 posts
Posted on 5/6/20 at 11:40 pm to
I started a small position in MGM today. I’m hoping it trades down a few bucks and I’ll buy on the way down. I feel good about MGM in the long run.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7555 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 1:07 am to
I typically don’t play the market because it feels like gambling, but as much as I have gambled on those properties, I probably should have built up a decent portfolio of stocks in gaming companies instead. Knowing how those joints operate.

Heck did anyone bite on Tillman’s double digit interest rates on bonds for his Golden Nugget properties?


You have companies that are operating regulated monopolies for the government in states like Louisiana. There is a finite number of gaming establishments in those states. While in other states, there may not be a statutory limit, but the market and regulators dictate the volume of gaming establishments.

With that being said, typically if you have license it is essentially a license to print money. Now the trouble in Mississippi and Louisiana is the economy. The loss of travelers from tourism dollars are going to mean that fewer travelers will travel to these establishments which means the casinos will need to be more dependent on their local gamblers. Louisiana and Mississippi also face a double whammy with the loss of high earning oil and gas jobs who would be more likely to gamble at these establishments. That too would reduce their local gambler pool.

Also, factoring in some establishments may face some changes in their layouts and gaming floor may impact their cash flow.

I would foresee another wave of consolidation in this sector but the operator market has already been whittled down to so few players, it wouldn’t make sense for any more consolidation.

I would wait until stocks hit rock bottom and then buy.
This post was edited on 5/7/20 at 2:17 am
Posted by CajunTiger92
Member since Dec 2007
2821 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 6:25 am to
Investing in casino stocks is basically gambling.
Posted by iknowmorethanyou
Paydirt
Member since Jul 2007
6550 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 6:36 am to
quote:

I would wait until stocks hit rock bottom then buy.


Heckuva strategy.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7555 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 7:21 am to
quote:

Heckuva strategy.


We are maybe just a few weeks late.

Looked at a chart for Boyd Gaming.

Traded at 35 dollars a share near its 52 week high preCovid.

Crashed to about 6.50 dollars a share during the early shut down and stock market crash, Mid-March.

It now recovered and stable at about 15.50.

Similar story at Penn National.

Just missed the bottom at 4 dollars a share during the crash MidMarch.

Posted by skewbs
Member since Apr 2008
2009 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 7:57 am to
Same. I like MGM long. That’s not to say it may not drop further in the next 4-6 months. But on a 10+ year horizon, buying at today’s prices seems like a solid investment.
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2528 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 8:46 am to
Interested in LVS
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6744 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 8:50 am to
Casinos are some of the most leveraged companies in the world.

In good economies they do quite well but in bad economies they can barely stay afloat.

It all depends on how you think the overall economy is going to do in your timeframe.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7555 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Casinos are some of the most leveraged companies in the world. In good economies they do quite well but in bad economies they can barely stay afloat. It all depends on how you think the overall economy is going to do in your timeframe.


So in other words you are taking a gamble either way.
Posted by Lsutiger2424
Member since Dec 2016
989 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 2:55 pm to
I was looking at MGM as well but man the stock performance has not been good when you look at the 10 year chart
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

I was looking at MGM as well but man the stock performance has not been good when you look at the 10 year chart


MGM has been a fun one to trade short term.
Posted by Texas Tea 123
Member since Sep 2017
208 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 4:40 pm to
Discount to what?
Posted by mpar98
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
8034 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 8:31 pm to
ERI ftw
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71433 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

Penn


Too late to get in on that.
Posted by Bob Sacamano
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2008
5277 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:52 pm to
DKNG ftw
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