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Warner: A Realistic Assessment

Posted on 10/22/09 at 8:18 pm
Posted by Chris Warner
Perdido Bay
Member since Jan 2009
5575 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 8:18 pm
While undefeated Alabama and Florida work hard to complete their unblemished seasons, the overall race for the Southeastern Conference championship remains wide-open, as there are still many key stretch games to be played. Moreover, teams like LSU, with only one conference loss to the nation's top-ranked team, still control their own destiny in terms of playing in Atlanta and potentially for the national championship at year's end, as the BCS computer polls perennially love the strength of the nation's toughest conference.

In this exclusive piece for TigerDroppings.com, the cyberspace gift from God to die-hard SEC Fans, we'll assess winners and losers at this season midway point, taking particular stock in postseason expectations. Furthermore, we'll take our regular armchair quarterback tour of the conference and speak frankly on the developing LSU Tiger Football situation and its direction under Les Miles.

Winners

Tim Tebow, the Florida Gators and Alabama are the big SEC winners at this point. Tebow is on track to win a miraculous third national title and second Heisman Trophy, as well as the inside track at a future run for Governor of Florida, his own reality show and the U.S. Presidency.

The Gators are on the nation's longest win streak and have a reasonably doable schedule remaining until the SEC Championship Game. Only South Carolina looms predictably large on the horizon for the Gators, who should be undefeated in their SEC Championship defense in Atlanta.

The Crimson Tide is winning with defense and a surprisingly solid running game, led by sophomore running back Mark Ingram, who ran for 250 yards against South Carolina in a 20-6 victory. Tide fans are frustrated that lukewarm quarterback Greg McElroy cannot get the ball to Julio Jones, their stud sophomore wide receiver. But when you're running with the effectiveness they've lately demonstrated, who cares about the passing game, right?

Losers

Lane Kiffin, Urban Myer and Houston Nutt are the big SEC losers at this point. While Kiffin regained a little swagger with the thrashing of Georgia, he's still yet to live up to anywhere near the hype he created coming into being Tennessee's head football coach. Despite the improvement, a bowl game is still as uncertain as Kiffin's long-term future, for the 3-3 (1-2) Vols.

Urban Myer is a big loser because of the butterfly/Eskimo kiss he placed on Tebow's facemask in Tiger Stadium a couple of weeks ago. It was one of those surreal, indelible, certainly vintage college football moments. It was one, in retrospect, that I could have done without. I have watched the clip repeatedly, and I really do not know what to say about it. After watching it three or four times I felt I needed another opinion. I called my wife over and we watched the DVR recording in super slow motion. She aptly described it, "downright creepy." I agree. I hope what I think about him and Tim is not true.

Houston Nutt has gone from hero to apparent zero in Oxford, his snake oil no longer selling as well as it once did when he had bona fide first-rounders starting on both lines and a quarterback that was ready for the Wheaties box as a first-year SEC starter. This year Ole Miss doesn't push people around-they are getting pushed around-by the SEC big boys, and Jevan Snead looks like the Waterboy instead of the poster boy.

Expectations

Before the season I predicted two regular-season losses for the Tigers, and spoke of a possible third loss to Florida in the SECCG. While the biggest unfortunate surprise has been the poor play of the offensive line, Jordan Jefferson's lack of big-game experience coupled with a poorly-devised and executed offensive scheme against the Gators resulted in the Tigers losing an epic defensive struggle against arguably the greatest college football player in SEC history and certainly one of the most decorated. So while playing the nation's number-one ranked team and number-one ranked defense and the nation's best field general in Tim Tebow, LSU fell short. Things could be much worse.

The Russell Shepard Factor

Oddly, Shepard was heralded a year ago as the next Tim Tebow. However, the Lone Star freshman has yet to yield the playing time or results that the Heisman leader did as a first-year player when he helped the Gators in a secondary quarterback role behind Chris Leak, en route to a national championship. For whatever reason, Shepard has not yet fully arrived. Tiger fans have to wonder how heated the competition really is between Shepard and Jefferson, and if Miles or Crowton have intentions of eventually making Shepard the starter. Realistically, at this point, it is difficult seeing Jefferson as the lone starter for the remainder of his eligibility, with total respect going to Russell Shepard for that thought.

It was revealed only within the last few news days that Shepard was suffering from the flu during the Florida game. Prior to that revelation by the LSU staff, it appeared that Coach Crowton and Coach Miles had little faith in the upstart freshman phenom, whose rare talents many have duly noted. To his detriment, Shepard has put the ball on the ground, and has at times noticeably struggled with his offensive command. Nevertheless, he remains, like Tim Tebow, one of the highest touted Parade All-Americans LSU has landed in years. He is a phenomenal talent, and must be used by the staff. Russell Shepard must see the field for the Tigers to reach their full potential. With all due respect to Jordan Jefferson, I believe his forthcoming time as LSU's "full-time" quarterback is limited. From this point forward the Tigers will be forced to only increase Shepard's snaps, as his yard-per-touch average fully warrants it and it is also fairly easy to see that LSU has a quarterback problem. Shepard or even Jarrett Lee, are the only possible answers at this juncture. My guess is the staff will go with superior talent.

In fairness to Jordan Jefferson, he has played well enough for the Tigers to win in all games except one. He is not a failure. However, one has to wonder his future as the starting Tiger quarterback with the lively Shepard nipping at his heels. Moreover, one has to wonder of Shepard's ultimate and true role within the Tiger offense, and whether or not he really is the avowed "future" of the LSU offense.

Gary Crowton

The Florida defense that held LSU to 3 points returned eleven starters from a national championship team. As many as eight players on the Gator team have been tagged as NFL locks. Some of these guys don't even start for the Gators, which is clear evidence of their unfair depth. Nevertheless, when LSU struggled to move the ball effectively on this group everyone deplored Crowton and his alleged micromanager, Les Miles. It had to be their fault. It had to be somebody's fault, other than the players, that is. That is because everyone that listens to talk radio believes that LSU has more talent than anyone and everyone on their schedule and that the Tigers should win every game by three or more touchdowns. If not, Gary Crowton's head deserves to roll-especially after a three-point outing against the number one defense in America.

It is obvious that LSU's offense has not yet put it all together and played a complete game. Offensive line problems probably outweigh any other except for maybe quarterback, but coaching is certainly a concern given the lack of flow and rhythm in the play calling and the execution of those called plays. One of Crowton's bigger problems is the many options he has given the plethora of skilled talent at his disposal. The embarrassment of riches in talent he possesses appears to have him befuddled. Crowton is seemingly perplexed as to how to how to use the league's best pass-catching tight end, run the option properly or incorporate a working tandem of the slippery Russell Shepard and a the electron-fast Trindon Holliday-the fastest human to ever play college ball--into the same offense. LSU needs to find its rhythm and flow and end the senseless procedure penalties or criticism will continue to follow Crowton in every subsequent loss.

Les Miles

Because LSU only scored 3 points to number-one ranked Florida's 13 they lost a football game. Miles, in the aftermath, has predictably become the goat, the problem with LSU Football-and amazingly-once again-he is not Nick Saban-whose team is undefeated in Tuscaloosa. The Miles detractors have come out of the woodwork like cockroaches choking on Raid. Somebody deserves the blame, these disgruntled Tiger fans insist. "We have too much talent on offense!" they continue, "We're getting outcoached!"

While the offense has problems, LSU's defense has showed tremendous promise and poise all season, which is a credit to Miles' hire of John Chavis. The conundrum that is the offense, however, is a problem, and it's up to the head man to fix it with six games remaining. Miles has been consistent during his tenure in that when he's needed to shake things up he has, as he understands that with every so-called crisis comes a unique opportunity-to succeed. Often a loss is a good thing. Florida used its shocking setback to Ole Miss to motivate the Gators to a BCS national championship, its second in three seasons. How Coach Miles uses the gritty loss, the off-week and the recent loss of faith to motivate his team makes the Auburn matchup one of the more compelling.

Kiffin Assaults Tuscaloosa

Lane Kiffin is already like a bad case of hemorrhoids. The guy is sleazier than a country used car salesman while possessing the tact of a pimp and the cleanliness of a carnival worker. Tuscaloosa, however, is ready for Lane. They are anxious for him to come to town so that they too can get them some a la Florida and Auburn style. Tennessee may be coming off of a solid win over Georgia, but they must understand that Alabama is no Georgia, and that Tuscaloosa this week-is likely another beatdown.

Jonathan Crompton was recently named the National Offensive Player of the Week. Crompton must replicate that near-perfect performance against the Tide while most-importantly-protecting the football. However, I think it will prove too difficult for Crompton, given that his offensive line will be considerably outweighed and outclassed. Take Alabama and give the points. Tennessee's performance will be lame.

Bama 30
Tennessee 14

Ole Miss and Arkansas: Houston Nutt's Comin' Ups

There is absolutely no love lost between the Arkansas fan base and Houston Nutt. In fact, Nutt is deplored in the Natural State for the way he mishandled an extra-marital affair and then ran off to coach one of their competing Western Division schools.

Ole Miss has been called college football's most disappointing team. A loss this weekend to the Hogs would solidify for history that 2009 moniker. Unrealistic preseason expectations and poor quarterback play from last year's darling Jevan Snead have been the undoing for the Rebels, who have not won the SEC Championship since 1963, and remain the only Western Division school to never play in the conference championship.

Arkansas showed moxie against Florida. They showed the kind of toughness and desire that makes champions. Petrino is on the right track with these Hogs. Down the stretch they will be a scary team. Look for these wild razorback hogs to spark a revolt in Oxford, as this one should get ugly.

Ole Miss 17
Hogs 42

Chiz Comes to Death Valley

Auburn is coming off of a loss to Kentucky. The Plainsmen are tired and battered. They are thin. Nevertheless, they will lumber into Death Valley with winning hopes, as they now have two losses (Arkansas) and know well that if they are to make a run at winning the West it must start this weekend. Gene Chizik was not the favorite choice of Auburn fans, but his team's early success and marked improvement over last season has done wonders for his popularity. The Auburn fan base is now more optimistic, even if it is the cautious kind.

LSU has won a ridiculous 19 straight on ESPN at night. Auburn's back is to the wall, but it doesn't seem like it possesses the fire power and the resolve necessary to win at night in Baton Rouge. Factor in that Miles has likely spent the last two weeks working on all the little things the Tigers needed to improve upon to be a better offensive team, and I think this is a good week for LSU.

Bayou Bengals 35
Plain Tigers 14

Chris Warner is the author and publisher of 13 books, including "The Wagon to Disaster" the untold story of HealthSouth, which he co-authored with Aaron Beam, former CFO and founder of HealthSouth, and an LSU graduate. To contact Chris, visit his website: sectraditions.com
Posted by south bama tiger
Member since May 2008
6646 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 8:27 pm to
Sounds like some realistic assessments. I really hope your prediction for the Auburn-LSU game is correct.
Posted by The312
I Live in The Three One Two
Member since Aug 2008
6967 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

Urban Myer is a big loser because of the butterfly/Eskimo kiss he placed on Tebow's facemask in Tiger Stadium a couple of weeks ago. It was one of those surreal, indelible, certainly vintage college football moments. It was one, in retrospect, that I could have done without. I have watched the clip repeatedly, and I really do not know what to say about it. After watching it three or four times I felt I needed another opinion. I called my wife over and we watched the DVR recording in super slow motion. She aptly described it, "downright creepy." I agree. I hope what I think about him and Tim is not true.


Are you seriously suggesting that Tebow and Meyer are lovers or somesuch? You lose all credibility with that odd, unseemly, homophobic paragraph.

It's one thing for an anonymous poster to make a joke at Meyer's expense, quite another when such a theory is advanced by someone who holds himself out as a professional writer.

Just a weird, unnecessary addition to that piece.
Posted by dreaux
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2006
40881 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 8:37 pm to
very nice! good work!



Posted by DaSaltyTiger
Alexandria/Pineville, LA area
Member since Dec 2004
4689 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 9:10 pm to
THERE'S NO KISSING IN FOOTBALL!?!?

unless it is one of the cute female cheerleaders
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
89831 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

Are you seriously suggesting that Tebow and Meyer are lovers or somesuch? You lose all credibility with that odd, unseemly, homophobic paragraph.

It's one thing for an anonymous poster to make a joke at Meyer's expense, quite another when such a theory is advanced by someone who holds himself out as a professional writer.

Just a weird, unnecessary addition to that piece.



Are you seriously taking this seriously?
Posted by geaux4geauxldtigah
Virginia
Member since Oct 2009
150 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

Urban Myer is a big loser because of the butterfly/Eskimo kiss he placed on Tebow's facemask in Tiger Stadium a couple of weeks ago. It was one of those surreal, indelible, certainly vintage college football moments. It was one, in retrospect, that I could have done without. I have watched the clip repeatedly, and I really do not know what to say about it. After watching it three or four times I felt I needed another opinion. I called my wife over and we watched the DVR recording in super slow motion. She aptly described it, "downright creepy." I agree. I hope what I think about him and Tim is not true.


This piece of tape is irrelevant when it comes to winning games. In fact, if Miles did the same to Jefferson (after winning the game of course), I wonder how many Tiger fans would be claiming "homo." Who gives a shi* about what other teams are doing, we should be focusing on the play of our own.
Posted by Amyylove
Carlsbad, CA
Member since Dec 2007
417 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Are you seriously suggesting that Tebow and Meyer are lovers or somesuch? You lose all credibility with that odd, unseemly, homophobic paragraph.

It's one thing for an anonymous poster to make a joke at Meyer's expense, quite another when such a theory is advanced by someone who holds himself out as a professional writer.

Just a weird, unnecessary addition to that piece.



I 100% Agree! Even if it was tongue in cheek a professional would not submit something like this.
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
11368 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 9:26 pm to
Chris, are you the guy who used to go on Baton Rouge sports talk shows and criticize the hiring of Mark Emmert? Calling him a carpet bagger,etc.
Posted by pfunkTiger
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2009
512 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

quote:


Urban Myer is a big loser because of the butterfly/Eskimo kiss he placed on Tebow's facemask in Tiger Stadium a couple of weeks ago. It was one of those surreal, indelible, certainly vintage college football moments. It was one, in retrospect, that I could have done without. I have watched the clip repeatedly, and I really do not know what to say about it. After watching it three or four times I felt I needed another opinion. I called my wife over and we watched the DVR recording in super slow motion. She aptly described it, "downright creepy." I agree. I hope what I think about him and Tim is not true.


If you're into homo-erotica please post a video of said tongue lashing.
This post was edited on 10/22/09 at 10:13 pm
Posted by UnclePat76
McHenry County Illinois
Member since Sep 2004
2438 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

Chris, are you the guy who used to go on Baton Rouge sports talk shows and criticize the hiring of Mark Emmert? Calling him a carpet bagger,etc.


ROFL. I remember something like that on Condon's show.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94368 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

Chris Warner


Were you at the outlet mall in Gulf Shores a couple months back? I'm pretty sure my buddy and I met you and talked with you for a few minutes.
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
11368 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

I remember something like that on Condon's show.


and on Ott's show. Hard to take a clown like that seriously. Emmert did a lot for LSU in the short period of time that he was here.
Posted by LSUnKaty
Katy, TX
Member since Dec 2008
4341 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:31 pm to
Thanks Chris - Finally some decent analysis.

I'll take Warner over Dubois. Can we get this guy to do the daily posts?

Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
11368 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

I'll take Warner over Dubois.


Not me. Dubois is a sportswriter. Warner is a clown.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
41158 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss 17
Hogs 42


WOW!

Forget taking Arkansas and a touchdown,

You are saying take a 1-3 SEC team on the road to win by 3 touchdowns+
Posted by CalTiger
California
Member since Jan 2004
3997 posts
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:44 pm to
quote:



Not me. Dubois is a sportswriter. Warner is a clown.


Warner is a self-professed lover of LSU sports and so I expect his work to be biased and I want that especially on an LSU site.

But regardless of that factor - Warner has more flair - Dubois tries too hard to get the right metaphors / similes and ends up with too many cliches ( both in sentences and in thoughts).

Posted by johnsec
Los Angeles/Lafayette
Member since Sep 2009
845 posts
Posted on 10/23/09 at 3:42 am to
Bad form, no doubt.
The video clip of those two is all over posts in the SEC Rant for those seeking to induce vomiting...

This post was edited on 10/23/09 at 3:49 am
Posted by WildTigerTara
Los Angeles/Lafayette
Member since Oct 2009
58 posts
Posted on 10/23/09 at 3:58 am to
>>>>>>>>>I 100% Agree! Even if it was tongue in cheek a professional would not submit something like this.

My husband's the pro. writer in our family, but even I know this crossed the line.
I don't care if they're as queer as The Pottery Barn on a Saturday afternoon. I'm just ticked off we won't get a 2nd chance to deliver a beat-down of St. Tebow and those bastards when the Fightin' Tigers will be more balanced.

Posted by CalTiger
California
Member since Jan 2004
3997 posts
Posted on 10/23/09 at 4:20 am to
quote:

My husband's the pro. writer in our family, but even I know this crossed the line.


At any given time - any article/object/person/situation is always offensive to some body or the other.

It was on the minds of almost every goddamn person who saw that and Warner merely put pen to paper in a nose to nose in helmet fashion - Not that there is anything wrong with that.


We are trying hard to get offended with each and everything and depriving ourselves of some pretty good humor and commentary on the way.
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