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Boardwalk Pipeline Partners
Posted on 12/11/13 at 9:44 pm
Posted on 12/11/13 at 9:44 pm
Bought some BWP earlier this year thinking that the Bluegrass pipeline and infrastructure in SW LA might be a big thing but it's done nothing but tank. I've made some healthy gains from Cheniere energy but I'm just waiting to see if I should cut my losses in boardwalk or hold it and wait it out.
Anyone have thoughts on the future of BWP in the lng business?
Anyone have thoughts on the future of BWP in the lng business?
Posted on 12/11/13 at 11:01 pm to Freebird11
It depends what your basis is and what your near-term goals are. They're an MLP so their unit price will fluctuate to interest rates similar to that of a bond and I think uncertainty over short-term rates has been putting pressure on their unit price recently. I've been following BWP the last 3-4 years and have been waiting for a sharp sell off following their recent run up into the low 30's.
Distribution growth has completely stopped, with no increases in sight. BWP has invested $1B+ in new assets in the last 24 months, half of it financed through dilution, but is still unable to achieve any growth. They are treading water - the incremental cash flow from acquired assets is being offset by declines in their base business, long-haul gas transmission, which has been suffering dramatically the last 3-4 years. Management has done their best to achieve growth through diversification without success, as the stagnant distribution proves.
The Bluegrass project would be a good boost and they do have a good partner in Williams, but it faces a lot of hurdles from regulators, competitors and overall market conditions. They just extended their open season for the Y-grade pipeline, which cannot be a good indicator of how the market has responded to the project at this point. The proposed LPG (not LNG) export terminal is barely off the drawing board.
If you got in at the recent top of $30+, I'd get out, but if you're in at $26-27 I'd hang on until Feb-March and see how the open season on Bluegrass performs.
Distribution growth has completely stopped, with no increases in sight. BWP has invested $1B+ in new assets in the last 24 months, half of it financed through dilution, but is still unable to achieve any growth. They are treading water - the incremental cash flow from acquired assets is being offset by declines in their base business, long-haul gas transmission, which has been suffering dramatically the last 3-4 years. Management has done their best to achieve growth through diversification without success, as the stagnant distribution proves.
The Bluegrass project would be a good boost and they do have a good partner in Williams, but it faces a lot of hurdles from regulators, competitors and overall market conditions. They just extended their open season for the Y-grade pipeline, which cannot be a good indicator of how the market has responded to the project at this point. The proposed LPG (not LNG) export terminal is barely off the drawing board.
If you got in at the recent top of $30+, I'd get out, but if you're in at $26-27 I'd hang on until Feb-March and see how the open season on Bluegrass performs.
Posted on 12/12/13 at 8:03 am to Freebird11
I have held 3 or 4 years. They pay an awesome dividend and I am in a long position. It has its ups and downs but overall I am pleased with its investment and dont follow day to day changes.
ETA: The poster above makes some very great points as to the future of BWP. While I would agree and recognize the company has stagnated in terms of growth (along with its dividend), the company has managed to remained consistent and profitable and paying that great distribution (in terms of yield). Until that distribution is cut, I will be holding this one, as the div return alone provides stability.
ETA: The poster above makes some very great points as to the future of BWP. While I would agree and recognize the company has stagnated in terms of growth (along with its dividend), the company has managed to remained consistent and profitable and paying that great distribution (in terms of yield). Until that distribution is cut, I will be holding this one, as the div return alone provides stability.
This post was edited on 12/12/13 at 9:10 am
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